Optimistic-Pork — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.3%

Resolved

Trades

360

lifetime

Volume

$920

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 05-29 11:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 78% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$26	21	21	+0	open	—	05-01 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$25	32	0	+32	open	—	05-14 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$21	22	0	+22	Up	+$1	05-13 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	05-14 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	05-13 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	05-13 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-14 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	5	$18	29	29	+0	open	—	05-02 15:48
btc updown 5m 1776079800	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	04-13 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	5	$14	22	0	+22	open	—	05-14 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$14	19	19	+0	open	—	05-02 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	05-01 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$11	15	0	+15	open	—	05-29 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	3	$11	13	0	+13	Down	+$2	05-13 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$11	14	0	+14	open	—	05-02 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$11	13	0	+13	Down	+$2	05-13 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$11	15	15	+0	open	—	05-02 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	5	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-02 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	05-02 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	05-01 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-02 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-13 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-02 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	05-02 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	05-01 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-02 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 17:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 11:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x645450…
05-29 11:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x34d710…
05-29 11:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6dbe23…
05-29 07:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x5b5b1a…
05-29 06:55:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x70dc6d…
05-29 06:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe0db24…
05-29 06:51:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xb09fd4…
05-29 06:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x93581c…
05-29 06:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xa2eb0e…
05-29 06:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x8652b9…
05-29 06:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x4841fc…
05-29 06:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9a60d2…
05-29 06:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0xa24628…
05-29 06:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1b9b4e…
05-29 06:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x1811c9…
05-29 05:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc90c90…
05-29 05:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3b5246…
05-14 11:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x47982e…
05-14 11:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf33208…
05-14 11:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6d36be…
05-14 11:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf79eea…
05-14 11:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x4639e9…
05-14 11:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xf710e7…
05-14 11:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x54ea07…
05-14 11:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc61f86…
05-14 10:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x23e7d0…
05-14 10:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x62597d…
05-14 10:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xeabdcc…
05-14 07:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0de366…
05-14 07:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6461d7…
05-14 07:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x11ff0b…
05-14 07:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe16d91…
05-14 07:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xffc7a0…
05-14 07:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x03f34a…
05-14 06:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xcc2616…
05-14 06:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x34fddd…
05-14 06:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x5a56df…
05-13 22:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x3bc994…
05-13 22:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x2388f5…
05-13 22:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7ee01d…
05-13 22:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x55a270…
05-13 20:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x552fd1…
05-13 20:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x62f5cb…
05-13 20:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xff5a2f…
05-13 20:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd968ae…
05-13 20:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1fe3e1…
05-13 18:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xfd5214…
05-13 17:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7b0f1e…
05-13 17:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x268caf…
05-13 12:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x256d0b…
05-13 12:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb8d37f…
05-13 12:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x3843fa…
05-13 11:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xf8ec83…
05-13 11:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb8b808…
05-13 11:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x77b57a…
05-13 11:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x194864…
05-13 11:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x00e197…
05-13 10:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x420df2…
05-13 10:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x27ce64…
05-13 10:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x933ed4…
05-13 10:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x78f969…
05-13 10:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xce85dc…
05-13 10:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x2e5fcc…
05-13 10:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x66eaf3…
05-13 10:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6de1d8…
05-13 10:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xde419f…
05-13 10:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x994a2c…
05-13 07:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x14239b…
05-13 07:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x45b408…
05-13 07:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x771ef3…
05-13 07:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc81413…
05-13 06:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc49b74…
05-13 06:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x1e5141…
05-13 06:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x60a5f7…
05-13 06:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xec5d8e…
05-13 06:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7d4dc4…
05-13 05:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x302cca…
05-13 05:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x100530…
05-13 05:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc73bfe…
05-13 05:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x94f2d1…
05-13 05:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8b349f…
05-13 05:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x62a83a…
05-13 05:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x41be59…
05-13 05:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x58e558…
05-13 04:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf350fe…
05-13 04:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc8f675…
05-13 04:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x62a65d…
05-13 04:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x506cbf…
05-13 04:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa1dda3…
05-13 04:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x61d0bc…
05-13 04:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb776aa…
05-13 04:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x206c39…
05-13 00:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x95032b…
05-13 00:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6d59c0…
05-13 00:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x823113…
05-12 23:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xf66b9f…
05-12 23:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1d74bf…
05-12 11:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa9ffb2…
05-12 05:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xe82529…
05-12 05:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xafe93e…