Plush-Budget — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.30K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$60.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$342

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 05-18 18:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

81% 0% $-2,202

Crypto

8% — —

Other

7% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-100

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	6	$12.6K	14,522	14,522	+0	open	—	04-07 22:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$10.8K	13,299	13,299	+0	open	—	04-07 22:59
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	3	$3.9K	3,188	3,188	+0	open	—	05-01 21:45
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$2.1K	2,324	2,324	+0	open	—	04-09 20:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.9K	4,348	4,348	+0	open	—	05-02 19:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$1.8K	3,286	3,286	+0	open	—	05-04 17:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	14	$1.7K	18,639	18,639	+0	No	$-80	05-08 22:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	9	$1.7K	7,744	7,744	+0	No	$-1,523	05-08 22:36
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	6	$1.6K	1,844	1,501	+344	open	—	04-13 18:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	5	$1.5K	8,528	8,528	+0	open	—	05-13 23:17
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	4	$1.4K	1,566	1,566	+0	open	—	04-18 21:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	8	$1.3K	3,526	3,526	+0	open	—	05-08 18:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$1.3K	4,291	4,291	+0	open	—	05-10 18:37
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$1.3K	921	921	+0	open	—	05-03 05:38
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$1.2K	2,229	2,229	+0	open	—	04-15 21:31
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	2	$1.1K	3,363	673	+2,691	open	—	04-12 15:15
btc updown 5m 1776515400	2	$999	658	641	+17	open	—	04-18 12:33
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$901	8,819	8,819	+0	open	—	05-10 19:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$874	994	994	+0	open	—	04-17 18:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$797	6,643	1,993	+4,650	open	—	04-24 20:52
btc updown 5m 1776516300	7	$614	725	697	+28	open	—	04-18 12:50
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	4	$578	4,484	4,484	+0	open	—	04-09 22:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	3	$554	1,364	1,364	+0	open	—	04-16 15:10
nba por phx 2026 04 14	3	$524	476	468	+8	open	—	04-15 05:18
btc updown 5m 1775600700	1	$500	844	0	+844	open	—	04-07 22:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$488	1,188	1,188	+0	open	—	04-15 19:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$460	8,092	0	+8,092	open	—	05-18 18:24
bitcoin up or down april 9 2026 6pm et	7	$423	921	797	+124	open	—	04-09 22:57
btc updown 5m 1776516600	4	$397	669	251	+418	open	—	04-18 12:54
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	2	$365	270	265	+5	open	—	04-14 21:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 18:24:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	6,248	3¢	$200	0xbf4771…
05-13 23:18:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	1,844	14¢	$260	0x7d942c…
05-13 23:17:47	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	978	10¢	$98	0x6c24db…
05-13 23:17:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	6,481	3¢	$163	0x2687fa…
05-12 17:13:37	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	978	11¢	$107	0xe30ccb…
05-12 17:13:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2,047	5¢	$102	0x621b8e…
05-10 20:01:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	4,635	15¢	$695	0x7f8392…
05-10 19:56:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,856	14¢	$398	0x9391fe…
05-10 19:56:17	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,819	2¢	$201	0x8be016…
05-10 18:37:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,036	17¢	$175	0x7a04d4…
05-10 18:37:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,450	12¢	$167	0xd45d86…
05-10 14:08:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,450	14¢	$210	0xd3641f…
05-08 22:36:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	7,744	1¢	$77	0x89d273…
05-08 22:36:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,853	0¢	$24	0x7784ed…
05-08 18:39:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,520	20¢	$304	0x76bb11…
05-07 21:43:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,276	3¢	$70	0xcb6c65…
05-07 21:37:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x2f2216…
05-07 21:36:15	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,163	3¢	$89	0xd6d978…
05-07 21:35:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	595	17¢	$100	0x540201…
05-07 21:35:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	3,111	6¢	$200	0x37e244…
05-07 21:29:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,872	3¢	$100	0x71c7f5…
05-07 21:29:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,841	15¢	$416	0x454875…
05-07 18:53:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	1,706	6¢	$100	0x263285…
05-07 16:10:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,692	18¢	$300	0x1a76c3…
05-07 14:20:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,512	8¢	$121	0x754a68…
05-07 14:19:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,251	8¢	$101	0x78284e…
05-07 14:19:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	288	30¢	$87	0x6a332e…
05-07 14:18:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,514	8¢	$204	0x1ded67…
05-07 14:18:17	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	374	29¢	$108	0xc9d20d…
05-07 08:46:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,638	7¢	$112	0x7d5bdd…
05-07 08:45:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,841	17¢	$480	0xe12d13…
05-06 21:32:48	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x541ce2…
05-06 19:44:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	542	28¢	$152	0x781192…
05-06 15:45:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,521	5¢	$179	0x9e34fa…
05-06 13:13:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,349	7¢	$90	0x90b070…
05-06 13:13:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	802	21¢	$168	0xeb18eb…
05-04 19:15:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,531	33¢	$500	0xd2f4c7…
05-04 17:32:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x5c312c…
05-04 17:32:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	3,286	24¢	$789	0x9f5f20…
05-04 16:15:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	977	4¢	$40	0x2941f9…
05-04 15:05:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	324	31¢	$100	0x336109…
05-04 14:15:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x723f33…
05-04 14:14:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,001	5¢	$100	0x7790ec…
05-04 14:13:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0xbe3ed0…
05-04 14:13:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0xda7b72…
05-04 07:03:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,538	13¢	$200	0x604198…
05-03 21:30:32	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0x3c1484…
05-03 21:28:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	662	15¢	$100	0x73cd75…
05-03 17:03:22	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,163	3¢	$100	0x8472fd…
05-03 17:00:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,415	7¢	$300	0xecd6bf…
05-03 11:11:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	2,500	16¢	$400	0x65530a…
05-03 11:09:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,099	5¢	$200	0x883002…
05-03 11:06:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,308	13¢	$300	0xb16cfc…
05-03 05:38:02	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	921	100¢	$920	0x93edb3…
05-02 22:01:50	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	921	38¢	$350	0x0d7f11…
05-02 19:30:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,348	21¢	$913	0x0f0b33…
05-01 22:07:24	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	750	40¢	$300	0x5b6c73…
05-01 22:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	77	44¢	$34	0xe74201…
05-01 22:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	73	29¢	$21	0xa6ddf0…
05-01 22:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	150	44¢	$66	0x8c6492…
05-01 22:00:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	3,286	30¢	$1,000	0x7622bc…
05-01 21:56:46	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,785	8¢	$400	0x8f5ac6…
05-01 21:56:16	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,034	7¢	$300	0xa27520…
05-01 21:53:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,348	23¢	$1,000	0xfe0acc…
05-01 21:45:44	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	3,188	96¢	$3,060	0x318ca8…
04-30 18:01:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	1,988	25¢	$497	0x71b9f4…
04-30 18:01:32	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	1,200	25¢	$300	0x25944a…
04-24 20:59:34	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	1,493	10¢	$149	0x8e8bb7…
04-24 20:53:28	Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x90b174…
04-24 20:52:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,993	10¢	$199	0x367207…
04-23 19:11:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,643	9¢	$598	0xfa90a3…
04-23 19:11:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	18,731	1¢	$200	0x489a40…
04-18 21:11:02	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	677	22¢	$147	0x5f5106…
04-18 21:10:38	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	975	15¢	$147	0x5e8327…
04-18 12:54:48	btc updown 5m 1776516600	Up	BUY	223	14¢	$31	0x840d55…
04-18 12:52:56	btc updown 5m 1776516600	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x762cb4…
04-18 12:52:06	btc updown 5m 1776516600	Up	SELL	251	54¢	$136	0x16f409…
04-18 12:50:46	btc updown 5m 1776516600	Up	BUY	261	50¢	$130	0x5811c9…
04-18 12:50:22	btc updown 5m 1776516300	Up	SELL	132	99¢	$131	0x0336c4…
04-18 12:49:14	btc updown 5m 1776516300	Up	BUY	134	80¢	$107	0xc053a0…
04-18 12:47:58	btc updown 5m 1776516300	Down	SELL	265	16¢	$42	0x4742f2…
04-18 12:46:56	btc updown 5m 1776516300	Down	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x5465f3…
04-18 12:46:20	btc updown 5m 1776516300	Down	SELL	300	35¢	$104	0x532e88…
04-18 12:45:42	btc updown 5m 1776516300	Down	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xdf9235…
04-18 12:45:26	btc updown 5m 1776516300	Down	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xfec98e…
04-18 12:44:10	btc updown 5m 1776516000	Down	SELL	317	1¢	$3	0xabf1d3…
04-18 12:41:50	btc updown 5m 1776516000	Down	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xbcef15…
04-18 12:38:56	btc updown 5m 1776515700	Up	SELL	1,465	2¢	$29	0xc88a75…
04-18 12:38:32	btc updown 5m 1776515700	Up	BUY	223	4¢	$10	0x75bdec…
04-18 12:35:52	btc updown 5m 1776515700	Up	BUY	562	18¢	$100	0x8acdd9…
04-18 12:35:20	btc updown 5m 1776515700	Up	BUY	769	26¢	$200	0x726c3e…
04-18 12:33:26	btc updown 5m 1776515400	Up	SELL	641	91¢	$582	0xe31e20…
04-18 12:32:20	btc updown 5m 1776515400	Up	BUY	658	63¢	$417	0x2744d6…
04-17 18:20:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	994	42¢	$417	0x07e560…
04-17 13:46:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	994	46¢	$457	0xe1dab7…
04-16 15:10:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	750	14¢	$101	0xc258ee…
04-15 21:31:58	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	2,229	5¢	$118	0x8a2a3a…
04-15 19:51:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,188	20¢	$238	0x80d4f4…
04-15 14:04:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	2,229	49¢	$1,103	0xa20968…
04-15 10:13:40	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0xf9e152…