Realized P&L
-$61.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$99
Hit rate
22.9%
Resolved
1,025
Trades
11,104
lifetime
Volume
$110.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$872
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 09-13 07:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Other
68% 40% -$61,321
Sports
24% 52% -$79
Politics
7% 41% +$35
Tech
1% 33% -$54
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$14
Crypto
0% 50% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +112 $20 88¢ $99 +$79 06-15 00:32
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +89 $85 95¢ $85 $0 06-15 12:25
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +83 $80 99¢ $83 +$3 06-15 11:15
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +79 $58 97¢ $77 +$18 06-14 23:35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +86 $40 80¢ $68 +$29 06-14 23:24
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +76 $49 61¢ $46 -$3 06-15 10:00
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +45 $42 98¢ $45 +$3 06-15 14:27
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +35 $34 100¢ $35 +$1 06-15 01:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +42 $33 82¢ $35 +$2 06-12 18:57
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +30 $28 98¢ $29 +$1 06-14 05:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +42 $27 64¢ $27 $0 06-14 03:08
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +26 $23 84¢ $22 -$2 06-15 02:02
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +24 $23 90¢ $22 -$1 06-14 10:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +60 $21 36¢ $21 +$0 06-13 23:06
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$1 06-15 14:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +18 $16 97¢ $17 +$1 06-11 21:33
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +20 $15 84¢ $17 +$2 06-15 09:40
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +18 $15 90¢ $16 +$1 06-13 02:37
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 06-14 04:53
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +12 $10 99¢ $12 +$2 06-12 21:49
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +12 $9 96¢ $12 +$2 06-14 06:28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +12 $10 96¢ $11 +$2 06-13 06:43
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$1 06-12 02:15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +12 $9 84¢ $10 +$1 06-11 17:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +42 $10 18¢ $7 -$3 06-12 15:21
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +33 $8 22¢ $7 $0 06-15 07:37
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +18 $6 39¢ $7 +$1 06-14 15:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +61 $50 12¢ $7 -$43 06-14 23:05
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 06-14 07:39
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 06-14 08:15