Negative-Oregano — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$718

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

1,338

Trades

2,768

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 06-20 17:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 39% -$363

Politics

38% 13% +$1,173

Other

5% 20% -$33

Sports

4% 26% -$59

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	24	$1.3K	2,530	2,530	+0	Yes	+$1,127	04-07 22:35
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	2	$637	538	538	+0	Yes	+$286	02-28 06:46
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	13	$362	6,238	5,585	+653	No	+$149	06-11 22:29
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$269	1,034	1,034	+0	Yes	+$83	02-27 15:47
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	25	$209	3,389	2,139	+1,250	No	-$40	03-14 17:31
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$161	97	97	+0	Yes	+$33	03-16 02:24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$146	165	165	+0	Yes	+$119	03-03 20:48
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	12	$144	1,168	1,168	+0	No	-$40	03-14 15:31
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	6	$135	1,250	1,250	+0	No	+$101	06-14 23:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	13	$120	3,597	597	+3,000	No	-$41	03-05 22:54
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	5	$117	2,452	1,412	+1,040	No	-$43	02-28 02:58
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	3	$115	1,104	1,104	+0	Yes	-$5	02-27 01:01
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$104	100	100	+0	Yes	+$78	02-28 06:42
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	3	$93	358	358	+0	No	-$43	02-18 22:13
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	7	$92	402	402	+0	No	-$20	02-24 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:45 UTC	6	$82	79	69	+10	Up	+$6	03-10 01:49
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	3	$73	1,407	1,407	+0	No	-$17	02-07 05:03
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	6	$73	351	351	+0	No	-$23	04-02 01:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:30 UTC	7	$70	70	27	+43	Down	-$34	03-10 01:34
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	5	$68	111	111	+0	No	+$4	04-16 19:09
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	3	$66	47	46	+0	Yes	+$16	05-19 22:27
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	10	$66	1,238	1,238	+0	No	-$21	02-25 01:43
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	4	$64	737	737	+0	No	-$2	06-11 17:35
Canadiens vs. Lightning	5	$60	63	46	+17	Canadiens	+$16	04-30 01:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	4	$59	42	42	+0	No	-$1	04-17 22:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:35 UTC	2	$59	43	42	+1	Down	+$23	03-12 14:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 19:05 UTC	3	$57	76	46	+30	Down	+$6	02-25 19:06
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	7	$57	952	952	+0	open	—	05-17 22:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:55 UTC	7	$56	61	33	+28	Up	+$12	03-10 01:59
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	7	$54	132	132	+0	No	+$2	04-15 20:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 17:08:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe4e0ea…
06-20 17:04:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x498e00…
06-20 17:03:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x815d69…
06-20 06:30:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0ceae2…
06-20 06:29:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x184b2f…
06-20 06:29:25	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?	Yes	BUY	3,352	0¢	$8	0xf21bd4…
06-19 19:32:40	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	1,560	0¢	$2	0xc8f240…
06-19 19:32:20	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$1	0x4dab24…
06-17 17:44:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x22715a…
06-17 17:44:29	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	Yes	BUY	1,330	0¢	$4	0x7ee47f…
06-17 17:41:47	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x970d4d…
06-17 17:40:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$6	0x7fca51…
06-16 23:15:08	Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x7c1c84…
06-16 23:14:31	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	Yes	SELL	837	0¢	$2	0xe26e72…
06-16 04:28:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf846a7…
06-16 04:24:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1a7916…
06-16 04:23:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x54af32…
06-16 04:22:10	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	Yes	BUY	837	1¢	$7	0x529d88…
06-16 04:21:54	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x1f33da…
06-15 05:03:00	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	SELL	52	78¢	$41	0x92d3c9…
06-15 00:50:39	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	52	21¢	$11	0x032200…
06-14 23:53:58	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	SELL	747	13¢	$100	0xc4d5f4…
06-14 22:43:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:40 UTC	Up	SELL	10	78¢	$7	0xa583ed…
06-14 22:41:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x91b150…
06-14 21:51:12	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	BUY	747	1¢	$10	0x6edbab…
06-11 22:29:25	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	1,230	0¢	$1	0xa1e4cf…
06-11 22:29:07	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	Yes	SELL	168	1¢	$1	0x98f915…
06-11 19:36:45	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x7acd35…
06-11 19:36:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?	Yes	BUY	1,234	0¢	$6	0x334fc0…
06-11 19:36:07	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	BUY	451	1¢	$3	0x02c076…
06-11 19:35:40	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	103	2¢	$2	0x1ef6ec…
06-11 18:14:19	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	BUY	430	1¢	$3	0xb7c766…
06-11 17:35:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	641	4¢	$24	0x05733a…
06-11 16:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 16:50 UTC	Down	SELL	33	58¢	$19	0x664645…
06-11 16:54:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x64f2f8…
06-11 16:52:48	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x04ba2d…
06-11 16:52:09	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?	Yes	BUY	529	1¢	$3	0xe2cb0f…
06-11 16:51:40	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?	Yes	BUY	867	0¢	$2	0x59c8af…
06-11 16:50:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	96	8¢	$7	0xc5027b…
06-10 23:17:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	594	5¢	$27	0xa22911…
06-10 23:03:16	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	143	4¢	$6	0xb6b00a…
06-10 23:02:54	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?	Yes	SELL	1,416	0¢	$4	0x8a2dcf…
06-10 23:02:42	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	SELL	509	0¢	$2	0xffc216…
06-09 23:59:10	Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	BUY	436	1¢	$2	0xc1a9e5…
06-09 23:58:42	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0x169002…
06-09 06:44:19	Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	BUY	415	1¢	$3	0x7ed05e…
06-09 06:43:34	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	Yes	SELL	467	1¢	$3	0x0a4010…
06-08 16:31:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	740	0¢	$1	0x272faf…
06-08 16:31:00	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	SELL	72	1¢	$1	0xbed285…
06-07 21:42:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0x28b702…
06-07 21:41:45	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	SELL	291	1¢	$3	0x44d3e7…
06-05 22:57:37	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	BUY	3,930	0¢	$4	0x4a7a0f…
06-05 22:57:19	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	SELL	144	3¢	$4	0xe53fc5…
05-30 23:46:08	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	BUY	800	2¢	$12	0x742b31…
05-30 23:46:00	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	Yes	BUY	3,333	1¢	$20	0x0de686…
05-30 02:05:18	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	2,715	0¢	$5	0xed82f1…
05-30 02:04:49	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	SELL	102	5¢	$6	0x885b75…
05-26 21:09:24	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	223	3¢	$8	0xce327a…
05-26 21:09:08	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	SELL	111	7¢	$8	0x4f1c69…
05-23 21:32:08	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	Yes	BUY	356	4¢	$16	0xe43863…
05-23 21:30:58	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	Yes	BUY	485	4¢	$20	0x252d38…
05-23 21:11:48	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x8d49bd…
05-23 21:11:27	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?	Yes	SELL	1,238	0¢	$3	0xc46c04…
05-22 01:04:07	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0xed5800…
05-22 01:03:13	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	Yes	SELL	72	1¢	$1	0xfeb14d…
05-22 01:02:57	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	Yes	SELL	1,393	0¢	$1	0xec9e46…
05-22 01:02:36	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xe8a54c…
05-21 05:00:17	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0xdc012d…
05-21 00:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0x099247…
05-21 00:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4c5596…
05-20 20:50:10	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	Yes	BUY	213	9¢	$20	0x29ad79…
05-20 20:49:42	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	Yes	BUY	222	10¢	$22	0xaf1c1b…
05-20 20:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xd6edf2…
05-20 20:00:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?	Yes	SELL	667	0¢	$1	0x5e6e2e…
05-20 19:59:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?	Yes	BUY	342	2¢	$6	0xd1cd14…
05-20 17:31:21	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	Yes	SELL	4,878	5¢	$250	0x9c898d…
05-19 22:27:54	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	46	89¢	$41	0xe94c18…
05-19 20:23:56	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	SELL	464	3¢	$13	0xebd7bc…
05-19 02:07:07	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0x572d70…
05-19 01:06:03	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x14da31…
05-19 01:05:45	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xb45749…
05-17 22:13:34	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x49bbbf…
05-17 22:13:17	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	638	2¢	$12	0xb40049…
05-17 22:11:37	Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x58a2a0…
05-17 19:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4b59e9…
05-17 19:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x7888a9…
05-17 19:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x47d66e…
05-17 19:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x179027…
05-17 19:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0c75d3…
05-17 19:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8f14aa…
05-17 15:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0xfdac84…
05-17 15:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x2f8d64…
05-17 02:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x424726…
05-17 02:41:22	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x342f02…
05-17 01:40:38	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	SELL	27	61¢	$16	0xf39d4a…
05-17 00:45:03	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0xf1cbce…
05-17 00:44:29	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	170	3¢	$5	0x394228…
05-15 01:15:38	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	94	2¢	$2	0x181369…
05-15 01:14:51	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0xb42f01…
05-11 01:46:40	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x782dcf…