Failing-Scarecrow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

Trades

13,332

lifetime

Volume

$96.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 05-09 15:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% $-48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 983 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 10am et	182	$435	849	35	+814	open	—	04-14 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$418	220	210	+10	open	—	04-27 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$388	405	0	+405	open	—	04-28 22:13
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 5am et	76	$342	358	165	+193	open	—	04-14 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$331	348	0	+348	open	—	04-28 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$306	321	0	+321	open	—	04-28 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$305	316	0	+316	open	—	04-28 05:38
btc updown 5m 1776867000	3	$298	156	149	+7	open	—	04-22 14:14
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 1pm et	61	$298	314	138	+176	open	—	04-14 18:00
bitcoin up or down april 14 2026 6am et	137	$288	579	0	+579	open	—	04-14 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$286	297	0	+297	open	—	04-28 07:38
btc updown 5m 1776854700	9	$284	209	203	+6	open	—	04-22 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$275	286	0	+286	open	—	04-28 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$265	277	0	+277	open	—	04-28 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	3	$241	479	0	+479	open	—	04-27 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$228	238	0	+238	open	—	04-28 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$221	227	0	+227	open	—	04-26 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$216	231	0	+231	open	—	04-28 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$212	275	0	+275	open	—	04-27 16:04
btc updown 5m 1776730200	3	$212	111	106	+5	open	—	04-21 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$206	222	0	+222	open	—	04-28 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	4	$200	291	0	+291	open	—	04-25 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$196	207	0	+207	open	—	04-26 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$195	109	99	+10	open	—	05-02 16:54
btc updown 5m 1775139900	7	$194	112	111	+1	open	—	04-02 14:28
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 9am et	45	$182	232	91	+140	open	—	04-13 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$181	200	0	+200	open	—	04-28 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$180	191	0	+191	open	—	04-26 09:33
btc updown 5m 1776768900	3	$178	95	89	+6	open	—	04-21 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$173	186	0	+186	open	—	04-27 23:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 15:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x3055c7…
05-09 15:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x4768fd…
05-09 15:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc637d8…
05-09 15:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe96b8b…
05-09 15:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb8d01c…
05-09 15:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0xce7b10…
05-09 15:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4d2ab8…
05-09 15:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xdec35a…
05-09 15:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xbdb1bb…
05-08 16:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x180178…
05-08 16:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xc70e52…
05-08 16:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x2bba0d…
05-08 16:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x493109…
05-08 15:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x451f19…
05-08 15:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2cdcc7…
05-05 00:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x1f7734…
05-03 13:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	77	95¢	$73	0xbec8d1…
05-03 13:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcfd867…
05-03 13:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x1cc8ce…
05-03 13:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7ddbfd…
05-03 13:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x342e43…
05-03 13:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x67f428…
05-03 13:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3f4d4e…
05-03 13:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc8a798…
05-03 13:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x79f0a0…
05-03 13:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x2dda00…
05-03 13:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xa184f3…
05-03 13:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x440509…
05-03 13:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x5091a4…
05-03 13:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x21876e…
05-03 12:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0xbe21ad…
05-03 12:58:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	170	98¢	$167	0x42b161…
05-03 12:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x3a00bf…
05-03 12:55:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xde8f16…
05-03 12:54:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0xfbabb4…
05-03 12:53:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0x0b9837…
05-03 12:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x66d1ed…
05-03 12:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x603a11…
05-03 12:50:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9f774b…
05-03 12:50:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2294dd…
05-03 12:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xd71839…
05-03 12:46:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x74c061…
05-03 12:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x91a3a1…
05-03 12:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xbfaa7f…
05-03 12:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbd340f…
05-03 12:43:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x365c34…
05-03 12:42:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x0f406e…
05-03 12:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x2f24d9…
05-03 12:40:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf9ab9c…
05-03 12:40:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0x761426…
05-03 12:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3b374f…
05-03 12:39:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8c9fa0…
05-03 12:35:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xe9c874…
05-03 12:30:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x93b86a…
05-03 12:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x3d5956…
05-03 12:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf59d56…
05-03 12:30:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x866a09…
05-03 12:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$0	0x81d5cf…
05-03 12:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x4e97ca…
05-03 12:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xc1e9a9…
05-03 12:25:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x4a0c04…
05-03 12:25:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x565358…
05-03 12:25:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x0b21be…
05-03 12:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xd8234b…
05-03 12:22:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x2eea55…
05-03 12:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xcfee8b…
05-03 12:20:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x43165c…
05-03 12:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x99fddc…
05-03 12:18:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x593815…
05-03 12:15:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb1247a…
05-03 12:15:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x79f675…
05-03 12:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x4843d5…
05-03 12:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xab0f09…
05-03 12:10:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xf16e19…
05-03 12:10:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4a6c4b…
05-03 12:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x8ee93f…
05-03 12:10:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xdb5c87…
05-03 12:06:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x6d376b…
05-03 12:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x72356c…
05-03 12:05:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc851a3…
05-03 12:05:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x43b40a…
05-03 12:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x5cd2f5…
05-03 12:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xf8f0c0…
05-03 12:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xe7ebb3…
05-03 11:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	124	98¢	$121	0x585598…
05-03 11:58:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	148	98¢	$145	0x8dab02…
05-03 11:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x6adfb4…
05-03 11:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x392842…
05-03 11:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	114	97¢	$111	0xa0b6af…
05-03 11:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x0de8d1…
05-03 11:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xfe9cb3…
05-03 11:46:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xa11645…
05-03 11:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xde163e…
05-03 11:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x5e8d90…
05-03 11:45:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xa23d10…
05-03 11:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xc05c23…
05-03 11:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x52cae2…
05-03 11:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xcf461c…
05-03 11:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x9a3e68…
05-03 11:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x949af9…