Nice-Fallingout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$552

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

4,189

Trades

6,554

lifetime

Volume

$21.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-29 06:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 45% -$505

Other

1% 39% -$47

Sports

0% 33% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 312 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	—	+4	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	10-29 08:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:15 UTC	8	$277	242	231	+11	Down	+$100	04-09 03:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 03:15 UTC	5	$246	177	173	+4	Down	+$13	04-15 03:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:20 UTC	5	$189	217	210	+7	Up	-$50	04-09 03:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 02:45 UTC	4	$174	122	119	+3	Down	+$19	04-15 02:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 03:10 UTC	4	$163	105	103	+2	Down	+$13	04-15 03:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:15 UTC	6	$127	115	111	+4	Down	+$17	04-14 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 04:00 UTC	5	$118	91	89	+2	Up	-$9	04-09 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:35 UTC	4	$116	93	90	+2	Down	-$2	04-09 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	15	$108	197	85	+112	Down	-$29	05-10 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:55 UTC	6	$107	129	124	+6	Down	+$5	04-09 03:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 03:25 UTC	7	$102	91	89	+2	Down	+$70	04-15 03:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 02:35 UTC	4	$101	74	72	+2	Down	+$21	04-15 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	15	$88	86	80	+6	Up	+$24	05-10 07:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 16:10 UTC	2	$87	46	46	+0	Down	+$0	04-14 16:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 03:50 UTC	4	$79	88	58	+31	Up	-$5	04-15 03:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:10 UTC	4	$74	68	65	+3	Down	+$15	04-09 03:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 10:15 UTC	4	$74	55	54	+1	Down	+$5	04-14 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 13:55 UTC	2	$71	45	44	+1	Up	+$1	04-14 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:30 UTC	5	$71	104	51	+53	Up	-$12	04-09 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	18	$71	106	78	+28	Up	+$9	05-10 06:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 02:55 UTC	3	$70	49	34	+15	Up	-$2	04-15 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 04:05 UTC	5	$68	57	56	+1	Down	-$14	04-09 04:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 08:10 UTC	8	$67	225	72	+154	Down	-$4	04-16 08:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:45 UTC	7	$64	131	57	+74	Down	+$4	04-15 05:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 05:10 UTC	4	$63	49	47	+2	Up	+$13	04-16 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 02:45 UTC	4	$60	59	57	+2	Up	+$4	04-09 02:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 03:40 UTC	3	$60	42	40	+2	Down	+$22	04-15 03:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:00 UTC	4	$56	43	42	+1	Up	$0	04-09 03:04
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	4	$56	570	532	+39	No	-$16	04-08 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 06:05 UTC	7	$56	85	71	+14	Up	-$18	04-15 06:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 08:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5a0204…
10-29 08:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf6db9e…
10-29 07:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x078b40…
10-29 07:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd5d9f9…
10-29 07:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x571b6c…
10-29 07:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1d7ea2…
10-29 07:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc2ad9d…
10-29 07:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1bbfae…
10-29 07:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0xc631fa…
10-29 07:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x864fa1…
10-29 07:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x665a39…
10-29 07:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xf9d614…
10-29 07:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1b6ae4…
10-29 07:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x9dbaa2…
10-29 07:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe857c6…
10-29 07:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd91706…
10-29 07:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x45ca35…
10-29 07:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe8320b…
10-29 07:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4483c0…
10-29 06:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfce402…
10-29 06:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x712da0…
10-29 06:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x08583b…
10-29 06:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd03771…
10-29 06:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xbe0661…
10-29 06:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfee4d4…
10-29 06:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x114981…
10-29 06:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x061309…
10-29 06:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x798889…
10-29 06:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xce601e…
10-29 06:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x97e696…
10-29 06:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb957b4…
10-29 06:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xae2eeb…
10-29 06:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5a7d29…
10-29 06:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x68920f…
10-29 05:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x301744…
10-29 05:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x353ade…
10-29 05:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x8f611d…
10-29 05:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xeab598…
10-29 05:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc91287…
10-29 05:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc40399…
10-29 05:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xafbc00…
10-29 05:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9c7647…
10-29 04:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa55167…
10-29 04:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x609f22…
10-29 04:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x18405d…
10-29 04:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc02cdb…
10-29 04:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb7c01e…
10-29 04:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xab5c3f…
10-29 04:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xcff376…
10-29 04:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc0b38e…
10-29 04:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x821492…
10-29 04:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb93abb…
10-29 04:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0aafce…
10-29 04:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe29811…
10-29 04:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x6b274c…
10-29 04:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3fbe15…
10-29 04:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc12a5c…
10-29 04:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdd2071…
10-29 03:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf30a86…
10-29 03:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe64541…
10-29 03:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf2d951…
10-29 03:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5ec662…
10-29 03:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0cdfe4…
10-29 03:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x56a419…
10-29 03:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x9e0403…
10-29 03:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x35bc8a…
10-29 03:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd9bffe…
10-29 03:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbed092…
10-29 03:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x94350f…
10-29 03:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3fc6b8…
10-29 02:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa672a9…
10-29 02:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2d07a5…
10-29 02:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x62fd00…
10-29 02:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x89a64c…
10-29 02:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x3360fa…
10-29 02:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x49edf8…
10-29 02:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0cb05a…
10-29 02:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x77f732…
10-29 02:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x902565…
10-29 02:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x572452…
10-29 02:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5d48ae…
10-29 02:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x12b2cf…
10-28 23:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xd35ed8…
10-28 23:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xf43f27…
10-28 23:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd85e30…
10-28 23:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xad64bc…
10-28 16:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xdc8d87…
10-28 15:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa72215…
10-28 15:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x554def…
10-28 15:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4728b7…
10-28 15:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x08f5ab…
10-28 15:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x00e7ed…
10-28 15:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0xe5de87…
10-28 15:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7575d8…
10-28 15:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0xef0ad6…
10-28 15:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x8576cb…
10-28 15:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1f4c54…
10-28 15:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xaa0765…
10-28 15:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x947cd2…
10-28 15:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x47e826…