Slight-Cupboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$187

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

2,378

Trades

2,838

lifetime

Volume

$19.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 11-01 16:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 52% -$266

Other

14% 82% +$124

Politics

2% 50% -$9

Tech

1% 33% -$34

Sports

1% 43% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 174 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	10	$760	755	154	+600	Yes	+$93	07-12 18:03
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	14	$664	674	674	+0	No	+$19	07-12 17:27
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	3	$335	182	182	+0	No	+$0	06-27 22:54
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?	2	$167	84	84	+0	No	+$1	06-27 19:28
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	2	$165	85	85	+0	No	+$2	06-27 19:23
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	2	$164	86	86	+0	No	+$5	06-27 19:29
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	5	$144	116	116	+0	Yes	-$20	08-16 09:07
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	3	$107	59	59	+0	No	+$5	07-03 22:40
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$96	271	271	+0	No	-$6	07-03 23:32
ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	2	$93	47	47	+0	No	+$1	06-27 19:29
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	3	$90	46	46	+0	No	+$1	06-28 20:03
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?	1	$85	90	0	+90	No	+$5	06-15 13:20
will russia capture havrylivka by december 31 2026	2	$84	52	52	+0	open	—	07-29 21:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$80	205	205	+0	open	—	07-14 21:04
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	2	$68	67	67	+0	Yes	-$22	06-22 18:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 23:35 UTC	3	$57	37	36	+1	Down	+$15	04-07 23:40
Will England win on 2026-06-27?	2	$57	31	31	+0	Yes	+$5	06-27 23:11
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	3	$53	30	30	+0	Yes	+$7	07-02 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 20:30 UTC	2	$49	31	30	+1	Up	+$13	04-15 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 22:55 UTC	2	$45	27	26	+1	Up	+$7	04-07 23:02
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	2	$44	100	100	+0	open	—	07-13 21:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 13:30 UTC	4	$42	26	26	+0	Down	+$9	04-09 13:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 20:15 UTC	2	$42	23	23	+0	Down	+$5	04-07 20:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 13:45 UTC	2	$40	53	0	+53	Down	+$2	04-08 13:55
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$40	77	77	+0	open	—	07-13 21:16
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$37	59	59	+0	No	+$5	07-04 12:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 09:30 UTC	4	$36	23	23	+0	Up	+$10	04-13 09:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 01:20 UTC	5	$36	71	0	+71	Down	+$35	04-08 01:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 23:40 UTC	2	$36	25	24	+1	Down	+$14	04-07 23:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 19:20 UTC	1	$35	52	0	+52	Down	-$35	04-07 19:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 16:56:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x5d7de6…
11-01 16:54:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xc7bdc1…
11-01 16:34:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0xa5f003…
11-01 15:59:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4b2789…
11-01 15:49:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0xf9d43a…
11-01 15:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x1ae965…
11-01 15:36:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x1d45e1…
11-01 15:34:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xc92153…
11-01 15:32:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0xb2556d…
11-01 15:29:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x465749…
11-01 15:24:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$5	0x33925f…
11-01 15:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x5df475…
11-01 15:19:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x374172…
11-01 11:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x23fac2…
11-01 11:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x528a97…
11-01 11:34:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xa1ff4b…
11-01 11:29:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x00df8c…
11-01 11:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x5fb049…
10-31 15:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xe7751e…
10-31 15:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x20e628…
10-31 15:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x9b7ca6…
10-31 15:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x5da8d2…
10-31 15:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	58¢	$8	0x3b7326…
10-31 15:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x1263ec…
10-31 14:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xa13d93…
10-31 14:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x3fc394…
10-31 14:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xeaa53f…
10-31 14:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x771ca0…
10-31 14:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x816a37…
10-31 13:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x3d6d09…
10-31 13:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xf0d888…
10-31 13:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x087085…
10-31 13:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0xb92afa…
10-31 13:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x5edbd2…
10-31 13:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	44¢	$6	0xe8ec5f…
10-31 12:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xdc6398…
10-31 12:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x7b72b0…
10-31 12:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x4d2092…
10-31 12:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xad1df2…
10-31 12:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x7c6d3a…
10-31 12:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x58f266…
10-31 12:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x19b6af…
10-31 11:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xbcda69…
10-31 11:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xf04ce8…
10-31 11:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x439c02…
10-31 11:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0xeed919…
10-31 11:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0xe19237…
10-31 11:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x7e49e8…
10-31 11:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x4abb62…
10-31 10:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	44¢	$6	0x820209…
10-31 10:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xa748c9…
10-31 10:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x78e7dd…
10-31 10:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x19ff0a…
10-31 10:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xd96b6f…
10-31 10:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x56a447…
10-31 10:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x57f903…
10-31 09:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x51840c…
10-31 09:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	30¢	$6	0xe64f76…
10-31 09:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	29¢	$5	0x873bbf…
10-31 09:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	32¢	$6	0xead032…
10-31 09:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0x694682…
10-31 08:59:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$7	0x555df3…
10-31 08:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x99cdb8…
10-31 08:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$7	0x5a9537…
10-31 08:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	44¢	$6	0xed7d3a…
10-31 08:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x1dc194…
10-31 08:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0x36cb1e…
10-31 08:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x1945b5…
10-31 07:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x5fef26…
10-31 07:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x9e3f18…
10-31 07:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x5673b6…
10-31 07:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x0c933b…
10-31 07:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x490095…
10-31 07:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xf10b11…
10-31 06:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xedca06…
10-31 06:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x963bd3…
10-31 06:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	44¢	$6	0xa00385…
10-31 06:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xccd4f4…
10-31 05:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xd5780b…
10-31 05:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x2107e1…
10-31 04:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0x4c91e8…
10-31 04:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x4ae24f…
10-31 04:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xb97817…
10-31 04:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x01cad6…
10-31 04:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x0a1534…
10-31 03:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xaa4734…
10-31 03:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	44¢	$6	0xae969c…
10-31 03:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x080f33…
10-31 03:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xa68de6…
10-31 03:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	44¢	$6	0xc4a3df…
10-31 02:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xb721bd…
10-31 02:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0x882aeb…
10-31 02:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0x7eb05b…
10-31 02:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x7d1f3f…
10-31 02:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0xb4b190…
10-31 02:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x0005d7…
10-31 02:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xe5ac48…
10-31 02:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xd57501…
10-31 01:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x806e5b…
10-31 01:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x59b789…