Trustworthy-Discovery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$376

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

443

Trades

1,028

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 09-19 23:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 45% -$121

Other

9% 44% -$133

Sports

2% 17% -$122

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	8	$302	262	262	+0	Team Falcons	-$69	05-12 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$300	152	152	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	5	$277	225	225	+0	Down	+$117	05-09 22:54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	2	$266	167	167	+0	Yes	+$67	05-10 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$220	211	111	+100	Down	-$2	05-11 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$199	181	181	+0	Up	+$159	05-10 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	6	$192	315	184	+131	Down	+$72	05-10 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	6	$179	303	126	+177	Down	+$19	05-10 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	5	$164	10,066	66	+10,000	Up	-$76	05-10 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	6	$152	130	130	+0	Down	+$13	05-11 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	5	$145	106	106	+0	Down	+$15	05-10 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	6	$144	201	201	+0	Up	+$44	05-10 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	7	$138	105	77	+28	Down	-$7	05-11 10:40
wta vidmano fruhvir 2026 06 08	2	$136	123	123	+0	Darja Vidmanova	-$1	06-08 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$128	122	122	+0	Up	+$78	05-09 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	6	$127	170	170	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$121	71	71	+0	Down	+$21	05-13 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	9	$119	118	103	+14	Down	-$3	05-10 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	6	$118	118	118	+0	Up	+$34	05-09 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	6	$116	73	73	+0	Down	-$4	05-10 14:40
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	1	$116	429	0	+429	No	-$116	07-07 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$109	140	140	+0	Up	+$69	05-10 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$109	87	87	+0	Up	+$49	05-10 01:09
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	3	$108	149	82	+67	Joshua Van	-$32	05-10 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	5	$107	174	174	+0	Down	+$27	05-10 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	9	$103	98	98	+0	Down	+$22	05-10 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	4	$103	72	72	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$102	68	68	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$100	60	60	+0	Down	+$20	05-10 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	6	$98	161	161	+0	Up	+$38	05-11 00:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 23:42:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$3	0x7fe3cf…
09-19 23:41:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x560b93…
09-19 20:51:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x109035…
09-19 20:44:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7d0e45…
09-19 12:39:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe3b113…
09-19 12:38:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x11ed11…
07-07 16:37:40	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	429	27¢	$116	0x9f38e8…
06-08 23:06:15	wta vidmano fruhvir 2026 06 08	Linda Fruhvirtova	SELL	123	55¢	$68	0xcde915…
06-08 21:22:55	wta vidmano fruhvir 2026 06 08	Linda Fruhvirtova	BUY	123	56¢	$69	0xe9c0c0…
06-07 00:03:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x9d77b8…
06-07 00:03:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x041a11…
06-07 00:00:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 23:55 UTC	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xe9f80f…
06-06 23:58:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xfdc31b…
06-06 23:53:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 23:50 UTC	Up	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0xa414c1…
06-06 23:51:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x7f7ba4…
06-06 23:19:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x41090b…
06-06 23:12:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x75369d…
06-06 20:28:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:25 UTC	Down	SELL	9	59¢	$6	0xa27bf3…
06-06 20:27:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x404628…
06-06 20:18:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x7503fb…
06-06 20:14:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb7505b…
06-05 20:20:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4ff9c3…
06-05 20:19:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd49ddc…
06-05 20:12:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:10 UTC	Up	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0x326c5e…
06-05 20:11:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x65c2ce…
06-05 20:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x94aa63…
06-05 19:55:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 19:50 UTC	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x3b3897…
06-05 19:54:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x02e4a2…
06-03 03:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x2a90f8…
06-03 03:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbbefe7…
06-01 17:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x2d2d78…
06-01 16:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc7cfc6…
06-01 16:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x0192ca…
06-01 16:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x96ec1b…
06-01 16:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x94747b…
06-01 16:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf04d54…
06-01 16:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x3b010b…
06-01 16:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf51ccc…
06-01 13:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x8ee8aa…
06-01 13:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x40d509…
06-01 13:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x68955b…
06-01 13:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x105c67…
06-01 13:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x168d4c…
06-01 13:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0x9a9541…
06-01 13:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x5b681a…
06-01 12:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x8432a3…
06-01 12:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xcd5c73…
05-31 14:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1fc52a…
05-31 14:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x8a40ed…
05-31 14:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x477ea0…
05-31 14:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0xc0137c…
05-31 14:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x27af28…
05-31 14:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc3c761…
05-31 14:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x27980a…
05-31 14:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x5a0487…
05-31 14:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe94860…
05-31 14:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x663725…
05-31 14:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xa0ed94…
05-31 14:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x5ad26f…
05-31 14:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xf1ae25…
05-31 14:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x7ee1fd…
05-31 14:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcde022…
05-31 14:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xfc7529…
05-31 14:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf8feb1…
05-31 14:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x0a9c59…
05-31 01:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb64818…
05-31 01:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x7d458c…
05-31 01:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	34	89¢	$30	0xea4e53…
05-31 01:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x654567…
05-31 01:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x2d01e4…
05-31 00:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x74f972…
05-31 00:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0xed8960…
05-31 00:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x4c83c9…
05-31 00:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xf5d9e1…
05-31 00:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0x715516…
05-31 00:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	15	77¢	$12	0x57e6e9…
05-31 00:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xc0e83c…
05-31 00:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xba0fce…
05-31 00:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xaf5eec…
05-31 00:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xaafb30…
05-31 00:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x46eb55…
05-31 00:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xdef4ea…
05-31 00:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xe3f2d8…
05-31 00:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x10c6c8…
05-31 00:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xfc5357…
05-31 00:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	27	71¢	$19	0x37d6a0…
05-31 00:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xd00842…
05-30 23:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xfcdc44…
05-30 23:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xffc998…
05-30 23:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x72a46f…
05-30 23:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xe5d9c4…
05-30 23:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5d9a39…
05-30 23:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0x78dbf5…
05-30 23:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa1bd24…
05-30 23:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf25956…
05-30 23:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	17	39¢	$6	0x4fce55…
05-30 23:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8a698a…
05-30 23:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xaf4f0a…
05-30 23:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x379ff0…
05-30 22:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x8dd962…