Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$165,432

Trades

17,275

Unique wallets

2,251

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-04-15

First seen

2026-04-15

last 04-15 20:44

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +5,279 (anon) +5,138 (anon) +4,070 (anon) +3,847 (anon) +3,088 (anon) +2,867 Novel-Morbid +2,640 Orange-Forte +2,505

NO holders

(anon) +5,073 (anon) +4,320 (anon) +2,832 Peaceful-Quadrant +2,638 Novel-Morbid +2,280 Popular-Insurrection +1,957 (anon) +1,746 (anon) +1,727

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +3.6¢ (top1%: 72% YES on $67.2K vs crowd: 68% YES on $138.2K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	199	$51.8K	$19.9K	+$32.0K
🐬 Dolphin	500	$29.4K	$13.5K	+$15.9K
🐟 Fish	834	$11.1K	$8.2K	+$2.9K
🦐 Shrimp	718	$2.3K	$2.1K	+$190

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	240	$48.4K	$18.8K	+$29.6K
🏆 Top 5%	253	$16.0K	$6.1K	+$9.9K
✅ Top 10%	130	$1.5K	$907	+$560
Median	149	$634	$425	+$209
Below median	739	$3.2K	$2.6K	+$527
⚠️ Bottom 10%	296	$3.1K	$3.0K	+$91
🔻 Bottom 5%	296	$8.1K	$7.5K	+$617
💀 Bottom 1%	148	$13.7K	$4.3K	+$9.4K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0xdf41…37d4	Up	+5,279	$5,226	$5,226	32	04-15 20:35
(anonymous) 0xb3e6…6c8a	Up	+5,138	$5,087	$5,087	64	04-15 20:36
(anonymous) 0xacda…bd31	Down	+5,073	$115	$115	3	04-15 20:35
(anonymous) 0x9848…9e20	Down	+4,320	$348	$348	46	04-15 20:35
(anonymous) 0x3efa…7ad1	Up	+4,070	$4,029	$4,029	8	04-15 20:35
(anonymous) 0x320c…0279	Up	+3,847	$3,803	$3,803	2	04-15 20:35
(anonymous) 0xb27b…5b82	Up	+3,088	$2,230	$2,230	125	04-15 20:34
(anonymous) 0x9369…7c6e	Up	+2,867	$2,838	$2,838	2	04-15 20:35
(anonymous) 0xb27b…5b82	Down	+2,832	$438	$438	152	04-15 20:34
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	Up	+2,640	$1,234	$1,234	44	04-15 20:35
Peaceful-Quadrant 0x04b6…94c8	Down	+2,638	$542	$542	113	04-15 20:34
Orange-Forte 0xdeca…ddd5	Up	+2,505	$2,503	$2,503	10	04-15 20:40
Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9	Up	+2,416	$2,414	$2,414	15	04-15 20:44
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	Down	+2,280	$921	$921	38	04-15 20:34
Peaceful-Quadrant 0x04b6…94c8	Up	+2,199	$1,612	$1,612	72	04-15 20:34
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Up	+2,065	$1,211	$1,211	68	04-15 20:34
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	Up	+2,040	$952	$952	34	04-15 20:35
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Down	+1,957	$538	$538	67	04-15 20:34
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	Up	+1,791	$1,162	$1,162	94	04-15 20:34
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	Down	+1,746	$637	$637	70	04-15 20:35
(anonymous) 0x9848…9e20	Up	+1,740	$1,478	$1,478	44	04-15 20:35
(anonymous) 0x929c…342f	Down	+1,727	$5	$5	3	04-15 20:40
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	Down	+1,620	$576	$576	27	04-15 20:34
Idolized-Scallops 0xe1d6…907c	Down	+1,547	$408	$408	14	04-15 20:33
(anonymous) 0x0006…8c63	Up	+1,518	$512	$512	5	04-15 20:35
(anonymous) 0xcea8…2495	Down	+1,518	$1,457	$1,457	1	04-15 20:34
(anonymous) 0xda36…1a68	Up	+1,498	$778	$1,085	75	04-15 20:35
Idolized-Scallops 0xe1d6…907c	Up	+1,448	$398	$398	6	04-15 20:34
(anonymous) 0x7da0…6be2	Down	+1,400	$22	$22	6	04-15 20:35
(anonymous) 0xd5c1…c524	Down	+1,349	$830	$830	5	04-15 20:35
Adored-Dirndl 0xf01f…c58a	Down	+1,301	$1,000	$1,000	2	04-15 20:35
(anonymous) 0x8dac…d48d	Down	+1,241	$75	$75	2	04-15 20:31
(anonymous) 0x88f1…d3d0	Up	+1,226	$1,164	$1,164	31	04-15 20:33
Quixotic-Manhunt 0xc354…7845	Up	+1,212	$948	$948	36	04-15 20:34
(anonymous) 0x64a0…36db	Up	+1,122	$250	$250	46	04-15 20:34
Tired-Waitress-Grandmother 0x6d34…dfb5	Down	+1,111	$11	$11	1	04-15 20:35
Quixotic-Manhunt 0xc354…7845	Down	+1,096	$326	$326	22	04-15 20:34
(anonymous) 0x2e9b…2171	Up	+1,096	$755	$755	73	04-15 20:34
Pertinent-Eavesdropper 0x1f34…00f7	Up	+1,041	$709	$709	43	04-15 20:35
(anonymous) 0x5996…0aab	Down	+1,000	$10	$10	1	04-15 20:35
Esteemed-Period 0x592e…2030	Down	+1,000	$10	$10	1	04-15 20:35
(anonymous) 0xcd82…b82e	Down	+1,000	$10	$10	1	04-15 20:35
Studious-Hunger 0x16bc…d23a	Up	+959	$655	$655	53	04-15 20:34
(anonymous) 0xf381…2b5d	Up	+932	$326	$326	21	04-15 20:35
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	Up	+931	$257	$257	51	04-15 20:34
Pertinent-Eavesdropper 0x1f34…00f7	Down	+930	$231	$231	48	04-15 20:34
Open-Comma 0xc25a…1566	Down	+913	$456	$456	4	04-15 20:35
Curly-Doubt 0xa731…c990	Up	+885	$593	$593	36	04-15 20:35
(anonymous) 0x12c6…f2cd	Down	+878	$814	$814	1	04-15 20:34
(anonymous) 0x83d2…3a28	Down	+878	$745	$745	2	04-15 20:34
(anonymous) 0x0428…85b1	Up	+874	$594	$594	10	04-15 20:34
(anonymous) 0x2e9b…2171	Down	+871	$159	$159	55	04-15 20:34
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Down	+865	$250	$250	65	04-15 20:34
Studious-Hunger 0x16bc…d23a	Down	+826	$194	$194	41	04-15 20:34
(anonymous) 0x8011…a784	Down	+816	$400	$400	18	04-15 20:33
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	Down	+812	$79	$79	26	04-15 20:33
(anonymous) 0x7da0…6be2	Up	+800	$20	$20	21	04-15 20:34
(anonymous) 0x0428…85b1	Down	+769	$232	$232	15	04-15 20:34
Sneaky-Raccoon 0xd9ea…22aa	Up	+730	$465	$465	26	04-15 20:35
(anonymous) 0x1ceb…b8f4	Up	+725	$364	$364	74	04-15 20:35