Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$933

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.2%

Resolved

1,341

Trades

3,832

lifetime

Volume

$24.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-05

last 10-29 17:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

75% 23% -$788

Sports

14% 26% -$86

Politics

6% 0% -$46

Tech

3% 0% —

Crypto

1% 33% -$6

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 434 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	2	$362	385	385	+0	open	—	10-06 02:58
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	2	$291	229	229	+0	open	—	10-10 21:59
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	2	$265	602	602	+0	open	—	10-13 13:32
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	6	$236	232	232	+0	open	—	10-17 15:04
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	2	$221	140	140	+0	open	—	10-09 20:32
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	2	$219	211	211	+0	open	—	10-15 07:39
Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?	9	$217	190	190	+0	open	—	10-05 01:23
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31?	3	$210	168	168	+0	open	—	10-09 04:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 4?	13	$209	164	151	+13	No	+$16	10-04 04:58
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	3	$202	562	562	+0	open	—	10-19 07:07
Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	2	$201	212	212	+0	open	—	10-07 14:36
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	3	$201	349	349	+0	open	—	10-15 12:45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 6?	11	$201	170	170	+0	Yes	$0	10-05 19:03
Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 10-15%?	2	$200	133	133	+0	Yes	-$13	10-06 07:28
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	4	$199	215	215	+0	Yes	-$16	10-04 13:38
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1?	10	$198	153	153	+0	Yes	-$1	10-04 04:58
mlb lad ari 2026 08 07	21	$193	301	301	+0	Arizona Diamondbacks	-$21	08-08 04:06
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	2	$155	117	117	+0	open	—	10-08 11:24
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	2	$153	92	92	+0	open	—	10-12 00:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 4?	10	$149	123	123	+0	Yes	+$45	10-04 04:58
Will any game last over 70 minutes at the BLAST Slam VIII Playoffs?	7	$148	142	142	+0	Yes	-$33	10-07 11:13
Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07?	13	$148	156	156	+0	Yes	-$12	08-07 12:54
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	2	$143	161	161	+0	open	—	10-17 01:57
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	4	$143	217	217	+0	open	—	10-21 01:39
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2027?	7	$142	98	98	+0	open	—	10-06 06:15
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	2	$136	133	133	+0	Yes	-$8	10-17 02:52
atp ribecai guerrie 2026 08 07	11	$130	106	106	+0	Andrea Guerrieri	+$35	08-07 12:12
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?	2	$129	109	109	+0	open	—	10-07 00:15
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	2	$122	107	107	+0	open	—	10-12 00:16
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 7?	6	$122	137	137	+0	Yes	-$15	10-07 00:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	43	13¢	$6	0xe8e4f8…
10-29 16:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 30?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x107b9e…
10-29 16:13:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 29?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2f2808…
10-29 14:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 30?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xef18c4…
10-29 00:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$2	0x4d425e…
10-28 23:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x7f6baa…
10-28 23:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xa51975…
10-28 22:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on October 29?	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$1	0x8bd96d…
10-28 21:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x5ea4f8…
10-28 18:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x48ddfd…
10-28 17:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa9e52d…
10-28 16:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7ae8bc…
10-28 12:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x3c1859…
10-28 10:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5771bf…
10-28 10:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xe059be…
10-28 10:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 28?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3530c1…
10-28 09:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x9cd24d…
10-28 09:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xd5f51e…
10-28 09:18:23	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 28?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x72cd15…
10-28 08:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0xa8fa8b…
10-28 08:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x493288…
10-28 08:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	98	6¢	$6	0x9b55a9…
10-28 07:17:44	highest temperature in atlanta on october 30 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf4329e…
10-28 06:39:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 28?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x51e7ef…
10-28 06:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	29	96¢	$27	0x9c229a…
10-28 04:16:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xb7cf7f…
10-28 03:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x89ed0e…
10-28 03:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x48fdf2…
10-28 01:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0xff902a…
10-28 00:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x352a8b…
10-27 22:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x29c871…
10-27 18:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xbd4db4…
10-27 16:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	No	BUY	38	19¢	$7	0xd61668…
10-27 15:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcd530a…
10-27 15:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xf0035b…
10-27 13:11:36	Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x7f60cd…
10-27 13:11:30	Will South Korea win Group E at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	No	SELL	44	28¢	$12	0x00855a…
10-27 13:11:24	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	67	38¢	$25	0x5f9644…
10-27 04:20:48	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x850db1…
10-27 04:20:44	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0xca9576…
10-26 14:21:47	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x000285…
10-26 06:12:42	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xfca408…
10-26 06:12:42	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0xddf501…
10-26 06:12:41	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xe2e92e…
10-26 06:12:41	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xa78acf…
10-26 06:12:38	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	63	10¢	$6	0xdc9d68…
10-25 17:40:45	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	67	42¢	$28	0x035aa8…
10-25 15:37:54	Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xf9b238…
10-25 11:40:42	Will South Korea win Group E at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?	No	BUY	44	35¢	$15	0x0d24e4…
10-25 08:34:20	Will Cam Cook be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x2fc558…
10-25 08:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xd79ec6…
10-25 08:34:11	Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	98	51¢	$50	0x40c9c2…
10-25 07:40:42	Will Cam Cook be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0x74369b…
10-25 03:24:39	Will Cam Cook be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xc32724…
10-25 03:24:39	Will Cam Cook be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xa12faa…
10-24 11:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x3ac4d5…
10-24 10:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9c789a…
10-23 11:31:47	Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0xd4be2d…
10-23 11:31:47	Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0x52996e…
10-23 11:31:47	Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x2780c1…
10-23 09:44:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 25?	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x47eb8f…
10-23 09:42:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x311360…
10-23 02:49:39	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	31	82¢	$25	0x45729b…
10-23 02:45:32	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xdb5843…
10-23 02:24:57	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0xcee2b6…
10-23 02:18:14	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	52	17¢	$9	0x9a4ed9…
10-23 02:18:00	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	53	80¢	$43	0x65cd33…
10-23 02:17:59	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0xf87026…
10-23 02:17:59	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0x5d2d31…
10-23 00:53:41	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x3c52c1…
10-23 00:53:33	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	No	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x2b13c5…
10-23 00:53:32	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xed434f…
10-22 22:08:00	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	60	85¢	$51	0x8e48ad…
10-22 22:06:50	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x674cfc…
10-22 22:05:51	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x0fb638…
10-22 22:05:30	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x37f6af…
10-22 16:59:39	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	No	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x63ea58…
10-22 16:59:32	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x7c76f6…
10-22 02:13:36	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?	No	SELL	53	79¢	$42	0x7c86b2…
10-22 02:13:30	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?	Yes	SELL	53	21¢	$11	0xb578dd…
10-22 01:45:29	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xfe6442…
10-22 01:45:15	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?	Yes	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x294dd8…
10-22 01:45:15	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x17b857…
10-22 01:43:41	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x958db7…
10-22 01:43:39	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x61e869…
10-22 01:43:39	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?	No	BUY	33	78¢	$26	0x5e2c8b…
10-21 14:31:33	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	411	9¢	$37	0x9d0413…
10-21 14:31:29	Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	34	11¢	$4	0xf20e75…
10-21 12:53:38	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?	Yes	SELL	37	38¢	$14	0x16692b…
10-21 12:42:56	Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x0e2b8a…
10-21 09:27:18	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xc4a031…
10-21 09:27:15	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?	Yes	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0xd7491c…
10-21 07:53:51	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	411	16¢	$66	0x89d9fd…
10-21 01:39:12	Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	31	30¢	$9	0xb7ca8d…
10-21 01:39:06	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x99b139…
10-21 00:05:24	Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x744411…
10-20 23:38:32	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	207	31¢	$64	0x3e3d77…
10-20 23:36:03	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x6e66f6…
10-20 23:34:30	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	207	31¢	$65	0x851e60…
10-20 19:24:14	Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0xf45000…