Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$212

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,600

lifetime

Volume

$1.23M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$768

Open exposure

$8.49K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-12 06:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% — —

Politics

32% 0% $-0

Crypto

9% 100% +$2

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	+6,924	$6,790	99¢	$6.9K	+$62	06-11 20:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+2,000	$1,480	82¢	$1.6K	+$150	06-11 21:54
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	-6	$-5	77¢	$-5	+$0	06-12 06:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$79.4K	79,662	0	+79,662	open	—	01-03 12:19
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	18	$59.3K	59,491	0	+59,491	open	—	02-07 04:45
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	13	$56.7K	53,925	4,600	+49,325	open	—	02-28 07:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	38	$54.9K	50,000	5,000	+45,000	open	—	03-31 11:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$49.8K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	04-28 18:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	18	$49.7K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	05-25 09:48
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	18	$42.2K	42,596	0	+42,596	open	—	01-11 17:05
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	16	$37.2K	33,719	5,000	+28,719	open	—	02-22 21:45
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	11	$29.8K	20,000	9,995	+10,005	open	—	03-06 05:47
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 90 114	109	$28.9K	28,967	0	+28,967	open	—	01-22 01:06
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	28	$28.8K	14,575	14,575	+0	open	—	02-03 19:43
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	34	$28.4K	28,402	0	+28,402	open	—	01-20 17:32
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	53	$20.8K	31,658	32,448	-789	open	—	01-09 18:35
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	13	$20.8K	15,033	7,033	+8,000	open	—	02-20 23:07
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	01-20 21:47
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	28	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	02-06 17:28
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	8	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	02-07 18:35
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	8	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	01-20 07:42
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 340 359	2	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	01-22 12:49
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	5	$19.8K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	02-26 21:32
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	3	$18.2K	17,000	2,000	+15,000	open	—	02-28 07:01
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	21	$18.1K	9,889	9,889	+0	open	—	01-15 02:05
over 70m committed to the ranger public sale rwrn 523	3	$17.7K	18,873	4,029	+14,844	open	—	01-10 15:53
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	34	$16.4K	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	02-28 06:20
Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?	2	$14.7K	7,462	7,462	+0	open	—	01-19 22:04
will bnb dip to 600 in february	49	$14.6K	14,590	0	+14,590	open	—	02-06 03:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	32	$12.1K	12,980	0	+12,980	open	—	01-19 23:16
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	6	$12.0K	12,263	500	+11,763	open	—	02-07 18:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$11.1K	10,000	2,000	+8,000	open	—	05-22 15:02
gc up or down on march 2 2026	5	$10.6K	10,700	0	+10,700	open	—	03-02 18:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 06:29:33	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xc148a6…
06-11 21:54:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	74¢	$1,480	0x4b7ec3…
06-11 20:29:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	345	98¢	$339	0x2f1be4…
06-11 20:27:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1,580	98¢	$1,551	0xdb186f…
06-10 17:36:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1,678	98¢	$1,644	0x56c9bb…
06-10 17:36:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	3,322	98¢	$3,256	0x3b2ad5…
05-27 07:20:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	600	100¢	$598	0xd8b16a…
05-25 09:48:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	21,904	100¢	$21,838	0x2102eb…
05-25 09:47:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb57fb1…
05-25 09:40:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3126b0…
05-25 09:34:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x390f61…
05-25 09:23:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x27a37f…
05-25 09:23:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xff4755…
05-25 09:23:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9c0a37…
05-25 09:23:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90831a…
05-25 09:23:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xde6a69…
05-25 09:23:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xfefb28…
05-25 09:23:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x00768c…
05-25 09:23:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaa5875…
05-25 09:23:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9639aa…
05-25 09:23:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x478183…
05-25 09:23:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xca077d…
05-25 09:23:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6d38b8…
05-25 09:23:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	17,807	100¢	$17,753	0xd15f6d…
05-22 22:17:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	600	63¢	$378	0x241ef9…
05-22 15:02:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2,000	95¢	$1,908	0xfdb7f2…
05-18 15:20:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10,000	98¢	$9,830	0x2e2093…
05-14 11:33:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10,000	92¢	$9,200	0x533c31…
05-01 07:06:38	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	SELL	194	42¢	$82	0xffca96…
05-01 07:05:46	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	SELL	71	42¢	$30	0xc20aee…
05-01 07:05:24	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	SELL	33	42¢	$14	0x123400…
05-01 06:40:56	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	SELL	78	38¢	$30	0x9c44da…
04-28 18:17:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	45,072	99¢	$44,847	0xed598c…
04-28 18:11:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xece8a2…
04-28 18:10:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,985	0x1ac3d8…
04-28 18:07:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	306	100¢	$304	0x527c33…
04-28 18:06:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0xdf27a0…
04-28 18:00:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$214	0x482225…
04-28 17:55:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd61bb4…
04-28 17:51:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	374	100¢	$372	0x3dc029…
03-31 11:24:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x0f6b2a…
03-31 02:20:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	14,327	100¢	$14,298	0x6179cb…
03-31 02:15:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0x4ca020…
03-31 02:11:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0x6e9017…
03-31 02:11:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	83	100¢	$82	0x24e4a4…
03-31 02:04:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x25a042…
03-31 02:02:37	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	255	100¢	$255	0x953f4a…
03-31 02:01:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	58	100¢	$57	0x2b335b…
03-31 01:57:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56c741…
03-31 01:57:01	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa12166…
03-31 01:55:01	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdb610c…
03-31 01:54:39	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xe58e46…
03-31 01:54:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xbdd4d9…
03-31 01:52:49	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x122870…
03-31 01:52:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef6132…
03-31 01:51:55	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1140d8…
03-31 01:51:37	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c058b…
03-31 01:51:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x963615…
03-31 01:51:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ab129…
03-31 01:50:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x54bcbc…
03-31 01:45:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0x61ca75…
03-31 01:45:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xe432cc…
03-31 01:41:39	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1c1f49…
03-31 01:37:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1,600	100¢	$1,597	0xbf4cbc…
03-31 01:34:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6f1bfb…
03-31 01:32:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x6b4d6c…
03-31 01:27:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	386	100¢	$385	0x6ecb72…
03-31 01:25:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0xcc174a…
03-31 01:25:25	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	386	100¢	$385	0xca254f…
03-31 01:25:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	202	100¢	$201	0x042cc3…
03-31 01:25:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	747	100¢	$745	0x9dd3f0…
03-31 01:25:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	335	100¢	$334	0x6462d6…
03-31 01:24:59	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x30aaf9…
03-31 01:24:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	10,006	100¢	$9,986	0xb79de3…
03-31 01:23:21	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa20b00…
03-31 01:20:55	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x7b0f7b…
03-31 01:06:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,980	0xc9a85b…
03-31 01:00:31	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xde2d25…
03-17 21:00:03	will crude oil cl settle over 48 on the final trading day of march 2026	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x0d9406…
03-17 20:58:33	will crude oil cl settle over 48 on the final trading day of march 2026	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x98ce4c…
03-16 05:10:37	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	245	86¢	$211	0x428fdb…
03-11 06:15:19	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	758	48¢	$364	0x9ee8ec…
03-10 07:23:25	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xdc25e9…
03-07 01:48:17	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$179	0x810fc9…
03-06 05:47:07	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	Yes	BUY	967	100¢	$965	0xa30def…
03-06 04:06:37	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	Yes	BUY	2,285	100¢	$2,280	0x04a642…
03-06 03:59:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0x284f8d…
03-06 03:51:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,447	100¢	$1,442	0x14a0dc…
03-06 02:55:23	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7a1487…
03-06 02:55:01	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7a8da6…
03-06 02:25:15	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xd853d9…
03-06 02:24:45	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	Yes	BUY	2,147	100¢	$2,142	0x669fb6…
03-06 02:04:53	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	Yes	BUY	3,700	100¢	$3,693	0xf3d7ae…
03-06 01:46:21	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xb383e5…
03-06 01:44:19	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	Yes	BUY	522	100¢	$520	0xa2c683…
03-05 19:05:21	gc up or down on march 5 2026	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x6914f3…
03-05 17:14:57	crint gbr ind 2026 03 05	India	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd1839c…
03-05 17:14:43	crint gbr ind 2026 03 05	India	BUY	333	98¢	$328	0x5b4604…
03-05 17:14:17	crint gbr ind 2026 03 05	India	BUY	176	98¢	$173	0x814569…
03-05 10:35:39	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	245	86¢	$211	0xf3cdca…