Weird-Surprise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$238

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

523

lifetime

Volume

$28.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-17 13:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

88% — —

Other

12% 0% $-238

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 378 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings	9	$1.4K	12,956	5,010	+7,946	open	—	05-15 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	7	$1.2K	645	645	+0	open	—	05-16 09:15
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians	2	$998	670	670	+0	open	—	05-14 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	6	$910	562	414	+148	open	—	05-16 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	4	$646	350	350	+0	open	—	05-16 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$623	327	327	+0	open	—	05-16 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	6	$600	780	0	+780	open	—	05-16 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	6	$545	361	293	+68	open	—	05-16 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	8	$513	427	292	+135	open	—	05-16 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$512	417	417	+0	open	—	05-15 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	5	$500	683	0	+683	open	—	05-16 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	5	$478	317	230	+87	open	—	05-16 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	6	$468	645	120	+525	open	—	05-16 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	4	$444	509	297	+212	open	—	05-15 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$441	435	435	+0	open	—	05-15 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$434	274	211	+63	open	—	05-16 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$434	523	523	+0	open	—	05-15 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$430	489	233	+256	open	—	05-15 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$428	492	492	+0	open	—	05-15 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$407	209	209	+0	open	—	05-16 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	4	$400	471	0	+471	open	—	05-16 10:15
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	3	$386	1,358	693	+665	Royal Challengers Bangalore	$-178	05-13 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$367	640	584	+56	open	—	05-15 21:19
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	2	$326	1,793	0	+1,793	open	—	05-16 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	5	$315	10,488	66	+10,422	open	—	05-16 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	3	$300	442	0	+442	open	—	05-16 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$300	371	0	+371	open	—	05-16 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	3	$300	345	0	+345	open	—	05-16 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$300	335	0	+335	open	—	05-16 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	4	$282	566	527	+38	open	—	05-16 05:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 13:24:38	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Punjab Kings	BUY	294	23¢	$68	0xa1a044…
05-17 13:13:14	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Punjab Kings	BUY	614	11¢	$67	0xa29ca5…
05-17 02:53:30	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Carano	BUY	44	20¢	$9	0xade1e8…
05-17 00:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd68378…
05-16 23:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	88	29¢	$25	0xb58a2e…
05-16 23:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x8fee33…
05-16 23:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x109854…
05-16 23:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x254169…
05-16 23:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	140	72¢	$100	0x1bb780…
05-16 23:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x5d3727…
05-16 23:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	123	94¢	$116	0xef1a60…
05-16 23:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x27cc74…
05-16 23:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x029aa0…
05-16 23:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xe25116…
05-16 23:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x260d0e…
05-16 23:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xc30d75…
05-16 23:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xdd3684…
05-16 22:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xcf1609…
05-16 22:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2ba029…
05-16 22:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x15ab65…
05-16 22:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa8f95e…
05-16 22:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xa77310…
05-16 22:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xfe03cd…
05-16 22:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x275db6…
05-16 22:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x97dde3…
05-16 22:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	416	9¢	$38	0xb3fa23…
05-16 22:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	416	24¢	$100	0xa22a83…
05-16 22:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xba68e0…
05-16 22:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x784df2…
05-16 22:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x02383f…
05-16 22:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x27c5e7…
05-16 21:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x6dd3c1…
05-16 21:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xaa7014…
05-16 21:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x331650…
05-16 21:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xdb98d1…
05-16 21:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xcc75a6…
05-16 21:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	55	38¢	$21	0xa3bcfb…
05-16 21:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x0cba20…
05-16 21:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x17c934…
05-16 21:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0xdb9d06…
05-16 21:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	322	31¢	$100	0x03cad8…
05-16 21:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	237	42¢	$100	0x52033e…
05-16 21:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x7a6304…
05-16 21:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xbc24b6…
05-16 21:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xd78d00…
05-16 20:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x219b70…
05-16 20:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd99dba…
05-16 20:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x2368d9…
05-16 20:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xd1b129…
05-16 20:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0x9eac17…
05-16 20:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x68ac2f…
05-16 20:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc7981f…
05-16 20:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf21f70…
05-16 20:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3f7735…
05-16 20:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf6a2d8…
05-16 20:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xb2adc7…
05-16 20:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x0856f5…
05-16 20:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x2de5da…
05-16 20:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xf17d7c…
05-16 20:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x37ec5d…
05-16 20:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2eeec3…
05-16 20:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x00cf36…
05-16 20:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x526cc2…
05-16 20:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x81804c…
05-16 20:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x447a60…
05-16 20:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0x8d67d0…
05-16 20:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x154bda…
05-16 20:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcf9d04…
05-16 20:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x15b8c2…
05-16 20:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x2cd144…
05-16 20:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x9f0a87…
05-16 20:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x8e605b…
05-16 20:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xa17398…
05-16 19:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x5980e7…
05-16 19:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xdfa429…
05-16 19:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	53	48¢	$25	0xbbac50…
05-16 19:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x96ecab…
05-16 19:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x96d7f1…
05-16 19:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x1a3fb6…
05-16 19:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xf67b17…
05-16 19:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	74	10¢	$7	0x74602c…
05-16 19:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xc424fd…
05-16 19:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x41700e…
05-16 19:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xd6e09b…
05-16 19:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	55	31¢	$17	0x00b350…
05-16 19:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x661f51…
05-16 19:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x10d29a…
05-16 19:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xe94e4e…
05-16 19:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xb04cdb…
05-16 19:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x67d27b…
05-16 19:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	72	35¢	$25	0xf38908…
05-16 19:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x0cf8a6…
05-16 19:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6b7a44…
05-16 19:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$6	0x9a3a5e…
05-16 19:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x886a7c…
05-16 19:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa395be…
05-16 19:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x2b3a04…
05-16 19:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x49d1e4…
05-16 19:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	47	54¢	$25	0x7138f9…
05-16 19:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x2a0060…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	176	$220.3K	7,220	05-17 15:34
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	170	$15.2K	4,550	05-17 00:08
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	169	$220.8K	11,859	05-17 00:09
Sophisticated-Leptocephalus 0x4605…b773	169	$139.7K	8,275	05-17 00:09
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	169	$117.8K	29,675	05-17 00:10
(anonymous) 0xd9ca…f253	169	$85.4K	15,994	05-17 00:09
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	169	$55.1K	4,626	05-17 00:10
Definitive-Report 0x8ef6…63ee	169	$45.6K	3,814	05-17 00:10