Sizzling-Playwright — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

3.1%

Resolved

Trades

352

lifetime

Volume

$3.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-22

last 07-20 07:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% 50% $-1

Politics

29% — —

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Dreamcash FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes		+20	$2	0¢	$0	$-2	06-24 10:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will fidesz kdnp win at least 110 seats	5	$160	93	93	+0	open	—	03-25 16:11
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	8	$142	150	150	+0	open	—	04-08 03:37
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	7	$134	100	100	+0	open	—	04-06 09:40
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?	7	$90	100	100	+0	open	—	04-06 09:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	04-12 04:31
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	2	$80	50	50	+0	open	—	04-07 05:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	2	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	04-07 00:48
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	4	$77	50	50	+0	open	—	03-25 21:03
will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	4	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	03-31 10:57
will tisza win at least 130 seats	2	$70	50	50	+0	open	—	03-27 02:03
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	6	$69	100	100	+0	open	—	04-10 03:29
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	3	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	04-07 01:10
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	03-29 18:19
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	7	$58	150	150	-0	open	—	04-07 08:55
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	2	$58	50	50	+0	open	—	03-31 06:56
will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	2	$55	50	50	+0	open	—	03-25 09:25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	2	$55	50	50	+0	open	—	03-27 11:21
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026?	2	$53	46	46	+0	open	—	04-06 03:23
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	2	$53	50	50	+0	open	—	04-08 02:52
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	04-12 14:25
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	3	$51	50	50	+0	open	—	03-26 07:08
will voter turnout be 7174 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	6	$51	37	37	+0	open	—	03-25 18:42
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$49	50	50	+0	open	—	04-09 10:34
Nothing Ever Happens: April	4	$47	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 11:24
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$45	50	50	+0	open	—	03-29 15:42
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	3	$44	50	50	+0	open	—	04-10 07:36
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	5	$37	40	40	+0	open	—	06-01 06:15
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	2	$37	32	32	+0	open	—	04-13 01:15
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	04-08 06:56
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	3	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	04-09 07:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 07:50:28	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	SELL	13	72¢	$10	0x32b4ae…
07-20 07:50:10	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	BUY	8	72¢	$5	0x276a59…
07-20 07:50:09	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xdcde3b…
07-20 00:51:33	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xb673a5…
07-20 00:51:18	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x57d3e6…
07-19 01:07:09	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x2eea18…
07-19 01:06:42	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x901a24…
07-18 04:50:58	will apple aapl q3 greater china revenue be above 20b 20260717035254128	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xcdccf4…
07-18 03:42:00	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x3e3d61…
07-18 03:41:39	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x039fa9…
07-18 01:13:03	will china become the 2 global art market in 2026 20260626194726882	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xaa4838…
07-18 01:12:42	will china become the 2 global art market in 2026 20260626194726882	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x224566…
07-17 06:59:33	criminal charges in pfizer building structural failure by december 31 20260713154109326	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xac189c…
07-17 06:31:28	criminal charges in pfizer building structural failure by december 31 20260713154109326	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x72513d…
07-17 06:28:30	will jl find a team before september 20260715172954686	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x0a2d7e…
07-17 06:27:01	will jl find a team before september 20260715172954686	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x416151…
07-16 06:25:52	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0x577f3f…
07-16 06:25:50	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0x1816c1…
07-16 06:25:23	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x250bbc…
07-16 03:25:22	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xbe40d8…
07-16 03:25:01	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x77a9e7…
07-16 03:11:16	will alibaba be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230551	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x3df107…
07-16 03:11:07	will alibaba be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230551	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x4effb3…
07-14 06:09:26	Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xc5efaf…
07-13 11:03:47	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x76a507…
07-13 11:03:37	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x143479…
07-13 01:58:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x63847a…
07-13 01:58:29	iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xbca941…
07-13 01:33:37	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x4b5545…
07-13 01:33:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 22 20260708212322947	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xb77a89…
07-13 01:28:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x133d3f…
07-13 01:28:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x65b347…
07-12 05:00:52	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0x5684e4…
07-12 05:00:34	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x24a1a8…
07-10 00:58:40	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xc99086…
07-10 00:58:29	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x6cf4cd…
07-09 04:47:10	will lockheed martin lmt q2 total backlog be above 200b 20260707030224308	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x9ee171…
07-09 04:44:11	will lockheed martin lmt q2 total backlog be above 200b 20260707030224308	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x7b4a8c…
07-09 00:30:02	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xc38a07…
07-09 00:29:43	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $7B in 2026?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x628659…
07-07 13:01:43	will trump praise zohran mamdani by july 31 20260626214328033	Yes	SELL	18	38¢	$7	0xb0ea9e…
07-07 03:29:58	will trump praise zohran mamdani by july 31 20260626214328033	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x257f3c…
07-07 03:25:26	will trump praise zohran mamdani by july 31 20260626214328033	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x56214d…
07-06 00:22:32	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x05ac86…
07-06 00:22:25	Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x7ae9bc…
07-04 09:51:14	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x81fbe5…
07-04 09:51:05	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x576481…
07-03 03:10:40	Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x0229d2…
07-03 03:10:17	Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x68cfaa…
07-02 09:16:40	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x631112…
07-02 09:16:22	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x920349…
07-01 09:27:35	will epic games valuation hit high 14b by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xee74b8…
07-01 08:20:22	will gamerlegion make a roster change before august 20260610173103189	Yes	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xafff8e…
07-01 08:19:59	will gamerlegion make a roster change before august 20260610173103189	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x1a2237…
06-27 03:21:49	will openais valuation hit low 700b by december 31 939 865	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x53f2c7…
06-27 03:21:29	will openais valuation hit low 700b by december 31 939 865	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xefe69f…
06-25 01:13:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x0b9cf0…
06-25 01:13:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x8bd5e9…
06-25 00:33:32	Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xfd72a2…
06-25 00:28:32	Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xf5d89c…
06-25 00:28:32	Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x42d094…
06-25 00:28:22	Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x209d88…
06-24 10:51:23	Dreamcash FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xd7d079…
06-24 07:55:59	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x543a60…
06-24 07:55:38	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x606323…
06-24 07:24:20	Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xe2740e…
06-24 07:24:07	Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xd3b66a…
06-24 00:06:25	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x0ae640…
06-24 00:06:16	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x9273ff…
06-23 12:10:32	will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x950075…
06-23 04:13:29	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	18	85¢	$16	0x2e2015…
06-23 04:13:20	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	18	85¢	$16	0xe5e35f…
06-23 01:27:46	will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x054e8d…
06-23 00:45:20	will trump say ay ay ay in june	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x92f194…
06-23 00:45:04	will trump say ay ay ay in june	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x60990c…
06-23 00:45:01	will trump say ay ay ay in june	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x5a4ea0…
06-22 12:00:31	will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	No	SELL	6	58¢	$4	0xfa0ea4…
06-22 11:13:53	will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	No	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0xca51d8…
06-22 09:54:59	will donald trump publicly insult nicols maduro by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xa6373b…
06-22 07:14:55	will decibel launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x825d00…
06-22 07:14:44	will decibel launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x85aa7b…
06-21 07:08:44	will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x9ea51f…
06-21 07:08:32	will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x1ec4c0…
06-21 06:56:53	Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x8b3f67…
06-21 06:56:32	Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x5ae6a4…
06-21 05:54:04	will reya launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xfee282…
06-21 02:18:26	will hurupay launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x10b9bd…
06-21 02:16:04	will hurupay launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xe4e6e6…
06-21 02:07:01	will reya launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x506c2b…
06-20 11:42:44	Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x68164a…
06-20 11:42:43	Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xda2445…
06-20 11:42:31	Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xa284ee…
06-20 07:18:49	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x99d84f…
06-20 07:18:23	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x242da2…
06-20 03:33:17	Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xfc17c3…
06-20 03:32:58	Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x4a1532…
06-20 00:45:17	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xc59f58…
06-20 00:44:58	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x09be72…
06-19 11:19:53	will tabi launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xc853a8…
06-19 11:18:32	will tabi launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x23c7f0…