Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$51,975
Trades
7,596
Unique wallets
1,483
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
42¢
Latest NO mid
58¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 00:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+5.7¢
(top1%: 48% YES on $16.0K
vs crowd: 42% YES on $44.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 111 | $8.4K | $8.6K | $184 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 314 | $5.9K | $9.5K | $3.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 609 | $3.7K | $6.1K | $2.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 449 | $1.0K | $1.6K | $616 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 112 | $7.7K | $8.3K | $608 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 281 | $3.3K | $8.8K | $5.4K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 203 | $582 | $1.3K | $767 |
| Median | 112 | $236 | $447 | $211 |
| Below median | 321 | $592 | $1.0K | $458 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 217 | $1.0K | $1.2K | $150 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 210 | $2.5K | $3.0K | $526 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 27 | $3.1K | $1.7K | +$1.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x0da8…5017 | Down | +1,494 | $1,475 | $1,475 | 1 | 05-13 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x0000…1000 | Down | +1,421 | $1,407 | $1,407 | 1 | 05-13 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | +1,369 | $1,355 | $1,355 | 28 | 05-13 00:15 |
| Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694 | Up | +1,258 | $531 | $531 | 5 | 05-13 00:13 |
| Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694 | Down | +1,258 | $664 | $664 | 5 | 05-13 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xb27b…5b82 | Down | +1,232 | $451 | $451 | 72 | 05-13 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb27b…5b82 | Up | +1,105 | $537 | $537 | 94 | 05-13 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17 | Down | +1,041 | $439 | $439 | 72 | 05-13 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe52…07da | Down | +1,000 | $330 | $330 | 83 | 05-13 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe52…07da | Up | +995 | $328 | $328 | 76 | 05-13 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17 | Up | +990 | $568 | $568 | 49 | 05-13 00:15 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Up | +971 | $454 | $454 | 47 | 05-13 00:15 |
| Blond-Feed-Robe 0xb9c1…2ed1 | Up | +758 | $631 | $869 | 9 | 05-13 00:12 |
| Gleeful-Sepal-Goodie 0x8d9b…fd1f | Up | +692 | $467 | $711 | 108 | 05-13 00:14 |
| Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215 | Down | +669 | $291 | $291 | 13 | 05-13 00:12 |
| Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0 | Up | +638 | $252 | $252 | 57 | 05-13 00:14 |
| Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02 | Up | +633 | $259 | $259 | 62 | 05-13 00:15 |
| Mountainous-Buy 0x4228…34cb | Down | +582 | $230 | $230 | 4 | 05-13 00:14 |
| Productive-Ketch 0xcce9…2199 | Down | +525 | $520 | $520 | 2 | 05-13 00:15 |
| Trifling-Manufacturing 0x4896…fe47 | Up | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 00:15 |
| Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0 | Down | +479 | $164 | $164 | 26 | 05-13 00:14 |
| High-Tell 0x4e6f…358e | Up | +473 | $392 | $392 | 11 | 05-13 00:14 |
| Gleeful-Sepal-Goodie 0x8d9b…fd1f | Down | +443 | $178 | $419 | 85 | 05-13 00:13 |
| Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02 | Down | +411 | $198 | $198 | 56 | 05-13 00:15 |
| Altruistic-Trust 0xd9a0…dbca | Up | +410 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 05-13 00:15 |
| Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30 | Down | +408 | $185 | $185 | 28 | 05-13 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xe226…f76b | Up | +400 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-13 00:15 |
| Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b | Up | +399 | $185 | $185 | 4 | 05-13 00:13 |
| Aromatic-Freedom 0xc547…7b30 | Up | +399 | $194 | $194 | 7 | 05-13 00:13 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Down | +394 | $205 | $205 | 16 | 05-13 00:14 |
| Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03 | Up | +380 | $233 | $233 | 19 | 05-13 00:14 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Up | +364 | $181 | $181 | 14 | 05-13 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x76d4…c512 | Up | +364 | $200 | $200 | 46 | 05-13 00:14 |
| Common-Scow 0x0cb8…4484 | Up | +350 | $14 | $14 | 15 | 05-13 00:15 |
| Venerated-Pomegranate 0xd9e4…6385 | Down | +348 | $337 | $337 | 1 | 05-13 00:14 |
| Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008 | Down | +346 | $157 | $157 | 26 | 05-13 00:14 |
| Subdued-Dig 0xaa60…9b86 | Down | +337 | $147 | $147 | 2 | 05-13 00:11 |
| Babyish-Cribbage 0x2a6c…0b42 | Up | +331 | $179 | $179 | 31 | 05-13 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x76d4…c512 | Down | +331 | $153 | $153 | 33 | 05-13 00:13 |
| Spicy-Dancer 0xa6bb…8515 | Up | +327 | $106 | $106 | 21 | 05-13 00:14 |
| Unlined-Racer 0xd47c…3f0e | Up | +326 | $151 | $151 | 13 | 05-13 00:14 |
| Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b | Down | +320 | $111 | $111 | 14 | 05-13 00:12 |
| Aromatic-Freedom 0xc547…7b30 | Down | +319 | $148 | $148 | 9 | 05-13 00:13 |
| Sizzling-Operation 0x6def…0d85 | Down | +318 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 05-13 00:14 |
| Partial-Skull 0xe648…fb2e | Up | +312 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-13 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xc0ca…0c2e | Up | +303 | $161 | $161 | 33 | 05-13 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f58…232e | Up | +288 | $155 | $155 | 34 | 05-13 00:15 |
| Beneficial-Rack 0x3b01…2b57 | Up | +280 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 00:15 |
| Colorless-Camp 0x0748…92a1 | Down | +273 | $150 | $150 | 24 | 05-13 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xd406…7e60 | Up | +273 | $180 | $180 | 3 | 05-13 00:11 |
| Queasy-Thrift 0x02fe…a6f3 | Up | +272 | $116 | $116 | 14 | 05-13 00:14 |
| Queasy-Thrift 0x02fe…a6f3 | Down | +272 | $127 | $127 | 12 | 05-13 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xc0ca…0c2e | Down | +268 | $168 | $168 | 40 | 05-13 00:15 |
| Colorless-Camp 0x0748…92a1 | Up | +266 | $74 | $74 | 24 | 05-13 00:15 |
| Poor-Footnote 0x482e…4894 | Up | +260 | $195 | $195 | 1 | 05-13 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x95f5…779f | Down | +254 | $117 | $117 | 37 | 05-13 00:15 |
| Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03 | Down | +240 | $124 | $124 | 12 | 05-13 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x3375…a69c | Down | +231 | $115 | $521 | 68 | 05-13 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f58…232e | Down | +228 | $121 | $121 | 36 | 05-13 00:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xccba…8ae4 | Down | +221 | $135 | $135 | 27 | 05-13 00:15 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 00:16:11 | Single-Outlet 0x0cfe…d5c3 | Down | SELL | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xc564e6… |
| 05-13 00:16:11 | Distinct-Kilt 0x3804…a2d6 | Down | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0xc564e6… |
| 05-13 00:15:59 | Distinct-Kilt 0x3804…a2d6 | Down | BUY | 167 | 99¢ | $165 | 0x4e7650… |
| 05-13 00:15:59 | Distinct-Kilt 0x3804…a2d6 | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xf5f99a… |
| 05-13 00:15:59 | Repentant-Prelude 0x0705…a86f | Down | SELL | 167 | 99¢ | $165 | 0x4e7650… |
| 05-13 00:15:59 | Trustworthy-Discovery 0xf0f9…f9bc | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xf5f99a… |
| 05-13 00:15:57 | Excited-Sunrise-Settler 0x2d2c…659a | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4149e0… |
| 05-13 00:15:57 | Distinct-Kilt 0x3804…a2d6 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4149e0… |
| 05-13 00:15:49 | Distinct-Kilt 0x3804…a2d6 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x0e0bc6… |
| 05-13 00:15:49 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x0e0bc6… |
| 05-13 00:15:49 | Next-Specialty-Predecessor 0x9d44…c122 | Down | SELL | 18 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x0e0bc6… |
| 05-13 00:15:43 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x09c662… |
| 05-13 00:15:43 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xfc65f1… |
| 05-13 00:15:43 | Metallic-Barrage 0xfe66…ca41 | Down | SELL | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xfc65f1… |
| 05-13 00:15:43 | Capital-Tuneup 0x347d…c20d | Down | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x09c662… |
| 05-13 00:15:40 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x652560… |
| 05-13 00:15:40 | Urban-College 0x045a…7dea | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x652560… |
| 05-13 00:15:31 | Optimistic-Pork 0x7617…ae8d | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x6d59c0… |
| 05-13 00:15:31 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x6d59c0… |
| 05-13 00:15:29 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x7b795b… |
| 05-13 00:15:29 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xd2a28a… |
| 05-13 00:15:29 | Timely-Crayon 0x3c3e…c8db | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x7b795b… |
| 05-13 00:15:29 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xd2a28a… |
| 05-13 00:15:26 | High-Journal 0xbac6…299d | Down | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xc04e4e… |
| 05-13 00:15:26 | Altruistic-Trust 0xd9a0…dbca | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x0fb8b8… |
| 05-13 00:15:26 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x0fb8b8… |
| 05-13 00:15:26 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x2b3a69… |
| 05-13 00:15:26 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xc04e4e… |
| 05-13 00:15:26 | Eager-Going 0xbd37…0ae4 | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x2b3a69… |
| 05-13 00:15:24 | Rectangular-Hemisphere 0xbc11…bb8f | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xeaefe6… |
| 05-13 00:15:24 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xeaefe6… |
| 05-13 00:15:22 | Puzzled-Cholesterol 0xb28b…3d9b | Down | SELL | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xceb4b1… |
| 05-13 00:15:22 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xceb4b1… |
| 05-13 00:15:21 | Milky-Shoemaker 0xca65…42f0 | Down | SELL | 111 | 99¢ | $110 | 0x366302… |
| 05-13 00:15:21 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 111 | 99¢ | $110 | 0x366302… |
| 05-13 00:15:17 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x644a9a… |
| 05-13 00:15:17 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x644a9a… |
| 05-13 00:15:15 | Fragrant-Tomato-Entrepreneur 0x945b…b561 | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x3c67e8… |
| 05-13 00:15:15 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x3c67e8… |
| 05-13 00:15:14 | (anonymous) 0x411c…172a | Down | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0e4c07… |
| 05-13 00:15:14 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0e4c07… |
| 05-13 00:15:14 | Cheerful-Subprime 0x0fb1…1267 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x000991… |
| 05-13 00:15:14 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x000991… |
| 05-13 00:15:12 | Imperfect-Divorce-Ceiling 0xb07b…a6a9 | Down | SELL | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x7c1925… |
| 05-13 00:15:12 | Flowery-Impression 0xa7d2…3e9f | Down | SELL | 147 | 99¢ | $146 | 0x3420e3… |
| 05-13 00:15:12 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0x7c1925… |
| 05-13 00:15:12 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 147 | 99¢ | $146 | 0x3420e3… |
| 05-13 00:15:12 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xc77a7b… |
| 05-13 00:15:12 | Disastrous-Lid 0xbf0c…4e9f | Down | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xc77a7b… |
| 05-13 00:15:10 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x746102… |
| 05-13 00:15:10 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xb99f9e… |
| 05-13 00:15:10 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x309606… |
| 05-13 00:15:10 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | SELL | 19 | 99¢ | $19 | 0x309606… |
| 05-13 00:15:10 | (anonymous) 0xfdd7…84b8 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb99f9e… |
| 05-13 00:15:10 | Weird-Fame 0x02b1…2e49 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x746102… |
| 05-13 00:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 131 | 99¢ | $130 | 0x8f7082… |
| 05-13 00:15:08 | Well-To-Do-Mukluk 0x86ad…c0ec | Down | SELL | 131 | 99¢ | $130 | 0x8f7082… |
| 05-13 00:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 500 | 99¢ | $495 | 0xb7681f… |
| 05-13 00:15:08 | Trifling-Manufacturing 0x4896…fe47 | Up | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xb7681f… |
| 05-13 00:15:07 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xe97f46… |
| 05-13 00:15:07 | Used-Notation 0x65f3…c5c0 | Down | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xe97f46… |
| 05-13 00:15:05 | Unusual-Comeback 0x0ea6…b187 | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x55da9f… |
| 05-13 00:15:05 | Juicy-Feeding 0x5f6a…b084 | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x55da9f… |
| 05-13 00:15:05 | Sweltering-Aardvark-Aluminum 0x7747…a8a3 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x569453… |
| 05-13 00:15:05 | False-Hospital 0x7cc8…a9d7 | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x7e8794… |
| 05-13 00:15:05 | High-Newsstand 0x64f8…d21a | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0ae05f… |
| 05-13 00:15:05 | (anonymous) 0x3e41…74b9 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x9dd792… |
| 05-13 00:15:05 | Uneven-Encyclopedia 0x5e8c…ec8f | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x9dd792… |
| 05-13 00:15:05 | Full-Paddock 0x2801…ebdc | Down | SELL | 194 | 99¢ | $192 | 0x7e8794… |
| 05-13 00:15:05 | Every-Molding 0x9a96…fb6c | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x0ae05f… |
| 05-13 00:15:05 | (anonymous) 0x3e41…74b9 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xb994ef… |
| 05-13 00:15:05 | Mixed-Heating 0x2351…931a | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x7fc790… |
| 05-13 00:15:05 | Productive-Ketch 0xcce9…2199 | Down | BUY | 245 | 99¢ | $243 | 0x52ce49… |
| 05-13 00:15:05 | Fearless-Symptom 0xfdac…bbe9 | Up | BUY | 245 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x52ce49… |
| 05-13 00:15:05 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x68626e… |
| 05-13 00:15:05 | Realistic-Control 0x5087…6ab1 | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x68626e… |
| 05-13 00:15:05 | (anonymous) 0x3e41…74b9 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x569453… |
| 05-13 00:15:05 | Worse-Fit 0x6530…fc04 | Down | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xb994ef… |
| 05-13 00:15:05 | (anonymous) 0x1b54…0e09 | Down | BUY | 179 | 99¢ | $178 | 0x7e8794… |
| 05-13 00:15:05 | (anonymous) 0xdde5…abaf | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x7fc790… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | Smooth-Carbon 0x9a5e…aeae | Up | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xda93ed… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | Upright-Threshold 0xb615…6f09 | Down | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x6a791f… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | Near-Strike 0x679c…afff | Down | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xbd3326… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | Grizzled-Duster 0x96fb…0368 | Down | BUY | 25 | 84¢ | $21 | 0x349ef3… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | Common-Scow 0x0cb8…4484 | Up | BUY | 200 | 2¢ | $4 | 0xb8987a… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | (anonymous) 0x8a55…89da | Down | BUY | 9 | 74¢ | $7 | 0xf3d302… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf | Up | BUY | 22 | 40¢ | $9 | 0xd3fdb4… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | (anonymous) 0x5b75…5480 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x726022… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | (anonymous) 0x3e5a…cb5e | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x726022… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | Unwelcome-Simple 0x10da…5335 | Down | SELL | 43 | 99¢ | $43 | 0x726022… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | Male-Scrambled 0x1438…6d40 | Down | BUY | 23 | 76¢ | $17 | 0x089766… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | Tender-Vernacular 0x48b0…a348 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x726022… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | Interesting-Grenade 0x2078…8772 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x726022… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | (anonymous) 0xd694…4dfe | Up | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb8987a… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | Common-Scow 0x0cb8…4484 | Up | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1d7390… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | (anonymous) 0x9503…b03d | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x726022… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02 | Up | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xbd3326… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | Tender-Vernacular 0x48b0…a348 | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb8987a… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | Altruistic-Trust 0xd9a0…dbca | Up | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xb8987a… |
| 05-13 00:15:03 | Medium-Timing 0x7c49…d92c | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x726022… |