Sizzling-Playwright — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

3.1%

Resolved

Trades

298

lifetime

Volume

$3.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 06-27 03:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% 50% $-1

Politics

30% — —

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Dreamcash FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes		+20	$2	1¢	$0	$-2	06-24 10:51
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?	Yes		+0	$0	15¢	$0	$-0	06-20 11:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will fidesz kdnp win at least 110 seats	5	$160	93	93	+0	open	—	03-25 16:11
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	8	$142	150	150	+0	open	—	04-08 03:37
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	7	$134	100	100	+0	open	—	04-06 09:40
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?	7	$90	100	100	+0	open	—	04-06 09:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	04-12 04:31
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	04-07 05:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	04-07 00:48
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	4	$77	50	50	+0	open	—	03-25 21:03
will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	4	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	03-31 10:57
will tisza win at least 130 seats	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	03-27 02:03
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	6	$69	100	100	+0	open	—	04-10 03:29
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	3	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	04-07 01:10
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	03-29 18:19
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	7	$58	150	150	-0	open	—	04-07 08:55
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	2	$58	50	50	+0	open	—	03-31 06:56
will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	2	$55	50	50	+0	open	—	03-25 09:25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	2	$55	50	50	+0	open	—	03-27 11:21
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026?	2	$53	46	46	+0	open	—	04-06 03:23
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	2	$53	50	50	+0	open	—	04-08 02:52
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	04-12 14:25
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	3	$51	50	50	+0	open	—	03-26 07:08
will voter turnout be 7174 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	6	$51	37	37	+0	open	—	03-25 18:42
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$49	50	50	+0	open	—	04-09 10:34
Nothing Ever Happens: April	4	$47	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 11:24
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$45	50	50	+0	open	—	03-29 15:42
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	3	$44	50	50	+0	open	—	04-10 07:36
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	5	$37	40	40	+0	open	—	06-01 06:15
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	2	$37	32	32	+0	open	—	04-13 01:15
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	04-08 06:56
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	3	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	04-09 07:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 03:21:49	will openais valuation hit low 700b by december 31 939 865	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x53f2c7…
06-27 03:21:29	will openais valuation hit low 700b by december 31 939 865	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xefe69f…
06-25 01:13:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x0b9cf0…
06-25 01:13:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x8bd5e9…
06-25 00:33:32	Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xfd72a2…
06-25 00:28:32	Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xf5d89c…
06-25 00:28:32	Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x42d094…
06-25 00:28:22	Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x209d88…
06-24 10:51:23	Dreamcash FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xd7d079…
06-24 07:55:59	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x543a60…
06-24 07:55:38	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x606323…
06-24 07:24:20	Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xe2740e…
06-24 07:24:07	Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xd3b66a…
06-24 00:06:25	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x0ae640…
06-24 00:06:16	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x9273ff…
06-23 12:10:32	will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x950075…
06-23 04:13:29	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	18	85¢	$16	0x2e2015…
06-23 04:13:20	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	18	85¢	$16	0xe5e35f…
06-23 01:27:46	will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x054e8d…
06-23 00:45:20	will trump say ay ay ay in june	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x92f194…
06-23 00:45:04	will trump say ay ay ay in june	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x60990c…
06-23 00:45:01	will trump say ay ay ay in june	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x5a4ea0…
06-22 12:00:31	will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	58¢	$4	0xfa0ea4…
06-22 11:13:53	will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	No	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0xca51d8…
06-22 09:54:59	will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xa6373b…
06-22 07:14:55	will decibel launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x825d00…
06-22 07:14:44	will decibel launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x85aa7b…
06-21 07:08:44	will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x9ea51f…
06-21 07:08:32	will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x1ec4c0…
06-21 06:56:53	Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x8b3f67…
06-21 06:56:32	Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x5ae6a4…
06-21 05:54:04	will reya launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xfee282…
06-21 02:18:26	will hurupay launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x10b9bd…
06-21 02:16:04	will hurupay launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xe4e6e6…
06-21 02:07:01	will reya launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x506c2b…
06-20 11:42:44	Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x68164a…
06-20 11:42:43	Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xda2445…
06-20 11:42:31	Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xa284ee…
06-20 07:18:49	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x99d84f…
06-20 07:18:23	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x242da2…
06-20 03:33:17	Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xfc17c3…
06-20 03:32:58	Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x4a1532…
06-20 00:45:17	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xc59f58…
06-20 00:44:58	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x09be72…
06-19 11:19:53	will tabi launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xc853a8…
06-19 11:18:32	will tabi launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x23c7f0…
06-18 12:20:05	will hylo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x13b963…
06-18 10:29:41	will hylo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xa3fa2e…
06-18 01:18:17	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x5fa4b5…
06-18 01:18:05	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x651e99…
06-17 04:28:58	City Protocol FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x127850…
06-17 04:28:44	City Protocol FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xbf29fe…
06-17 01:56:14	Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x1e2854…
06-17 01:54:01	Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x989e17…
06-17 01:19:01	Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x66c078…
06-17 01:18:43	Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xc2f694…
06-16 02:19:28	ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x63a5d7…
06-15 11:42:54	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by june 30 2026	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x6c36e9…
06-15 11:42:36	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x2d2c81…
06-15 02:32:39	will hylo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x45e0c2…
06-15 02:32:21	will hylo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x9ab3f6…
06-11 09:49:39	hyperbeat fdv above 25m one day after launch	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xb886b5…
06-11 09:49:21	hyperbeat fdv above 25m one day after launch	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x5510f9…
06-11 02:27:15	will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xe21dd9…
06-11 02:26:55	will cap launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xd0c26a…
06-11 00:41:43	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x378fe4…
06-11 00:41:27	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xd25323…
06-10 12:00:28	will city protocol launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xb4e3e5…
06-10 06:58:06	will city protocol launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb7b476…
06-10 02:25:22	will spark launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xc4393a…
06-10 02:25:01	will spark launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xbcad0f…
06-09 10:36:00	tabi fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x0464fc…
06-09 10:35:40	tabi fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xe4e6e1…
06-09 02:36:57	ostium fdv above 200m one day after launch	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xd003b6…
06-09 02:36:45	ostium fdv above 200m one day after launch	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xa50f80…
06-09 00:49:24	will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xf3f3eb…
06-09 00:49:10	will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x05f72a…
06-09 00:47:46	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0xbbc2bf…
06-09 00:47:30	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x8ae9f4…
06-09 00:47:06	will cap launch a token by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x824f05…
06-08 17:23:06	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 neg2pt05	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x88e6fa…
06-07 10:05:40	rh quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 11 2026 neg2pt05	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x81a5e2…
06-07 01:50:24	will noble launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x25b166…
06-07 01:50:12	will noble launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x3cc2fb…
06-05 10:20:28	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x1181df…
06-05 10:05:01	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x55e29c…
06-02 03:36:02	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x0e1016…
06-02 03:35:39	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa6dfc0…
06-02 03:03:03	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xbe91d0…
06-02 03:02:49	Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x09aacb…
06-01 06:15:51	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xff7659…
06-01 06:15:32	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0xf2a8a2…
06-01 06:15:32	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x591344…
06-01 04:04:20	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xdd5990…
06-01 03:52:14	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xfe3c11…
05-31 11:35:58	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x04bea7…
05-31 11:35:04	Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x9daac3…
05-31 10:06:17	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x263a3e…
05-31 10:05:56	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xc44487…
05-31 04:46:18	Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x151cb2…