Trifling-Manufacturing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$156

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

304

Trades

581

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-29 05:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 57% +$507

Other

20% 37% -$175

Politics

8% 15% -$457

Sports

2% 44% -$30

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 1800 in february 2026	4	$430	295	295	+0	Yes	+$159	02-06 00:12
will ethereum dip to 2100 february 2 8	5	$381	262	262	+0	Yes	+$141	02-04 22:37
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	6	$281	472	200	+272	No	-$85	02-23 01:40
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	2	$252	240	240	+0	Yes	+$228	02-06 00:41
will bitcoin dip to 80k january 26 1	2	$244	228	228	+0	Yes	+$211	01-31 17:21
will trump say transgender this week march 1	2	$195	383	0	+383	Yes	-$195	02-26 22:38
will solana dip to 80 in february 2026	3	$174	123	123	+0	Yes	+$73	02-05 20:52
will bitcoin dip to 72k february 2 8	2	$173	122	122	+0	Yes	+$71	02-04 22:37
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on february 11	2	$152	100	100	+0	Yes	+$44	02-11 17:00
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 5 2026 30c	5	$144	100	100	+0	Yes	+$46	02-05 20:17
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	3	$144	34,048	34,048	-0	No	-$76	02-11 07:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 03:15 UTC	2	$142	100	98	+2	Down	+$49	02-11 03:23
will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	2	$138	118	118	+0	Yes	+$98	02-05 20:53
nothing ever happens february 152	3	$135	100	100	+0	Something	+$23	02-15 22:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 12:30 UTC	2	$134	133	131	+2	Down	+$12	02-05 12:32
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	2	$131	114	114	+0	Yes	+$97	01-31 17:22
will xrp dip to 1pt2 in february 2026	2	$131	110	110	+0	Yes	+$89	02-05 20:59
highest temperature in nyc on february 6 2026 32 33f	9	$124	100	100	+0	Yes	+$14	02-06 20:47
will solana dip to 50 in february 2026	2	$110	690	690	+0	No	+$59	02-11 17:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 13	6	$108	300	300	+0	No	-$102	02-13 15:20
will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	1	$100	337	0	+337	No	-$100	02-05 20:26
will ethereum dip to 2200 january 26 1	2	$92	88	88	+0	Yes	+$82	02-02 03:30
will solana dip to 30 in february 2026	3	$88	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$8	02-11 17:06
bitcoin above 68k on february 11	2	$83	60	60	+0	No	+$37	02-11 16:58
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	4	$81	801	801	+0	No	-$2	02-11 17:20
ethereum above 2000 on february 11	2	$80	100	100	+0	No	-$8	02-11 04:32
bitcoin above 66k on february 14	2	$76	100	100	+0	Yes	+$18	02-11 17:06
will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	2	$74	54	54	+0	Yes	+$34	02-05 11:57
highest temperature in nyc on february 8 2026 18 19f	6	$71	50	50	+0	Yes	+$28	02-09 01:13
will xrp dip to 1 in february 2026	3	$71	1,159	0	+1,159	No	-$71	02-02 12:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 05:00:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x231de5…
05-13 00:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb7681f…
05-11 05:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x551b35…
05-11 05:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x645b87…
05-11 05:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0a8f1b…
05-11 04:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x79b80a…
05-11 02:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1203f0…
05-11 01:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5f2d31…
05-11 01:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xac623e…
05-11 00:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7c8eb5…
05-11 00:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x05b4b6…
05-11 00:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x87e2e1…
05-11 00:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x05464f…
05-11 00:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x7fbc4d…
05-11 00:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc02b12…
05-11 00:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3c1416…
05-10 23:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3e996e…
05-10 23:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x1546d7…
05-10 23:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xf4dea7…
05-10 23:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xc8f62d…
05-10 23:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0xb255a1…
05-10 23:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x319b34…
05-10 22:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x752fe4…
05-10 22:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x66f080…
05-09 03:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xa2c9ab…
05-09 03:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x0df5e0…
05-09 03:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xadadcc…
05-08 05:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf3b942…
05-08 05:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc072f4…
05-08 05:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9054a7…
05-08 05:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xe28250…
05-08 05:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0592b1…
05-08 05:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xaed40b…
05-08 05:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x716fc2…
05-08 05:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf26786…
05-08 05:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xfd9c12…
05-08 05:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb0a14c…
05-08 05:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9db243…
05-08 04:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf959c9…
05-08 04:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x69ee1f…
05-08 04:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x18dcfd…
05-08 04:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x492e23…
05-08 01:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6930e8…
05-08 01:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xecd564…
05-08 01:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x17cfbb…
05-08 01:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcee966…
05-08 01:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xbed11c…
05-07 06:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbbddea…
05-07 06:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x33a2c5…
05-07 06:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf526a6…
05-07 06:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe30abf…
05-07 05:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x634822…
05-07 05:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x70635c…
05-07 05:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc82e22…
04-10 06:54:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xdda4cc…
04-10 06:44:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0xe1e7b5…
04-10 06:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x02197c…
04-10 06:34:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x685b9b…
04-10 06:29:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x183f3e…
04-10 06:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0fc68c…
04-10 06:19:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd36065…
04-10 06:14:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x90c055…
04-10 06:14:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	31	17¢	$5	0x397d94…
04-10 06:14:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe5432c…
04-10 06:13:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x3602ec…
04-10 06:09:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb02828…
04-10 06:09:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x8245bc…
04-10 06:04:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x77cb6e…
04-10 05:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:55 UTC	Down	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xfdde50…
04-10 05:57:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd4a389…
04-10 05:54:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7d2c53…
04-10 05:54:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x865118…
04-10 05:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb8b7b3…
04-10 04:44:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$5	0x4be1da…
04-10 04:39:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf81cef…
04-10 04:38:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2353e0…
04-10 04:34:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3fd799…
04-10 04:29:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x458a46…
04-10 04:24:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x7db1eb…
04-10 04:24:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc9e0be…
04-10 04:23:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf0ed3e…
04-10 04:17:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xfa64ad…
04-10 04:14:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8db35b…
04-10 04:12:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x170a52…
04-10 04:09:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x418598…
04-10 04:09:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x700a7d…
04-10 04:06:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xddfcc2…
04-10 04:04:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1d8f77…
04-10 03:52:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x515547…
04-10 03:44:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x4c712d…
04-10 03:39:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 03:35 UTC	Down	SELL	43	9¢	$4	0x9571d5…
04-10 03:39:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x4e7160…
04-10 03:29:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 03:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1d659a…
04-10 03:23:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd4c75d…
04-10 03:18:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x55d48e…
04-10 02:53:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x10a01f…
04-10 02:53:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0x3bf8d9…
04-10 02:52:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x41303d…
04-10 02:52:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 02:50 UTC	Down	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0x0e1d26…
04-10 02:51:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf7999c…