Productive-Ketch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$85

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.6%

Resolved

2,400

Trades

9,873

lifetime

Volume

$310.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-11 06:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 209 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 78% +$3,617

Other

41% 71% -$3,532

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 25?	28	$6.8K	3,443	3,443	+0	No	+$66	06-25 00:31
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 20:10 UTC	3	$5.8K	5,830	0	+5,830	Up	-$5,769	04-17 20:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 11:55 UTC	1	$4.8K	4,938	0	+4,938	Up	+$110	04-16 12:00
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 16:05 UTC	1	$4.7K	4,970	0	+4,970	Down	+$270	04-14 16:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 04:55 UTC	1	$4.0K	4,004	0	+4,004	Up	+$40	02-23 05:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 21:20 UTC	1	$3.9K	3,963	0	+3,963	Down	+$40	02-22 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 21:10 UTC	1	$3.9K	3,923	0	+3,923	Down	+$39	02-22 21:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 15:30 UTC	1	$3.9K	3,900	0	+3,900	Up	+$39	04-22 15:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:05 UTC	1	$3.9K	3,900	0	+3,900	Up	+$39	04-24 13:10
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 16:20 UTC	1	$3.9K	3,900	0	+3,900	Up	+$40	04-20 16:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 18:30 UTC	1	$3.8K	3,859	0	+3,859	Up	+$64	02-22 18:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 17:55 UTC	1	$3.7K	3,774	0	+3,774	Up	+$85	02-22 18:00
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:55 UTC	1	$3.6K	3,646	0	+3,646	Up	+$36	04-23 18:00
HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 13:15 UTC	1	$3.4K	4,200	0	+4,200	Up	+$777	04-12 13:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 23:45 UTC	4	$3.4K	3,423	0	+3,423	Up	+$34	02-23 23:50
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 05:40 UTC	2	$3.3K	3,308	0	+3,308	Up	+$33	02-25 05:45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 17?	28	$3.1K	1,591	1,591	+0	No	+$71	06-17 00:38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 11?	5	$3.0K	1,710	1,459	+251	No	-$60	06-11 11:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 15:55 UTC	2	$3.0K	2,997	0	+2,997	Up	+$30	02-23 16:00
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 01:40 UTC	1	$2.5K	2,587	0	+2,587	Up	+$94	04-21 01:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:15 UTC	1	$2.4K	2,400	0	+2,400	Down	+$24	04-09 03:20
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 18?	10	$2.3K	1,168	1,168	+0	No	+$48	06-18 11:06
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 07:25 UTC	1	$2.1K	2,169	0	+2,169	Down	+$78	04-22 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 5?	3	$2.0K	1,030	1,030	+0	No	+$25	06-05 12:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 10:30 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,055	0	+2,055	Down	+$32	02-25 10:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:40 UTC	8	$2.0K	2,030	0	+2,030	Down	+$20	04-08 05:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 04:55 UTC	3	$2.0K	2,030	0	+2,030	Down	+$20	04-08 05:00
BNB Up or Down - April 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$2.0K	2,098	0	+2,098	Down	+$91	04-24 22:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 22:15 UTC	2	$1.9K	2,030	0	+2,030	Down	+$125	04-08 22:21
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 4?	25	$1.9K	2,038	1,057	+981	No	+$87	06-04 04:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 06:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x6238cf…
10-11 06:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x978674…
10-11 05:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x7957c4…
10-11 05:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf6343a…
10-11 05:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf20e69…
10-11 05:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x6af3ce…
10-11 04:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8a9e55…
10-10 14:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xab40fd…
10-10 13:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x63446a…
10-10 13:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x32606b…
10-10 12:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xcc09fd…
10-10 12:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x31a783…
10-10 12:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc0101b…
10-10 12:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x643eee…
10-10 12:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x58b640…
10-10 12:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x64ca54…
10-10 12:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xaad4d0…
10-10 11:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x56982d…
10-10 11:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x99955e…
10-10 11:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xffe59e…
10-10 11:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb589d3…
10-10 11:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x09dbc5…
10-10 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2a9b52…
10-10 10:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x7ca077…
10-10 08:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xd2200d…
10-10 08:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xeffca2…
10-10 08:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x637dcc…
10-10 08:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x4d2194…
10-10 07:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x344855…
10-10 07:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xb3ba6d…
10-10 07:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbd93eb…
10-10 06:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x38e0ae…
10-10 05:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x10570a…
10-10 05:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x895a0a…
10-10 05:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x0cc304…
10-10 05:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xd96bcd…
10-10 04:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xbf9487…
10-10 04:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd80779…
10-10 04:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x55fd71…
10-10 04:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x996bc4…
10-10 04:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xf8958b…
10-10 03:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x5dca30…
10-10 03:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x517668…
10-10 03:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xef05cc…
10-10 02:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x65feda…
10-10 02:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x523fea…
10-10 02:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xfda0d1…
10-10 02:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf652e9…
10-10 01:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa27d69…
10-10 01:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xf082a1…
10-10 01:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb415a5…
10-10 01:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5d6b47…
10-10 00:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x5af695…
10-10 00:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe4080d…
10-09 14:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x9692b6…
10-09 14:00:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x585f3a…
10-09 10:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x4817d4…
10-09 10:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x005891…
10-09 09:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xf4cfda…
10-09 09:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc170ba…
10-09 09:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x2e6f25…
10-09 09:00:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb4a4ad…
10-09 08:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xb7b5e7…
10-09 08:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xf2870c…
10-09 08:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x5131a3…
10-09 08:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5c1dea…
10-09 06:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xcc35ad…
10-09 05:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x4fd627…
10-09 05:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcc7407…
10-09 05:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x978e89…
10-09 05:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x7698be…
10-09 05:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	44¢	$16	0x2720f7…
10-09 04:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x364ccd…
10-09 04:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x30993e…
10-09 04:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xdde8e8…
10-09 04:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1080e3…
10-09 03:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9f33d2…
10-09 03:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x447760…
10-09 03:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x282662…
10-09 03:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x3fe72c…
10-09 02:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x4c42c4…
10-09 02:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x003c67…
10-09 02:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x8bd65a…
10-08 21:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xfa6b7e…
10-08 20:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x9ee48a…
10-08 20:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xee8de7…
10-08 20:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf20f41…
10-08 20:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0xc9cc16…
10-08 19:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x2731a7…
10-08 19:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x7ffb80…
10-08 19:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x85cf66…
10-08 19:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1e868f…
10-08 18:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0x8a7b81…
10-08 18:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x2de925…
10-08 18:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xaf9973…
10-08 18:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x84f328…
10-08 17:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x59c6fc…
10-08 17:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa788f5…
10-08 17:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x25e888…
10-08 17:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x966beb…