Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$135
$905 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$2,091
Latest YES mid
40¢
Latest NO mid
60¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 08:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $41 | $64 | $23 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $35 | $35 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Median | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 6 | $20 | $21 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $21 | — | +$21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $8 | $8 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +51 | $31 | $31 | 5 | 05-10 08:33 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +28 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 05-10 04:03 |
| Grizzled-Tabby 0x94b7…feff | No | +19 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-10 03:11 |
| Sympathetic-Farrow 0x7834…4322 | Yes | +18 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 04:16 |
| Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | +15 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 08:33 |
| Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | +15 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 07:07 |
| Poised-Footwear 0x561a…7be2 | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 06:52 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 00:31 |
| Realistic-Increase 0x0eee…74e8 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 08:12 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 08:38 |
| Merry-Compass 0xf38e…1917 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 08:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 02:19 |
| Right-Strawman 0x7b6b…0c4c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 12:08 |
| Awkward-Ereader 0x8edd…9efa | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 16:56 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 06:01 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:43 |
| Untidy-Television 0x21b1…ba4a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 18:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 08:38:41 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 7 | 58¢ | $4 | 0xd9762f… |
| 05-10 08:38:34 | Merry-Compass 0xf38e…1917 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 42¢ | $3 | 0x3724b3… |
| 05-10 08:33:57 | Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 41¢ | $4 | 0x55e6be… |
| 05-10 08:33:49 | Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | BUY | 15 | 59¢ | $9 | 0x02027f… |
| 05-10 08:33:42 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0xc81cf0… |
| 05-10 08:33:22 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 18 | 59¢ | $11 | 0x2544cc… |
| 05-10 08:33:03 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 7 | 59¢ | $4 | 0x3bb944… |
| 05-10 08:16:43 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 41¢ | $0 | 0x0493cd… |
| 05-10 08:12:38 | Realistic-Increase 0x0eee…74e8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 42¢ | $4 | 0x0e905d… |
| 05-10 08:11:28 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x7f0f0b… |
| 05-10 07:07:09 | Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | BUY | 15 | 40¢ | $6 | 0xc9f921… |
| 05-10 06:52:55 | Poised-Footwear 0x561a…7be2 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 39¢ | $5 | 0x92549e… |
| 05-10 06:43:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x215dc2… |
| 05-10 06:43:07 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x32e60a… |
| 05-10 06:16:56 | Fussy-Parsley-Definition 0x512c…17d5 | No | SELL | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0x321ab5… |
| 05-10 06:01:44 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xaf25b1… |
| 05-10 04:16:28 | Sympathetic-Farrow 0x7834…4322 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 39¢ | $7 | 0x736a02… |
| 05-10 04:03:52 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x606831… |
| 05-10 03:16:23 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x7b6a56… |
| 05-10 03:11:00 | Grizzled-Tabby 0x94b7…feff | No | BUY | 19 | 63¢ | $12 | 0x6715db… |
| 05-10 03:02:32 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 6 | 63¢ | $4 | 0xfd6589… |
| 05-10 02:48:55 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x2cc668… |
| 05-10 02:28:37 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 7 | 63¢ | $4 | 0x0bbfd7… |
| 05-10 02:19:57 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x92b646… |
| 05-10 01:00:58 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x5190b8… |
| 05-10 01:00:58 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 33¢ | $0 | 0xaa7638… |
| 05-10 00:31:24 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x5a7305… |
| 05-09 23:45:12 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 11 | 65¢ | $7 | 0xa2b785… |
| 05-09 21:44:21 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x9212c0… |
| 05-09 18:22:10 | Untidy-Television 0x21b1…ba4a | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x7b295b… |
| 05-09 16:56:08 | Awkward-Ereader 0x8edd…9efa | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x9963fc… |
| 05-09 12:08:42 | Right-Strawman 0x7b6b…0c4c | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xd0f63b… |