Carefree-Quill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

257

Trades

812

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-14 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% -$41

Other

0% 0% -$20

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$581	435	220	+214	Up	+$52	04-26 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$523	268	268	+1	Up	+$8	04-26 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$442	445	271	+174	Up	+$4	04-26 18:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 22:50 UTC	9	$368	421	403	+19	Down	+$56	04-15 22:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:15 UTC	3	$361	216	211	+5	Down	+$62	04-15 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:20 UTC	7	$343	361	347	+14	Up	+$10	04-15 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$303	285	278	+6	Up	-$87	04-27 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	4	$295	281	270	+11	Down	+$27	04-27 09:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:05 UTC	2	$278	243	234	+9	Down	+$35	04-15 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$261	310	294	+16	Down	+$81	04-27 07:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 21:15 UTC	7	$252	540	514	+26	Down	-$116	04-15 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$242	247	0	+247	Up	+$5	04-26 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$240	243	0	+243	Up	+$3	04-26 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$237	240	0	+240	Down	+$2	04-26 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$225	238	0	+238	Up	+$13	04-26 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$216	261	0	+261	Down	-$40	04-26 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$214	225	0	+225	Up	+$11	04-26 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:35 UTC	7	$210	320	138	+181	Down	+$74	04-15 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$210	214	0	+214	Up	+$4	04-26 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$201	217	0	+217	Down	+$16	04-26 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$200	219	0	+219	Up	+$19	04-26 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 19:10 UTC	4	$199	146	141	+5	Down	+$8	04-15 19:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:00 UTC	2	$189	162	155	+7	Down	+$63	04-15 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$150	2,740	0	+2,740	Down	-$150	04-27 07:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 22:15 UTC	9	$143	150	145	+6	Down	+$3	04-15 22:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 22:35 UTC	7	$141	172	101	+71	Up	+$2	04-15 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$130	155	0	+155	Down	+$25	04-26 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 19:55 UTC	3	$126	109	105	+4	Down	+$18	04-15 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$122	129	72	+57	Up	-$48	04-26 21:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 22:45 UTC	7	$119	131	126	+5	Up	-$12	04-15 22:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 17:38:39	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	170	9¢	$15	0x3049bd…
06-14 17:37:04	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0xd5823c…
06-02 16:05:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,992	1¢	$28	0x4ad089…
06-02 16:02:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,992	1¢	$32	0xe9deb2…
04-27 10:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xae04b7…
04-27 10:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	262	2¢	$5	0x700622…
04-27 10:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	281	4¢	$11	0x956a0a…
04-27 10:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	95	8¢	$8	0x40c83d…
04-27 10:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x352f1c…
04-27 09:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	104	50¢	$52	0x483b3c…
04-27 09:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	108	49¢	$53	0x6d377a…
04-27 09:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0x20435e…
04-27 09:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	59	81¢	$48	0x7b6c84…
04-27 09:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	220	23¢	$51	0x942b9f…
04-27 09:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	226	65¢	$148	0x978a75…
04-27 09:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x83e272…
04-27 09:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	49	99¢	$48	0xfd79f2…
04-27 09:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x96eee6…
04-27 09:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x979192…
04-27 09:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe30bb3…
04-27 09:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	260	58¢	$151	0x44bdc9…
04-27 09:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	270	46¢	$124	0x4bbf67…
04-27 09:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	182	10¢	$18	0x3e5748…
04-27 09:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x0b4784…
04-27 07:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x7d292f…
04-27 07:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x405473…
04-27 07:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0x8a7140…
04-27 07:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe66533…
04-27 07:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x43dfc3…
04-27 07:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xf62c1d…
04-27 07:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0xd347be…
04-27 07:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0xedd6ac…
04-27 07:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x853a01…
04-27 07:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x2ebbd1…
04-27 07:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x9f4d7d…
04-27 07:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x3f333a…
04-27 07:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x818557…
04-27 07:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	161	33¢	$53	0xb29c4c…
04-27 07:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	170	29¢	$50	0xb42807…
04-27 07:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x92a486…
04-27 07:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd41eca…
04-27 07:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4df82b…
04-27 07:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x16ec64…
04-27 07:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x639a5c…
04-27 07:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	294	58¢	$171	0x6d236b…
04-27 07:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	310	29¢	$90	0xebdb6f…
04-27 07:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2,740	5¢	$150	0x141459…
04-27 06:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	28	40¢	$11	0x245953…
04-27 06:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x11afc3…
04-27 06:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	127	78¢	$100	0xbffe80…
04-26 21:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x1e4798…
04-26 21:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	72	51¢	$37	0x2456f3…
04-26 21:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	74	47¢	$35	0x0ac483…
04-26 21:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7c1fe7…
04-26 21:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	28	30¢	$8	0xda5af9…
04-26 21:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xbc4f6b…
04-26 21:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	268	99¢	$265	0xe84c42…
04-26 21:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	268	96¢	$258	0x4cedcb…
04-26 21:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xf39113…
04-26 21:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x61a1b8…
04-26 21:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xbc2efc…
04-26 21:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x5b3809…
04-26 20:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	247	98¢	$242	0x93d5d0…
04-26 20:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	243	99¢	$240	0x46a9f5…
04-26 19:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	240	99¢	$237	0xffb041…
04-26 18:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	238	95¢	$225	0xec2f55…
04-26 18:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	225	95¢	$214	0xb4d30e…
04-26 18:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	214	98¢	$210	0xb87bb2…
04-26 18:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0xc20a75…
04-26 18:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	220	95¢	$209	0x217eb4…
04-26 18:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	225	73¢	$164	0x5e689b…
04-26 18:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	166	79¢	$131	0x1b6ce2…
04-26 18:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	271	50¢	$136	0xa12fdb…
04-26 18:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	279	63¢	$175	0x2005b7…
04-26 18:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	176	94¢	$166	0xe03882…
04-26 18:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xa9c7b0…
04-26 18:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	217	93¢	$201	0xcf5a9c…
04-26 18:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	101	49¢	$50	0xa1dcc7…
04-26 16:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	155	84¢	$130	0x2644f9…
04-26 16:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x6ca6db…
04-26 16:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x3d3f40…
04-26 16:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	122	77¢	$94	0x527d3f…
04-16 21:44:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	282	33¢	$93	0x597393…
04-16 21:31:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	94	41¢	$39	0x108117…
04-16 21:30:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	99	37¢	$36	0xe01797…
04-16 21:23:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0xd4195b…
04-16 21:23:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0xa8a52d…
04-16 21:22:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x7ec19e…
04-16 18:52:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 18:50 UTC	Up	SELL	44	92¢	$41	0x9f6f69…
04-16 18:51:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	44	76¢	$33	0xcb551b…
04-16 18:50:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe4c833…
04-16 17:00:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	67	43¢	$29	0x26569d…
04-16 17:00:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	71	53¢	$38	0x560db5…
04-16 16:33:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xbf207b…
04-16 16:32:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	34	47¢	$16	0x04814d…
04-16 16:32:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	43	45¢	$19	0xe4f8d7…
04-16 16:20:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x0d5ab3…
04-16 16:16:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	26	69¢	$18	0x92c38e…
04-16 15:50:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x7153a5…
04-16 15:46:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	35	29¢	$10	0x6d2489…