Timely-Crayon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.6%

Resolved

Trades

110

lifetime

Volume

$992

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 05-13 09:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 53% $-46

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$108	85	85	+0	Up	+$8	05-11 15:37
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$53	43	43	+0	Up	+$19	05-11 15:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$50	97	0	+97	Down	$-50	05-12 23:54
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$42	30	30	+0	Up	+$12	05-11 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	3	$42	42	33	+9	Down	+$11	05-11 12:59
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$40	86	0	+86	Down	$-40	05-11 16:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$40	49	0	+49	Down	+$9	05-11 16:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$39	55	22	+33	Up	+$16	05-12 17:52
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	9	$36	1,160	0	+1,160	open	—	04-07 20:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$30	60	0	+60	Up	+$30	05-12 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$29	52	0	+52	Up	+$11	05-11 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$29	24	24	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 13:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$29	22	22	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 14:58
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$28	18	18	+0	Up	+$8	05-10 23:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$26	18	18	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$25	34	0	+34	Up	+$9	05-12 11:31
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	Up	+$1	05-12 11:29
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$24	36	0	+36	Down	$-24	05-11 15:31
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$19	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	5	$18	18	13	+5	Up	+$0	05-12 11:26
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$17	20	0	+20	Up	$-17	05-12 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$15	25	0	+25	Down	$-15	05-11 14:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$14	21	0	+21	Down	$-14	05-12 23:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$14	21	0	+21	Down	+$7	05-12 23:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$13	22	0	+22	Up	+$9	05-12 17:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 09:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$11	13	0	+13	Up	$-11	05-13 00:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$11	14	0	+14	Down	$-11	05-13 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	05-11 16:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Down	$-10	05-11 14:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 09:49:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x681b86…
05-13 09:44:28	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x688b26…
05-13 09:42:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x16bb8e…
05-13 09:41:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf84f74…
05-13 09:36:15	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb76e69…
05-13 09:34:58	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x3ccd48…
05-13 09:34:16	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3f54d3…
05-13 00:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xaa9a9b…
05-13 00:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7b795b…
05-13 00:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xb7f1e6…
05-13 00:12:40	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x34bbbd…
05-13 00:11:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x1eedcb…
05-13 00:07:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xe11d39…
05-13 00:07:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x1dfe5a…
05-13 00:07:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xacdabd…
05-13 00:05:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x81550b…
05-13 00:03:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x0a6855…
05-12 23:59:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xd44b60…
05-12 23:54:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x071e9b…
05-12 23:50:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	55	72¢	$40	0x591100…
05-12 23:48:22	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x48f629…
05-12 23:41:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x368293…
05-12 23:36:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0xb8cea2…
05-12 23:31:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4a7007…
05-12 17:55:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x5073a0…
05-12 17:52:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xbeb5b9…
05-12 17:51:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x99f606…
05-12 17:51:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	22	49¢	$11	0x212dcc…
05-12 17:51:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0xd504e6…
05-12 17:46:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xff8303…
05-12 17:46:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xc6ab1f…
05-12 17:42:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x4bb705…
05-12 16:59:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xcfda0d…
05-12 11:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x49cc90…
05-12 11:29:22	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xca24a0…
05-12 11:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdef89e…
05-12 11:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xd798fd…
05-12 11:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xe113ed…
05-12 11:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x4e3934…
05-12 11:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x174ad3…
05-12 11:23:11	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xbb2da7…
05-11 16:46:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xe0b365…
05-11 16:41:23	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xa4634f…
05-11 16:33:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	18	79¢	$14	0x77e4ae…
05-11 16:31:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0xcc7b43…
05-11 16:26:32	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	86	47¢	$40	0x3c6dd1…
05-11 16:23:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0xf84aaa…
05-11 16:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x998a56…
05-11 15:37:25	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	42	86¢	$36	0xdfe1f1…
05-11 15:36:45	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x555118…
05-11 15:36:06	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	43	51¢	$22	0x658151…
05-11 15:35:42	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xb7ba17…
05-11 15:31:03	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0x9473ea…
05-11 15:30:27	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x1cb698…
05-11 15:23:30	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	43	84¢	$36	0x8121e3…
05-11 15:20:30	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	43	40¢	$17	0x8bb9f4…
05-11 15:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9a9bc2…
05-11 15:12:53	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x28cbcd…
05-11 15:12:39	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xddd00c…
05-11 15:06:32	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa0ec68…
05-11 15:06:28	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x2beade…
05-11 15:06:18	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x493b69…
05-11 14:58:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0x6410b6…
05-11 14:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x0ebe92…
05-11 14:58:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0x4b9063…
05-11 14:56:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0xc1676a…
05-11 14:55:46	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xbdc926…
05-11 14:55:25	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x97fc8b…
05-11 14:53:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	30	92¢	$27	0x702628…
05-11 14:52:18	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xef2f35…
05-11 14:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xadfb8a…
05-11 14:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x8c2992…
05-11 14:25:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe25a13…
05-11 14:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	72	2¢	$1	0x998de7…
05-11 14:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x4674d5…
05-11 14:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x73d657…
05-11 14:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf5c70a…
05-11 14:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x91c0c2…
05-11 14:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x83c887…
05-11 13:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	24	63¢	$15	0x3345b4…
05-11 13:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x481648…
05-11 13:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x34018e…
05-11 12:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x32b3f8…
05-11 12:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	33	66¢	$22	0x2a729d…
05-11 12:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x76628f…
05-11 12:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x1e4687…
05-11 12:50:42	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x3d5293…
05-11 12:48:22	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x671904…
05-10 23:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x42cc31…
05-10 23:45:34	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xf012cc…
05-10 23:43:17	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x6acf41…
05-10 19:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x711e5e…
05-10 19:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xce0cee…
05-10 19:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xab1b9e…
04-07 20:54:07	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	95	3¢	$3	0xfff1cd…
04-07 20:54:07	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xf84dcb…
04-07 20:54:07	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xb5fd64…
04-07 20:54:07	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x9ac29f…
04-07 20:54:07	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0x745a91…
04-07 20:54:07	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x65b9fc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	60	$9.77K	3,403	05-13 09:49
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	54	$5.98K	483	05-13 09:44
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	54	$4.95K	615	05-13 09:49
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	54	$1.44K	315	05-13 09:50
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	50	$12.1K	1,988	05-13 09:49
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	50	$5.75K	1,362	05-13 09:48
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	48	$9.73K	806	05-13 09:44
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	47	$21.6K	1,104	05-13 09:50