Harmonious-Ideal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.9%

Resolved

Trades

281

lifetime

Volume

$475

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 05-29 16:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 62% $-0

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776329100	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-16 08:47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-29 16:57
btc updown 5m 1776239400	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 07:54
btc updown 5m 1776776100	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-21 12:58
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in April 2026?	2	$5	5	3	+3	open	—	04-21 08:27
btc updown 5m 1776333600	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-16 10:01
btc updown 5m 1776291600	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-15 22:21
btc updown 5m 1776275400	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-15 17:52
btc updown 5m 1776280800	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-15 19:21
btc updown 5m 1776760800	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-21 08:41
btc updown 5m 1776760500	2	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-21 08:36
btc updown 5m 1776297900	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-16 00:06
btc updown 5m 1776270000	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-15 16:21
btc updown 5m 1776283200	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-15 20:01
btc updown 5m 1776328800	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-16 08:41
btc updown 5m 1776242700	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-15 08:46
btc updown 5m 1776285000	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-15 20:33
btc updown 5m 1776252900	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-15 11:37
btc updown 5m 1776277500	2	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-15 18:26
btc updown 5m 1776253500	2	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-15 11:46
btc updown 5m 1776289800	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-15 21:51
btc updown 5m 1776272400	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-15 17:01
btc updown 5m 1776775200	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-21 12:41
btc updown 5m 1776327900	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-16 08:26
btc updown 5m 1776329400	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-16 08:51
btc updown 5m 1776761700	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-21 08:56
btc updown 5m 1776763500	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-21 09:26
btc updown 5m 1776262800	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-15 14:21
btc updown 5m 1776258600	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-15 13:11
btc updown 5m 1776766500	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-21 10:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 16:57:35	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd1ad69…
05-08 19:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x58ad78…
05-08 19:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x10275a…
05-08 18:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x559432…
05-08 17:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf5fec6…
05-08 15:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xaa32ce…
05-08 14:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2f7dce…
05-08 12:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xab1712…
05-07 21:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4f66a8…
05-07 18:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4471fb…
05-07 17:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc649e4…
05-07 17:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf9c1ea…
05-07 16:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7002ef…
05-07 15:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0049b7…
05-07 13:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcc3509…
05-07 11:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa64212…
05-07 11:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x91e538…
05-07 09:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd69081…
05-07 09:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1534d9…
05-07 08:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe4b25d…
05-06 20:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4741cf…
05-06 20:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbbfc29…
05-06 19:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xcf6961…
05-06 16:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x91a3a9…
05-06 16:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3dde30…
05-06 15:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb68559…
05-06 15:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x94d245…
05-06 14:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xab6641…
05-06 14:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x09a767…
05-06 13:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6714e4…
05-06 13:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbbe3a7…
05-06 13:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6e40bd…
05-06 13:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x090f1b…
05-06 11:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x16b972…
05-06 10:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x19ad2c…
05-06 08:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x70eb66…
05-05 20:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc31911…
05-05 19:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0ddeb0…
05-05 18:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xba98bc…
05-05 14:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xef3709…
05-05 13:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x43824f…
05-05 13:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x93c13b…
05-05 12:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa68e4d…
05-04 18:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x672ce0…
05-04 17:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0a8fab…
05-04 16:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x766731…
05-04 16:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xbca3f3…
05-04 15:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3aecd6…
05-04 15:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xab0f4b…
05-04 15:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcbd395…
05-04 15:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x81fb69…
05-04 15:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe244fd…
05-04 12:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2482d7…
05-04 10:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x304800…
05-04 10:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3624f1…
05-04 09:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1a3bd3…
05-04 08:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x39b0c0…
05-03 14:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7e8e42…
05-02 09:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x99d56a…
05-01 19:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xafec8a…
05-01 18:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x53b954…
05-01 18:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc9d483…
05-01 17:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2fbc7a…
05-01 15:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd6ddb3…
05-01 15:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2f5486…
05-01 15:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x699915…
05-01 14:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x34c199…
05-01 14:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdb51ef…
05-01 14:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0xa8432c…
05-01 14:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0ffd2c…
05-01 14:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x262383…
05-01 13:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x90d494…
05-01 13:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x907b59…
05-01 12:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5d8cc5…
05-01 12:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7e2805…
05-01 11:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc710cd…
05-01 08:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc20ca1…
04-30 19:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb1914a…
04-30 17:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x815600…
04-30 17:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x60dad4…
04-30 17:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9f26a7…
04-30 16:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x20f62b…
04-30 16:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3fed12…
04-30 15:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb5b027…
04-30 15:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xb261c8…
04-30 15:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x75272e…
04-30 15:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x14adda…
04-30 15:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xcfd571…
04-30 15:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf7b920…
04-30 14:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x26394e…
04-30 14:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x859a99…
04-29 18:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x573e8d…
04-29 18:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfd01b5…
04-29 17:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x5823a0…
04-29 17:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2baf7b…
04-29 17:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1fc31e…
04-29 16:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf66954…
04-29 16:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd6a40f…
04-29 16:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe13e61…
04-29 16:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc33d33…