Formal-Spirit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

235

Trades

631

lifetime

Volume

$725

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-04 00:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% $-40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	6	$7	27	0	+27	Down	$-3	05-09 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	3	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	05-15 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	5	$6	7	6	+1	open	—	05-16 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	5	$5	30	0	+30	Up	$-2	05-09 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$5	6	2	+5	Down	+$1	05-11 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$5	7	3	+3	Up	+$3	05-10 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	05-16 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-20 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$5	5	3	+2	Up	+$0	05-10 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$4	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	4	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	4	$4	38	0	+38	Down	$-2	05-09 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	4	$4	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$4	5	3	+2	Down	+$1	05-10 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$4	5	4	+0	Up	$-0	05-12 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$4	37	37	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	4	$4	12	0	+12	Up	$-0	05-09 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	4	$4	14	0	+14	Down	$-2	05-09 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$4	4	3	+1	Up	+$3	05-13 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	Up	$-0	05-13 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	3	$4	6	3	+3	Down	+$2	05-11 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$4	7	0	+7	Up	$-0	05-13 03:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	3	$4	4	2	+3	open	—	05-13 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Up	$-4	05-09 12:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 00:06:40	btc updown 15m 1780531200	Down	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xcc01c8…
06-04 00:00:58	btc updown 15m 1780531200	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc90a85…
06-03 23:54:07	btc updown 15m 1780530300	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x6b57b3…
06-03 23:47:22	btc updown 15m 1780530300	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7c4566…
05-27 23:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf65e42…
05-27 23:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x181606…
05-27 23:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x772c34…
05-27 22:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x4154a9…
05-27 22:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf0a232…
05-27 22:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x921b1f…
05-27 22:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa75efa…
05-21 03:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb8b9fd…
05-21 03:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1e8462…
05-21 03:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x62dd55…
05-21 03:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x75d3ed…
05-20 02:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x910e3b…
05-20 01:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8184e3…
05-20 01:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x53d173…
05-20 01:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x552e2c…
05-20 01:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0xe73f64…
05-20 01:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6ce666…
05-20 01:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x6dab08…
05-20 01:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcdc60f…
05-20 01:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x83c3c5…
05-20 01:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xba3946…
05-20 01:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x40bf91…
05-20 01:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x72ccf8…
05-20 00:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0xe33880…
05-20 00:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4c7298…
05-20 00:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x357352…
05-20 00:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1047ab…
05-20 00:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0xe5abd3…
05-20 00:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc50252…
05-20 00:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x0275a7…
05-20 00:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3bc6f2…
05-19 23:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x68d3dd…
05-19 23:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x1581d7…
05-19 01:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1690db…
05-19 00:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x11ab92…
05-18 23:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x13f203…
05-18 22:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xb4e853…
05-18 22:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x413c38…
05-18 22:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xfb80ac…
05-18 22:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6b7645…
05-18 21:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x46ed06…
05-18 21:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xda76c6…
05-18 21:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xf84a9d…
05-18 21:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2a13b5…
05-18 21:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xc8de19…
05-18 21:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x55782e…
05-18 19:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xc3d8b6…
05-18 19:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x306a1a…
05-18 18:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x42877b…
05-18 18:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2a6853…
05-18 18:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x62b3aa…
05-18 18:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8c3186…
05-18 17:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x17410d…
05-18 17:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd29960…
05-18 17:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbc30e2…
05-18 17:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0xd27fc3…
05-18 17:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf91591…
05-18 16:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x53130f…
05-18 16:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xf950df…
05-18 16:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x4c6ba6…
05-18 16:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa9357d…
05-18 16:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0x010e6e…
05-18 16:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xadbb80…
05-18 16:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xdcb70e…
05-18 16:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbdd7e8…
05-18 15:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xa2686b…
05-18 15:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x3f2048…
05-18 15:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x43cc80…
05-18 15:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4076fa…
05-18 15:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x9aa09e…
05-18 15:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1e2685…
05-18 14:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x9ac7e3…
05-18 14:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbc0106…
05-18 14:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xa12105…
05-18 14:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x55c3d2…
05-18 14:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x802a93…
05-18 14:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xd7adbc…
05-18 14:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x29dfa0…
05-18 14:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfc169c…
05-18 13:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x8f6546…
05-18 13:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa29bb0…
05-18 13:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xf4ec29…
05-18 13:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xe04974…
05-18 12:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x3b7647…
05-18 12:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6ebe8c…
05-18 12:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x5dd29d…
05-18 12:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x69bac6…
05-18 12:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x5661bd…
05-18 12:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x768151…
05-18 12:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x248cca…
05-18 12:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd69f51…
05-18 11:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x6d0794…
05-18 11:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb8368a…
05-18 11:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x53e02a…
05-18 11:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x831e17…
05-18 09:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x910118…