Innocent-Cue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.13K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

Trades

676

lifetime

Volume

$24.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 05-28 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

76% 71% +$87

Other

14% 20% -$2,080

Crypto

10% 40% -$136

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$5.3K	3,684	3,684	+0	No	+$1,937	05-22 23:23
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	4	$5.1K	27,879	27,879	+0	Yes	-$2,993	05-23 00:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$3.7K	2,110	2,110	+0	No	+$84	05-20 01:08
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	22	$2.7K	6,045	6,045	+0	No	+$959	05-28 14:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	2	$1.2K	14,604	0	+14,604	No	-$1,160	05-26 13:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$1.0K	10,541	10,541	+0	No	+$211	05-20 16:01
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	13	$956	2,310	2,310	+0	No	-$120	05-28 07:29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	3	$620	16,769	4,173	+12,596	No	-$427	05-26 15:10
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	24	$515	4,153	4,153	+0	No	+$91	05-23 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	121	$464	1,726	0	+1,726	Down	-$351	05-16 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	63	$430	1,097	0	+1,097	Down	-$37	05-16 05:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	3	$406	3,421	0	+3,421	No	-$406	05-26 14:19
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	4	$396	3,115	3,115	+0	No	+$128	05-23 21:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	2	$299	12,030	0	+12,030	No	-$299	05-21 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	36	$166	362	0	+362	Down	-$63	05-16 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	45	$156	253	0	+253	Up	+$97	05-16 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$151	297	0	+297	Up	+$18	05-16 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	26	$124	6,707	0	+6,707	Up	-$124	05-16 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	53	$117	270	0	+270	Up	+$153	05-16 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	22	$109	211	0	+211	Up	+$102	05-16 03:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	9	$88	190	0	+190	Up	-$88	05-16 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	26	$87	156	0	+156	Down	-$87	05-16 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	12	$85	415	0	+415	Up	+$330	05-16 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	3	$80	150	0	+150	Down	-$35	05-16 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	5	$73	148	0	+148	Down	+$75	05-15 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	11	$68	127	0	+127	Down	-$68	05-16 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	25	$56	146	0	+146	Up	-$56	05-16 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	20	$55	146	0	+146	Up	-$55	05-16 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	9	$24	49	0	+49	Down	+$25	05-16 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	16	$21	49	0	+49	Down	+$27	05-16 00:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 14:14:11	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	445	13¢	$58	0x085c1a…
05-28 07:29:50	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x3062be…
05-28 07:26:52	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x682c99…
05-28 07:25:21	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	32	11¢	$4	0x968456…
05-28 06:40:43	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	123	11¢	$14	0x3d43bb…
05-26 15:10:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	12,596	2¢	$315	0x3dfb1b…
05-26 14:19:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,256	11¢	$138	0x51f79a…
05-26 13:59:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	257	11¢	$28	0xad711d…
05-26 13:56:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	13,763	8¢	$1,101	0x45c2b7…
05-24 02:11:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,907	13¢	$239	0x3cecba…
05-23 22:51:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	841	7¢	$59	0x437892…
05-23 21:56:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3,115	8¢	$262	0x1aa09e…
05-23 20:43:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4,173	2¢	$97	0x5cf0b9…
05-23 14:09:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4,153	7¢	$303	0x401482…
05-23 13:44:23	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	210	16¢	$34	0xa79921…
05-23 13:44:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	445	15¢	$67	0x493710…
05-23 00:54:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	27,879	4¢	$1,039	0xda5a53…
05-22 23:28:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	24,928	15¢	$3,621	0x709f8c…
05-22 23:23:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	3,684	99¢	$3,643	0xc2a36d…
05-22 23:13:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	2,312	17¢	$395	0x038bda…
05-22 21:41:03	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,100	19¢	$395	0x95078f…
05-22 21:38:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	894	79¢	$706	0xb0aa6f…
05-22 21:25:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	2,789	36¢	$1,000	0x1fd02d…
05-22 21:04:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	639	2¢	$16	0x4cb856…
05-22 14:46:49	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	350	4¢	$15	0xcfa0e6…
05-22 14:03:41	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,628	4¢	$68	0x82c1ea…
05-21 19:34:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3,969	32¢	$1,270	0xdbc9bb…
05-21 19:25:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,631	32¢	$522	0x0fa12c…
05-21 11:22:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4,173	5¢	$209	0xe0f67d…
05-21 11:00:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9,956	2¢	$249	0xe2f7b3…
05-21 11:00:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2,075	2¢	$50	0x2fbc3a…
05-21 10:31:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x6d8979…
05-21 10:30:55	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,585	19¢	$301	0x98822e…
05-21 01:31:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,137	4¢	$51	0xe93f3b…
05-20 22:07:00	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,420	24¢	$341	0x97910d…
05-20 21:47:33	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x4cd99f…
05-20 21:42:12	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x080651…
05-20 21:08:50	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x4e2bdc…
05-20 21:08:28	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x004a60…
05-20 20:30:43	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0xefeb0c…
05-20 20:29:21	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	649	24¢	$156	0xe6c603…
05-20 16:01:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	10,141	6¢	$588	0x89ff8d…
05-20 16:00:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	401	6¢	$23	0x57b6a7…
05-20 14:17:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	149	13¢	$19	0x9657d1…
05-20 13:43:17	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	41	13¢	$5	0xc1e1ab…
05-20 13:40:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	224	13¢	$29	0xe6f93c…
05-20 13:06:39	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xec1562…
05-20 12:47:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	97	13¢	$13	0x716ea7…
05-20 12:47:35	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x3ab5ce…
05-20 12:47:31	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xd01126…
05-20 12:47:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x951d9d…
05-20 12:46:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	57	13¢	$7	0xd5a7f4…
05-20 12:45:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	43	13¢	$6	0xd1c20b…
05-20 12:45:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x60fd27…
05-20 12:26:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	10,541	4¢	$400	0xc0d116…
05-20 12:24:45	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,038	13¢	$135	0x5ea150…
05-20 11:38:03	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x70474a…
05-20 11:29:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xe48831…
05-20 11:29:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x33a0bf…
05-20 09:26:25	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xa309d5…
05-20 09:06:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xcc156d…
05-20 08:54:43	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x89782d…
05-20 08:51:15	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	127	5¢	$6	0x9c1765…
05-20 08:49:33	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	738	5¢	$38	0xcb2ba8…
05-20 08:44:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,322	13¢	$302	0xf90aae…
05-20 08:35:17	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x7acc9b…
05-20 07:31:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd5101f…
05-20 07:25:21	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xb0fa4b…
05-20 07:10:39	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xab4ae8…
05-20 06:59:11	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb874ad…
05-20 06:32:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x7280ac…
05-20 06:22:59	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x4c98fd…
05-20 05:55:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	520	5¢	$27	0x2f45ee…
05-20 05:52:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0xfcfffa…
05-20 05:52:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0x81a567…
05-20 05:52:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x6c8409…
05-20 05:52:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x5988d5…
05-20 04:39:27	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x2f3a61…
05-20 04:19:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0xcfcbb3…
05-20 04:19:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x66ec60…
05-20 03:31:15	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	192	5¢	$10	0x4065c9…
05-20 01:54:41	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	116	5¢	$6	0x0ac262…
05-20 01:52:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,938	5¢	$99	0xd9ee52…
05-20 01:08:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,082	90¢	$1,874	0xac70a1…
05-20 00:59:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xa243b1…
05-20 00:55:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x36130c…
05-18 19:09:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,110	86¢	$1,815	0x4e2b0b…
05-16 05:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xf81460…
05-16 05:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x53ca53…
05-16 05:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xca0313…
05-16 05:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3c63ca…
05-16 05:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0xb2cb51…
05-16 05:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe2e326…
05-16 05:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xcec3cb…
05-16 05:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xc53138…
05-16 05:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0xae4836…
05-16 05:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xad7180…
05-16 05:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9f3f15…
05-16 05:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8795c0…
05-16 05:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x832a81…