Thoughtful-Beating — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$53

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-09 06:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	3	$3	7	0	+7	Up	$-1	05-09 02:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$3	3	1	+2	Down	+$0	05-09 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	3	$2	3	2	+1	Up	$-0	05-09 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$2	3	1	+1	Up	$-0	05-08 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-08 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	05-09 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Down	$-2	05-08 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$2	05-09 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-09 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-09 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-09 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-09 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-09 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-09 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	$-1	05-09 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-09 01:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-09 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-09 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-09 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-09 00:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-09 00:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-09 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-09 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 06:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xca5d44…
05-09 06:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbc966c…
05-09 06:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x095cef…
05-09 05:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xad78d0…
05-09 05:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xfb9b5e…
05-09 05:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1b03c6…
05-09 04:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x558407…
05-09 02:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4b48d6…
05-09 02:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd9a0b3…
05-09 02:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x018fee…
05-09 02:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc57bd0…
05-09 02:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb04ee8…
05-09 02:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x943357…
05-09 02:02:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x0e4125…
05-09 02:02:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xae1780…
05-09 01:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9c6ee4…
05-09 01:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7af5a2…
05-09 01:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8c1fdf…
05-09 01:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x28bde5…
05-09 01:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x378ecb…
05-09 01:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x585f4d…
05-09 01:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x27f134…
05-09 01:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x537418…
05-09 01:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2f7d19…
05-09 01:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8cac9a…
05-09 01:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x927a13…
05-09 01:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb03cf2…
05-09 00:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$0	0x9234c6…
05-09 00:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfcc89f…
05-09 00:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7b4912…
05-09 00:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5e5e99…
05-09 00:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x03caa4…
05-09 00:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0x461c99…
05-09 00:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6866ae…
05-09 00:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc3fb55…
05-09 00:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x77cc31…
05-09 00:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x240fef…
05-09 00:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc0865e…
05-09 00:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x24b369…
05-08 15:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2115b9…
05-08 15:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf023f3…
05-08 15:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x60a1df…
05-08 15:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2be54a…
05-08 15:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x23cd1e…
05-08 14:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc32d0a…
05-08 14:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa4e2b5…
05-08 14:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8657d4…
05-08 14:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x25af10…
05-08 14:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0a3ddf…
05-08 14:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbb014d…
05-08 14:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xa7a9fb…
05-08 14:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x550629…