Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1.72K

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,655

lifetime

Volume

$1.35M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$818

Open exposure

$3.87K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 07:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% — —

Politics

29% 0% $-0

Crypto

8% 100% +$2

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+6,166	$4,919	52¢	$3.2K	$-1,744	06-15 06:37
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-754	$-711	90¢	$-682	+$29	07-20 07:53
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	-15	$-12	79¢	$-12	$-0	06-14 10:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	8	$110.9K	56,901	54,201	+2,700	open	—	07-18 16:38
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$79.4K	79,662	0	+79,662	open	—	01-03 12:19
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	18	$59.3K	59,491	0	+59,491	open	—	02-07 04:45
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	13	$56.7K	53,925	4,600	+49,325	open	—	02-28 07:34
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	38	$54.9K	50,000	5,000	+45,000	open	—	03-31 11:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$49.8K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	04-28 18:17
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	18	$49.7K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	05-25 09:48
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	18	$42.2K	42,596	0	+42,596	open	—	01-11 17:05
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	16	$37.2K	33,719	5,000	+28,719	open	—	02-22 21:45
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	11	$29.8K	20,000	9,995	+10,005	open	—	03-06 05:47
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 90 114	109	$28.9K	28,967	0	+28,967	open	—	01-22 01:06
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	28	$28.8K	14,575	14,575	+0	open	—	02-03 19:43
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	34	$28.4K	28,402	0	+28,402	open	—	01-20 17:32
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	53	$20.8K	31,658	32,448	-789	open	—	01-09 18:35
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	13	$20.8K	15,033	7,033	+8,000	open	—	02-20 23:07
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	8	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	01-20 07:42
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	8	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	02-07 18:35
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 340 359	2	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	01-22 12:49
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	01-20 21:47
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	28	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	02-06 17:28
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	5	$19.8K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	02-26 21:32
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	3	$18.2K	17,000	2,000	+15,000	open	—	02-28 07:01
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	21	$18.1K	9,889	9,889	+0	open	—	01-15 02:05
over 70m committed to the ranger public sale rwrn 523	3	$17.7K	18,873	4,029	+14,844	open	—	01-10 15:53
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	34	$16.4K	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	02-28 06:20
Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?	2	$14.7K	7,462	7,462	+0	open	—	01-19 22:04
will bnb dip to 600 in february	49	$14.6K	14,590	0	+14,590	open	—	02-06 03:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	32	$12.1K	12,980	0	+12,980	open	—	01-19 23:16
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	6	$12.0K	12,263	500	+11,763	open	—	02-07 18:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$11.1K	10,000	2,000	+8,000	open	—	05-22 15:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 07:53:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	4,036	90¢	$3,632	0x3eed6a…
07-18 16:38:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	54,201	100¢	$54,147	0xa12c52…
07-14 06:49:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2,341	100¢	$2,334	0x0115d6…
07-14 06:39:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	314	100¢	$313	0x673964…
07-14 06:15:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3d7640…
07-14 06:07:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x487d81…
07-14 05:36:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x3ac081…
07-14 04:57:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18ba26…
07-14 04:52:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	54,201	100¢	$54,039	0x53e458…
06-15 10:58:12	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	150	89¢	$134	0x87091f…
06-15 06:37:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	654	84¢	$549	0x378f12…
06-15 06:08:52	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	57	89¢	$51	0x4c3238…
06-15 05:52:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	909	89¢	$809	0x4ce8d6…
06-15 04:47:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x8fb212…
06-15 00:33:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x20865e…
06-14 23:54:01	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x7a062d…
06-14 22:01:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x3a4d1f…
06-14 21:40:27	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0xef1f7b…
06-14 21:37:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	28	84¢	$23	0xa79813…
06-14 21:30:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	60	89¢	$54	0x6f7ce1…
06-14 21:27:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0xda2f7f…
06-14 21:27:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0x292f44…
06-14 21:26:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	44	84¢	$37	0xb17d24…
06-14 21:26:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	52	84¢	$44	0x8d3e4f…
06-14 21:26:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	35	84¢	$29	0xeb4f29…
06-14 21:26:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0x98f967…
06-14 21:26:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	56	84¢	$47	0x6d26dc…
06-14 21:26:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	32	84¢	$27	0xa6950b…
06-14 21:26:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x4feb02…
06-14 21:26:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0xed0631…
06-14 21:26:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x02ef5a…
06-14 21:26:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0x912dbf…
06-14 21:26:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	33	84¢	$28	0x5f993d…
06-14 21:22:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	47	89¢	$42	0x2f6624…
06-14 21:21:48	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf9a95b…
06-14 21:21:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$0	0x925c17…
06-14 21:08:12	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1,818	89¢	$1,618	0x698ad7…
06-14 14:02:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,552	83¢	$2,119	0xdf04ec…
06-14 14:01:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	447	83¢	$371	0xb6d8d8…
06-14 14:01:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x708d3a…
06-14 10:10:45	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x4c3186…
06-14 09:57:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	230	85¢	$195	0x0e2ade…
06-14 09:56:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,059	85¢	$900	0x78590b…
06-14 09:17:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xc4f308…
06-14 09:08:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x15af93…
06-14 08:13:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x3241a5…
06-14 08:05:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x6da7f8…
06-14 08:05:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	48	85¢	$41	0x194711…
06-14 08:04:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,441	85¢	$1,225	0x499bde…
06-14 05:57:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	127	85¢	$108	0xef1cce…
06-14 05:57:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	43	85¢	$37	0x873806…
06-14 01:50:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	47	84¢	$39	0x82eacf…
06-14 01:50:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x0fa9e4…
06-14 01:30:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,950	84¢	$2,478	0x010beb…
06-12 22:53:58	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0xc30e68…
06-12 06:29:33	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xc148a6…
06-11 21:54:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	74¢	$1,480	0x4b7ec3…
06-11 20:29:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	345	98¢	$339	0x2f1be4…
06-11 20:27:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1,580	98¢	$1,551	0xdb186f…
06-10 17:36:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1,678	98¢	$1,644	0x56c9bb…
06-10 17:36:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	3,322	98¢	$3,256	0x3b2ad5…
05-27 07:20:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	600	100¢	$598	0xd8b16a…
05-25 09:48:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	21,904	100¢	$21,838	0x2102eb…
05-25 09:47:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb57fb1…
05-25 09:40:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3126b0…
05-25 09:34:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x390f61…
05-25 09:23:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x27a37f…
05-25 09:23:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xff4755…
05-25 09:23:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9c0a37…
05-25 09:23:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90831a…
05-25 09:23:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xde6a69…
05-25 09:23:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xfefb28…
05-25 09:23:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x00768c…
05-25 09:23:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaa5875…
05-25 09:23:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9639aa…
05-25 09:23:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x478183…
05-25 09:23:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xca077d…
05-25 09:23:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6d38b8…
05-25 09:23:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	17,807	100¢	$17,753	0xd15f6d…
05-22 22:17:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	600	63¢	$378	0x241ef9…
05-22 15:02:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2,000	95¢	$1,908	0xfdb7f2…
05-18 15:20:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10,000	98¢	$9,830	0x2e2093…
05-14 11:33:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10,000	92¢	$9,200	0x533c31…
05-01 07:06:38	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	SELL	194	42¢	$82	0xffca96…
05-01 07:05:46	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	SELL	71	42¢	$30	0xc20aee…
05-01 07:05:24	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	SELL	33	42¢	$14	0x123400…
05-01 06:40:56	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	SELL	78	38¢	$30	0x9c44da…
04-28 18:17:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	45,072	99¢	$44,847	0xed598c…
04-28 18:11:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xece8a2…
04-28 18:10:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,985	0x1ac3d8…
04-28 18:07:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	306	100¢	$304	0x527c33…
04-28 18:06:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0xdf27a0…
04-28 18:00:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$214	0x482225…
04-28 17:55:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd61bb4…
04-28 17:51:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	374	100¢	$372	0x3dc029…
03-31 11:24:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x0f6b2a…
03-31 02:20:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	14,327	100¢	$14,298	0x6179cb…
03-31 02:15:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0x4ca020…
03-31 02:11:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0x6e9017…
03-31 02:11:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	83	100¢	$82	0x24e4a4…