Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Down won
Total volume
$46,583
Trades
4,859
Unique wallets
981
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-11-04
last 11-04 13:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.4¢
(top1%: 18% YES on $16.0K
vs crowd: 20% YES on $40.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 168 | $3.8K | $17.6K | $13.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 230 | $1.4K | $8.6K | $7.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 300 | $1.7K | $4.9K | $3.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 283 | $921 | $1.2K | $293 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 158 | $2.9K | $13.1K | $10.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 115 | $850 | $4.6K | $3.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 69 | $218 | $730 | $513 |
| Median | 74 | $124 | $370 | $246 |
| Below median | 275 | $502 | $2.2K | $1.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 110 | $623 | $1.3K | $712 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 110 | $872 | $4.3K | $3.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 70 | $1.7K | $5.7K | $3.9K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x1476…ec90 | Up | +3,244 | $400 | $400 | 3 | 11-04 13:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x78cc…6ec7 | Up | +2,190 | $450 | $450 | 3 | 11-04 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2ab…3bb3 | Down | +1,921 | $980 | $980 | 4 | 11-04 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +1,547 | $1,136 | $1,136 | 91 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +1,477 | $217 | $217 | 78 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +1,317 | $139 | $139 | 52 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x5037…88e7 | Down | +1,200 | $1,185 | $1,185 | 1 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +1,174 | $931 | $931 | 37 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +1,092 | $198 | $198 | 54 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Down | +1,087 | $960 | $960 | 32 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | +1,058 | $847 | $847 | 51 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Down | +1,030 | $940 | $940 | 2 | 11-04 13:54 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +983 | $113 | $113 | 40 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Up | +963 | $119 | $119 | 22 | 11-04 13:54 |
| Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb…f1f6 | Down | +811 | $767 | $767 | 27 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x53e6…dea3 | Down | +743 | $600 | $600 | 2 | 11-04 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bd5…afce | Up | +739 | $89 | $89 | 89 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xc768…fdbf | Down | +733 | $700 | $700 | 3 | 11-04 13:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b10…2920 | Down | +723 | $651 | $651 | 1 | 11-04 13:52 |
| Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e | Down | +707 | $700 | $700 | 14 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xcca3…0b06 | Down | +586 | $552 | $552 | 7 | 11-04 13:54 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Up | +582 | $117 | $117 | 68 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Up | +559 | $153 | $153 | 20 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +543 | $404 | $404 | 25 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +542 | $146 | $146 | 30 | 11-04 13:54 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +540 | $432 | $432 | 19 | 11-04 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x457d…1555 | Up | +500 | $5 | $5 | 27 | 11-04 13:54 |
| Ill-Informed-Full 0xbc58…5e72 | Down | +499 | $377 | $377 | 53 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Up | +480 | $108 | $108 | 10 | 11-04 13:54 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +475 | $389 | $389 | 5 | 11-04 13:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xb129…890c | Up | +441 | $53 | $53 | 11 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +427 | $72 | $72 | 25 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xb129…890c | Down | +409 | $318 | $318 | 11 | 11-04 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xf4d8…0a12 | Up | +400 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 11-04 13:49 |
| Double-Compassion 0x5f02…c123 | Down | +400 | $392 | $392 | 10 | 11-04 13:53 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +394 | $305 | $305 | 13 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x9446…bcaa | Down | +346 | $318 | $331 | 8 | 11-04 13:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x2cb8…7130 | Up | +333 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 11-04 13:51 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +332 | $54 | $54 | 36 | 11-04 13:53 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +321 | $265 | $265 | 22 | 11-04 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf70c…4e63 | Up | +320 | $156 | $156 | 7 | 11-04 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Down | +312 | $269 | $269 | 11 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +311 | $249 | $249 | 20 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Down | +306 | $268 | $268 | 7 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +299 | $60 | $60 | 35 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Up | +291 | $78 | $78 | 7 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Down | +274 | $205 | $205 | 11 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Up | +269 | $61 | $61 | 4 | 11-04 13:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Up | +256 | $75 | $75 | 6 | 11-04 13:54 |
| Velvety-Poppy 0x844f…6fcc | Up | +250 | $100 | $100 | 20 | 11-04 13:51 |
| Wrathful-Tile 0x1b44…d8de | Up | +250 | $40 | $40 | 12 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +250 | $211 | $211 | 34 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x485d…1fe5 | Up | +250 | $2 | $2 | 13 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x180c…f0ab | Up | +240 | $105 | $105 | 33 | 11-04 13:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xb543…5d5e | Down | +240 | $199 | $204 | 12 | 11-04 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Down | +238 | $166 | $166 | 9 | 11-04 13:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Down | +234 | $138 | $138 | 5 | 11-04 13:53 |
| Suspicious-Tree 0x8281…1f0f | Up | +231 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 11-04 13:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Up | +230 | $34 | $34 | 13 | 11-04 13:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-04 13:56:33 | (anonymous) 0xa6d0…f57c | Down | SELL | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x665ac7… |
| 11-04 13:56:33 | (anonymous) 0x4c09…c918 | Down | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x665ac7… |
| 11-04 13:56:07 | (anonymous) 0x8b64…4a9c | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xab9c22… |
| 11-04 13:56:07 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xab9c22… |
| 11-04 13:55:52 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x52da51… |
| 11-04 13:55:52 | (anonymous) 0x9893…37b4 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x52da51… |
| 11-04 13:55:49 | (anonymous) 0x31c1…1c2e | Down | SELL | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x2c758e… |
| 11-04 13:55:49 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x2c758e… |
| 11-04 13:55:37 | Pristine-Smelting 0x04dd…d19b | Down | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x847b00… |
| 11-04 13:55:37 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x847b00… |
| 11-04 13:55:31 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x97748f… |
| 11-04 13:55:31 | (anonymous) 0x5a19…5d6a | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x97748f… |
| 11-04 13:55:25 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe3a90e… |
| 11-04 13:55:25 | (anonymous) 0x6e31…de8c | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe3a90e… |
| 11-04 13:55:10 | (anonymous) 0xc525…0c05 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x86b48c… |
| 11-04 13:55:10 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x86b48c… |
| 11-04 13:55:04 | (anonymous) 0x2817…af55 | Down | SELL | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x662d95… |
| 11-04 13:55:04 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x662d95… |
| 11-04 13:54:55 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 52 | 99¢ | $52 | 0x831df7… |
| 11-04 13:54:55 | (anonymous) 0xc62f…4d92 | Down | SELL | 52 | 99¢ | $52 | 0x831df7… |
| 11-04 13:54:51 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x52a93e… |
| 11-04 13:54:51 | (anonymous) 0x76f4…a35b | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x52a93e… |
| 11-04 13:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xd21eac… |
| 11-04 13:54:43 | (anonymous) 0x359a…d54e | Down | SELL | 27 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xd21eac… |
| 11-04 13:54:42 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0a38d4… |
| 11-04 13:54:42 | Nice-Nonbeliever 0x80d2…47df | Down | SELL | 31 | 99¢ | $31 | 0xcdbf62… |
| 11-04 13:54:42 | (anonymous) 0x9ea2…49eb | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x0a38d4… |
| 11-04 13:54:42 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x29e22c… |
| 11-04 13:54:42 | Secondary-Chopsticks 0x1919…0ca9 | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x29e22c… |
| 11-04 13:54:42 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 31 | 99¢ | $31 | 0xcdbf62… |
| 11-04 13:54:40 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xda597e… |
| 11-04 13:54:40 | (anonymous) 0x0972…0eff | Down | BUY | 82 | 99¢ | $82 | 0xda597e… |
| 11-04 13:54:40 | (anonymous) 0x0dfa…c39c | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xda597e… |
| 11-04 13:54:40 | (anonymous) 0x5ad7…93b4 | Down | SELL | 131 | 99¢ | $129 | 0xda597e… |
| 11-04 13:54:40 | (anonymous) 0xb126…b9e7 | Down | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xda597e… |
| 11-04 13:54:39 | (anonymous) 0x0972…0eff | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xfd0fe3… |
| 11-04 13:54:39 | (anonymous) 0xc5e2…7df2 | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xfd0fe3… |
| 11-04 13:54:37 | (anonymous) 0x0972…0eff | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xcc62bc… |
| 11-04 13:54:37 | (anonymous) 0x0972…0eff | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x38e489… |
| 11-04 13:54:37 | (anonymous) 0x071d…c7ee | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xcc62bc… |
| 11-04 13:54:37 | (anonymous) 0x3128…96d3 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x38e489… |
| 11-04 13:54:36 | Incomplete-Racing 0xef7e…526d | Down | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x360c7a… |
| 11-04 13:54:36 | Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e | Down | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x44cde4… |
| 11-04 13:54:36 | Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x97f3f1… |
| 11-04 13:54:36 | (anonymous) 0xb934…95d0 | Down | SELL | 26 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x44cde4… |
| 11-04 13:54:36 | (anonymous) 0xe361…6f3a | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x97f3f1… |
| 11-04 13:54:36 | Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xbc4c98… |
| 11-04 13:54:36 | Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e | Down | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x9c193a… |
| 11-04 13:54:36 | (anonymous) 0xaf40…9ce7 | Down | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x9c193a… |
| 11-04 13:54:36 | (anonymous) 0x0972…0eff | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x360c7a… |
| 11-04 13:54:36 | Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x360c7a… |
| 11-04 13:54:36 | (anonymous) 0x0972…0eff | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xde04eb… |
| 11-04 13:54:36 | (anonymous) 0x76f9…8ea0 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xde04eb… |
| 11-04 13:54:36 | Gleaming-Initialise 0xa6b7…2309 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xbc4c98… |
| 11-04 13:54:34 | Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x53e941… |
| 11-04 13:54:34 | (anonymous) 0xf910…6455 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x53e941… |
| 11-04 13:54:34 | Huge-Overflight 0x24c5…923d | Down | SELL | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0xf28036… |
| 11-04 13:54:34 | Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e | Down | BUY | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0xf28036… |
| 11-04 13:54:34 | (anonymous) 0x5577…7d35 | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbbc25a… |
| 11-04 13:54:34 | Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbbc25a… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | Gargantuan-Operation 0x3024…b996 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8c61c1… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x457d…1555 | Up | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8e4b99… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x480a…0065 | Down | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xa45b04… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0xf8dd…3972 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xa8d771… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x942c…5d3a | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3be0c2… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x457d…1555 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe9b69d… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc3f78a… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x6d2e…91d4 | Down | SELL | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xa45b04… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…e4a3 | Down | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x55db30… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x457d…1555 | Up | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x47965d… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0xb225…0817 | Down | SELL | 35 | 99¢ | $35 | 0xa45b04… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x457d…1555 | Up | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xee21d2… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0xb225…0817 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x4dd27c… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x8642…710d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa45b04… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x457d…1555 | Up | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd33edc… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x4d09…6699 | Down | BUY | 21 | 98¢ | $21 | 0x918018… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x4d09…6699 | Down | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x0d6e9a… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | Mad-Marketer 0x3b1b…a50b | Down | SELL | 21 | 98¢ | $21 | 0x918018… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e | Down | BUY | 385 | 99¢ | $381 | 0xa45b04… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0xda43…61ee | Up | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0d6e9a… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x17de…cb7b | Down | BUY | 202 | 99¢ | $200 | 0xcf55d4… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0xe7a0…8f4d | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x304148… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x40c1…d54d | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc19b43… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x457d…1555 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc19b43… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0xd691…fcc6 | Down | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x0d6e9a… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | Juvenile-Exam 0xc4e1…0d0e | Up | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x77876d… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x359a…d54e | Down | SELL | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0xa45b04… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x457d…1555 | Up | BUY | 202 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xcf55d4… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…e4a3 | Down | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x4e58e5… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x093d…220e | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe9b69d… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…e4a3 | Down | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x02d4a7… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…e4a3 | Down | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xd33edc… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x457d…1555 | Up | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x612bde… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x457d…1555 | Up | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4e58e5… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0xb225…0817 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x77876d… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x457d…1555 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0a080b… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | Fond-Omega 0x76c7…860e | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4a1ff7… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | Juvenile-Exam 0xc4e1…0d0e | Up | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8e4b99… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x5c60…e4a3 | Down | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x47965d… |
| 11-04 13:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x5084…6c69 | Down | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xa45b04… |