Merry-Compass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$158

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

494

Trades

770

lifetime

Volume

$2.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 09-17 19:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Other

83% 35% -$152

Politics

8% 50% -$5

Tech

5% 33% -$6

Crypto

2% 50% +$9

Sports

0% 50% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	5	$72	88	50	+38	No	-$10	07-21 15:23
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	5	$71	131	131	+0	No	+$1	09-07 15:31
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	6	$56	79	79	+0	Yes	-$4	09-17 19:03
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	5	$42	50	50	+0	Yes	-$6	07-16 06:30
will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	9	$36	25	25	-0	Yes	+$3	03-30 12:06
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	5	$33	121	25	+96	No	-$23	09-10 17:26
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	3	$30	20	25	-5	No	-$2	03-08 19:26
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	2	$30	31	31	+0	open	—	09-07 15:16
will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	2	$28	16	16	+0	No	+$2	07-13 17:54
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	2	$19	100	100	+0	open	—	07-09 09:44
highest temperature in london on april 4 2026 15c	5	$18	16	15	+1	Yes	+$8	04-04 16:29
will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	2	$18	18	18	+0	No	+$2	07-13 17:54
highest temperature in shanghai on april 4 2026 20c	7	$17	23	22	+1	Yes	+$10	04-04 07:51
highest temperature in paris on april 14 2026 18c	2	$17	14	14	+1	Yes	+$10	04-14 17:51
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	4	$16	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-10 04:43
highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 13c	4	$16	12	12	+0	Yes	+$7	04-13 19:00
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 2?	4	$15	17	17	+0	Yes	+$2	09-02 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 11?	4	$14	30	30	+0	No	+$8	09-11 13:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	8	$14	95	60	+35	Yes	$0	07-16 19:27
will ethereum dip to 1700 july 13 19 2026	2	$14	26	26	+0	No	-$13	07-19 08:49
highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 17c	2	$14	11	10	+0	Yes	+$7	04-14 17:50
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?	3	$13	11	11	+0	No	+$7	07-07 08:14
will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	4	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	03-12 19:28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 11?	2	$12	9	9	+0	Yes	+$5	05-11 20:12
will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 13	2	$12	10	10	+0	No	+$3	07-13 21:41
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	5	$12	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	03-24 18:17
will ethereum reach 1900 july 13 19 2026	2	$12	26	6	+20	Yes	+$19	07-14 15:38
highest temperature in paris on april 13 2026 15c	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$8	04-13 19:00
highest temperature in london on april 5 2026 13c	4	$11	18	4	+14	No	-$8	04-05 11:49
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	4	$11	15	5	+10	No	-$4	03-05 12:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 19:03:22	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x6db15a…
09-17 10:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	4	12¢	$1	0xd83265…
09-17 10:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x13a1e0…
09-17 10:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x3a486a…
09-15 18:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xcc8fcb…
09-15 18:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x7a6d5f…
09-15 18:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf45b0d…
09-15 18:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$5	0x3a61d5…
09-15 17:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc85c88…
09-15 17:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xd9bcca…
09-15 17:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0x1b8d47…
09-15 17:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	Yes	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0x728816…
09-15 17:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x60dc56…
09-15 17:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0d6b74…
09-15 17:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x54ea42…
09-15 17:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x2b90a7…
09-15 17:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x0c1775…
09-15 17:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xba6fa8…
09-15 17:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$3	0xfa1256…
09-15 17:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x97e365…
09-15 17:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x2830e0…
09-15 17:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x282611…
09-15 17:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xdbc471…
09-15 17:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x945f5a…
09-15 17:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x497135…
09-15 17:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x466e7b…
09-15 17:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xef676c…
09-15 17:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x1e4336…
09-15 17:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x90cddf…
09-15 17:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x75998a…
09-15 17:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x35ab7f…
09-15 17:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2f7e1c…
09-15 17:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x7c8da9…
09-15 17:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x40df6a…
09-15 17:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0xcfa28e…
09-15 16:04:45	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x87962f…
09-15 16:03:52	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	47	25¢	$12	0xd2d2d0…
09-12 15:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4e6694…
09-12 15:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x87a36f…
09-12 15:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2b0633…
09-12 15:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xe2ce7e…
09-12 15:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x1162a9…
09-12 15:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x3b52ac…
09-12 15:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xbbc1f2…
09-12 15:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb063d1…
09-12 15:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2e2012…
09-12 15:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x9577a6…
09-12 15:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf33bd8…
09-12 14:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb30b2f…
09-12 14:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdfb173…
09-12 14:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x76f167…
09-12 14:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcb6517…
09-12 14:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xfa7e9d…
09-12 14:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x03347d…
09-12 14:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x56e0c9…
09-12 14:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x98200d…
09-12 14:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x63ad85…
09-12 14:55:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf5e040…
09-12 14:55:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6973d1…
09-12 14:54:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7f6172…
09-12 14:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3cc557…
09-12 14:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2cfc70…
09-12 14:53:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x68f2d3…
09-12 14:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x3acc15…
09-12 14:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe449aa…
09-12 14:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x382287…
09-12 14:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8f34ce…
09-12 14:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8c8b2f…
09-12 14:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xdfc022…
09-12 14:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5d6ca2…
09-12 14:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x1c0493…
09-12 14:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa977f3…
09-12 14:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x80e2f6…
09-12 14:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 14?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x2f6a2c…
09-12 14:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf33f15…
09-12 14:48:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x70d17d…
09-12 14:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x33f3e6…
09-12 14:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xd497d3…
09-12 14:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x243f4c…
09-12 14:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa2b7b4…
09-12 14:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x03df96…
09-12 14:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x61cb06…
09-12 14:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1d14c8…
09-12 14:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0x1cce44…
09-12 14:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x2b21ce…
09-12 14:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xce8cfe…
09-12 14:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x379eda…
09-11 13:06:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 11?	Yes	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xe6f9f8…
09-11 13:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on September 11?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x36170d…
09-11 13:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 11?	Yes	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0x947cd1…
09-11 13:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on September 11?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x8f4d69…
09-10 20:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xfc23bc…
09-10 20:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xf7d487…
09-10 20:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xe5a10b…
09-10 20:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0xbbf3cf…
09-10 20:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3e09f5…
09-10 20:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x18855c…
09-10 20:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbcda48…
09-10 20:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x9f63cf…
09-10 20:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xaf569e…