Skeletal-Bureau — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.6%

Resolved

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$1.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-20 19:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 65% +$4

Other

9% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$75	207	181	+26	Up	+$45	05-07 17:09
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	2	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	05-12 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	8	$40	1,884	0	+1,884	Down	$-40	05-07 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$36	44	30	+14	open	—	05-20 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	05-20 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$26	35	35	+0	Up	+$6	05-07 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 20:39
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-15 17:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$19	16	8	+8	open	—	05-20 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$18	13	8	+5	Down	+$3	05-07 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$18	37	0	+37	open	—	05-20 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$17	16	8	+8	open	—	05-20 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$17	17	9	+9	Down	+$5	05-07 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$16	12	6	+6	Down	$-4	05-07 19:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-09 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-07 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$13	21	8	+13	open	—	05-15 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-15 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-20 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-15 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-15 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-20 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 21:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 19:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	37	48¢	$18	0x79b4c3…
05-20 19:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0x14a3cb…
05-20 19:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x72f39c…
05-20 19:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x7ff100…
05-20 19:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb5a437…
05-20 19:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	30	42¢	$13	0x24ab0d…
05-20 19:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x83d748…
05-20 19:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xa03819…
05-20 18:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xf15b66…
05-20 18:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0xb36cf2…
05-20 18:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x73636b…
05-20 18:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x5176d0…
05-20 18:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x795e34…
05-20 18:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x8d80fd…
05-20 18:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xbfed51…
05-20 18:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x50a7d9…
05-20 18:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x70eb27…
05-20 18:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x4c40c3…
05-20 18:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x15575d…
05-20 18:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x0afebe…
05-20 18:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x775679…
05-20 18:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x57c05b…
05-17 18:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xa9bbcb…
05-17 18:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x836811…
05-17 18:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x427c98…
05-17 18:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa0ad6e…
05-17 18:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x0ab8d6…
05-17 18:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xd26abb…
05-17 18:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x29550c…
05-17 17:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xe503fd…
05-15 19:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x005767…
05-15 19:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x579207…
05-15 19:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x2df086…
05-15 18:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x75c243…
05-15 18:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xad60e3…
05-15 18:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xc944b9…
05-15 18:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xcb0575…
05-15 18:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x668a62…
05-15 18:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x92f575…
05-15 18:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdf1c20…
05-15 18:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf0aadd…
05-15 18:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xae323f…
05-15 18:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe93423…
05-15 18:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x0725e8…
05-15 18:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xfc6256…
05-15 18:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x059cd4…
05-15 18:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x432161…
05-15 18:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x11309e…
05-15 18:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb6fb06…
05-15 18:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd37791…
05-15 18:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x72febd…
05-15 18:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x05a50e…
05-15 18:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x66d288…
05-15 18:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5afd0f…
05-15 18:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xa397be…
05-15 18:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xe50dfd…
05-15 18:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x71f954…
05-15 18:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0x12cf6e…
05-15 18:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0xdec449…
05-15 18:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7df8d0…
05-15 17:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc8664f…
05-15 17:56:36	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x248189…
05-15 15:12:27	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf7b590…
05-15 02:25:56	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xedd141…
05-15 01:30:10	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1a2f0d…
05-15 00:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x3c7ef0…
05-15 00:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x376c08…
05-15 00:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xaa2e1b…
05-15 00:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	71¢	$3	0x1d5253…
05-15 00:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x1e78a0…
05-15 00:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x3dc0a9…
05-15 00:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x1d101b…
05-15 00:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xde1f67…
05-15 00:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xcc2cd3…
05-14 23:59:50	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc4eedd…
05-14 23:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x16d49b…
05-14 22:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb47bdd…
05-14 22:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4b66a1…
05-14 21:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xc1164d…
05-14 21:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x885497…
05-14 21:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x7d9839…
05-14 21:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9eba04…
05-14 21:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xfe4e2c…
05-14 21:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xfb4aaf…
05-14 20:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xe7aafd…
05-14 20:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf01c18…
05-14 20:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xd3899f…
05-14 20:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3b3737…
05-14 19:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0xe1b2db…
05-14 19:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xaa934c…
05-14 19:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x95cc58…
05-14 19:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xfe3e58…
05-14 19:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xb0e8d0…
05-14 19:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x57d7fb…
05-14 19:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x52af96…
05-14 19:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6c1b9a…
05-14 19:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf5e864…
05-14 16:27:41	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xe53088…
05-14 03:48:18	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7127a7…
05-14 03:46:47	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x01fbe4…