Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$588

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$6.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-17

last 11-09 17:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

46% 67% -$2

Crypto

38% 67% -$129

Politics

13% 50% -$395

Sports

3% 0% -$61

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	3	$591	311	311	+0	Yes	-$7	11-05 12:45
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	2	$517	285	285	+0	Yes	+$52	11-03 17:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	2	$417	217	217	+0	Yes	+$7	10-17 13:49
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	6	$412	676	676	+0	No	-$410	11-07 02:01
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	2	$248	152	152	+0	No	+$0	10-20 21:53
Celtics vs. Pistons	4	$235	180	180	+0	Pistons	-$61	10-20 21:36
wta swiatek chwalin 2026 10 17	2	$202	102	102	+0	Maja Chwalinska	+$2	10-17 13:57
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?	2	$196	106	106	+0	Yes	+$16	10-20 20:54
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	2	$194	123	123	+0	No	-$30	11-09 15:43
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	4	$192	198	61	+136	Yes	-$96	11-09 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$188	105	105	+0	Down	+$22	11-09 14:42
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	2	$184	95	95	+0	No	+$4	10-20 19:23
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	2	$179	90	90	+0	Yellow Submarine	+$1	10-20 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$160	93	93	+0	Down	+$20	11-09 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$148	84	84	+0	Up	-$2	11-09 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$140	75	75	+0	Down	+$10	11-09 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$125	85	85	+0	Up	+$3	11-09 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$121	62	62	+0	Down	+$3	11-09 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$120	160	0	+160	Up	-$120	10-20 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$119	62	62	+0	Up	+$5	11-09 12:35
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	2	$118	60	60	+0	Yes	+$2	11-06 17:00
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	4	$114	77	77	+0	No	+$26	11-06 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$113	81	81	+0	Down	-$13	11-09 12:57
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	2	$109	57	57	+0	Yes	+$5	11-04 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$106	59	59	+0	Up	+$12	11-09 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$105	169	169	+0	Down	-$15	11-04 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$104	58	58	+0	Up	+$12	11-09 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$101	52	52	+0	Up	+$3	11-09 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$97	52	52	+0	Down	+$7	11-04 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$96	50	50	+0	Down	+$2	11-09 11:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 17:42:24	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	73	76¢	$56	0x0c503f…
11-09 16:33:58	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x6b2c96…
11-09 16:09:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	63	71¢	$45	0xfefbb6…
11-09 16:04:43	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	60¢	$34	0x87931a…
11-09 15:43:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	123	66¢	$82	0x4ced66…
11-09 14:48:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	91¢	$112	0xb1ed53…
11-09 14:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x3f6828…
11-09 14:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	105	79¢	$83	0xa9ce26…
11-09 14:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	93	97¢	$90	0x2a85e5…
11-09 14:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	93	75¢	$70	0x7c8c97…
11-09 14:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	84	87¢	$73	0x9e0507…
11-09 14:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	84	89¢	$75	0xa9de6a…
11-09 14:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xef47cb…
11-09 14:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	75	86¢	$65	0x901a3b…
11-09 14:06:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x9963a9…
11-09 14:04:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8c25b3…
11-09 13:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0x41e2cd…
11-09 13:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	66	94¢	$62	0x165fd5…
11-09 13:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x56842f…
11-09 13:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0x2f7e4a…
11-09 13:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x816e49…
11-09 13:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	59	80¢	$47	0xc2b0f7…
11-09 12:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	81	62¢	$50	0x148c93…
11-09 12:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	81	78¢	$63	0x160e3c…
11-09 12:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	85	76¢	$64	0x402f96…
11-09 12:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	85	72¢	$61	0xdf098f…
11-09 12:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xdafe35…
11-09 12:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	62	92¢	$57	0xfc758c…
11-09 12:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x8534df…
11-09 12:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	58	80¢	$46	0xe0e97e…
11-09 12:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	51	90¢	$46	0xac22b5…
11-09 12:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xba5c46…
11-09 12:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xe86e5b…
11-09 12:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x084bcc…
11-09 12:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5828e7…
11-09 12:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x44fc33…
11-09 11:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2896e4…
11-09 11:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xb69a0c…
11-09 11:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xc5efcf…
11-09 05:51:58	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	61	78¢	$48	0xb8c58a…
11-07 16:58:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	61	70¢	$43	0xa24bef…
11-07 16:47:58	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xa09ed8…
11-07 15:06:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x9c8d94…
11-07 15:04:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,224	0¢	$20	0x2c290b…
11-07 12:58:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,680	0¢	$19	0x32a46d…
11-07 12:54:49	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xa50811…
11-07 12:52:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x99052c…
11-07 12:50:51	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb27549…
11-07 04:17:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x425ffa…
11-07 04:12:10	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x199689…
11-07 04:07:51	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6d699b…
11-07 04:05:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x657245…
11-07 02:09:13	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6b38ce…
11-07 02:01:03	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	676	0¢	$1	0xf80fb5…
11-07 01:05:48	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	23¢	$34	0xca51ae…
11-07 00:54:51	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x27cd36…
11-06 22:48:55	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0x665b40…
11-06 17:00:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xbd355c…
11-06 15:04:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x7a64a8…
11-06 13:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0xdb7ac8…
11-06 09:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb22c02…
11-06 09:12:43	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x56f38c…
11-06 08:43:49	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	55	74¢	$41	0x9a4da2…
11-06 06:39:55	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0xced48e…
11-06 06:36:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	67¢	$14	0xe2d07a…
11-05 12:47:24	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	313	86¢	$269	0x786a70…
11-05 12:45:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	288	94¢	$270	0xd7026d…
11-04 21:55:45	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xf303e7…
11-04 21:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x00f50e…
11-04 21:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe4bdd9…
11-04 21:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xa0782b…
11-04 21:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4a2d8b…
11-04 21:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xdaeeff…
11-04 21:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	22	94¢	$20	0xaeb544…
11-04 21:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x79aa37…
11-04 21:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8bc580…
11-04 21:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0bda99…
11-04 21:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xfe3361…
11-04 21:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x8279c2…
11-04 21:15:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0x9671ed…
11-04 18:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x51e29f…
11-04 18:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x373ddb…
11-04 18:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xad64aa…
11-04 18:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	169	26¢	$45	0x1efaeb…
11-04 18:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	169	36¢	$60	0x7647c9…
11-04 17:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x93812c…
11-04 17:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd5127e…
11-04 17:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	88¢	$55	0xe9ea49…
11-04 17:01:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x926aa2…
11-04 13:57:13	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	91¢	$52	0x207d97…
11-04 13:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x831df7…
11-04 13:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	52	86¢	$45	0x4482e0…
11-04 11:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	46	81¢	$37	0x5a0bd2…
11-04 11:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x6042d8…
11-04 11:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0xefe706…
11-03 17:48:19	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	311	96¢	$299	0xfd71c2…
11-03 17:45:06	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	35	78¢	$27	0xcfa7f7…
11-03 17:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x678045…
11-03 17:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x7bc4bd…
11-03 17:07:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	285	100¢	$285	0x1bf672…