Knowing-Foray — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 05-05 12:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

97% 40% $-3

Politics

3% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 140 159	1	$440	440	0	+440	open	—	01-24 03:49
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 420 439	1	$428	428	0	+428	open	—	02-24 03:18
es2 leo spo 2026 01 17 leo	4	$309	440	0	+440	open	—	01-17 09:00
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	3	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	02-24 02:53
spx opens up or down on february 24 2026	2	$74	100	100	+0	open	—	02-24 03:01
will company b be accused of insider trading	5	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	02-24 02:41
will the 2026 state of the union address last 100 minutes or longer	2	$42	50	50	+0	open	—	02-24 03:01
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	05-05 06:34
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 06:32
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$33	20	20	+0	No	$-0	05-05 03:20
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	8	$25	32	32	+0	open	—	02-24 02:44
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	05-05 03:20
Will Lady Gaga be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	3	$20	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-05 03:50
Will Bad Bunny be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$20	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-05 04:25
Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$20	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	05-05 06:02
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$20	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-05 12:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	6	$20	40	0	+40	Yes	+$0	05-05 04:14
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	4	$20	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-05 09:25
will mrbeasts next video get between 34 and 36 million views on day 3	2	$16	50	50	+0	open	—	02-24 02:36
will mrbeasts next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3	3	$15	50	50	+0	open	—	02-24 02:45
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	2	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	05-05 03:06
Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$10	30	0	+30	No	$-0	05-05 05:04
Will Integra Lifesciences (IART) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$4	20	0	+20	Yes	$-4	05-05 10:00
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$3	20	20	+0	open	—	05-05 03:07
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	2	$1	20	20	+0	open	—	05-05 03:07
Will Chappell Roan attend the Met Gala?	1	$0	20	0	+20	No	$-0	05-05 03:38
Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$0	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 03:08
Will Anok Yai be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$0	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 03:08
Will Olivia Rodrigo attend the Met Gala?	1	$0	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 03:31
Will Doja Cat be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	1	$0	20	0	+20	No	$-0	05-05 03:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 12:37:26	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xdfd856…
05-05 11:29:26	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x78c9c3…
05-05 10:00:04	Will Integra Lifesciences (IART) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x472d54…
05-05 09:25:04	Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x310b30…
05-05 07:55:58	Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xde84d8…
05-05 07:16:02	Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5c22e1…
05-05 06:45:58	Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xe59f07…
05-05 06:34:02	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xa06a67…
05-05 06:33:40	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xe745a1…
05-05 06:32:24	Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x6b217c…
05-05 06:02:12	Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x813647…
05-05 05:42:08	Will Jay-Z be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x100ac7…
05-05 05:42:06	Will Jay-Z be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x1b728b…
05-05 05:24:00	Will the Conservative Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x127dfa…
05-05 05:04:10	Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x6cb453…
05-05 04:25:42	Will Bad Bunny be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3d1582…
05-05 04:20:06	Will Timothée Chalamet be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0dba5e…
05-05 04:14:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x314a69…
05-05 04:05:58	Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x484627…
05-05 04:04:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x6603cf…
05-05 04:04:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x299961…
05-05 04:00:34	Will Anna Wintour be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd06ba6…
05-05 03:59:44	Will Doja Cat be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x616620…
05-05 03:50:20	Will Lady Gaga be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe040ff…
05-05 03:45:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x417ee5…
05-05 03:45:46	Will Lady Gaga be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x31569d…
05-05 03:45:24	Will Bad Bunny be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x72a75d…
05-05 03:40:50	Will Lady Gaga be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x395060…
05-05 03:38:30	Will Chappell Roan attend the Met Gala?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf28131…
05-05 03:31:50	Will Olivia Rodrigo attend the Met Gala?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x1ab5f0…
05-05 03:26:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x64e8f1…
05-05 03:25:44	Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x835afd…
05-05 03:25:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x7a9c27…
05-05 03:20:52	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x3363d8…
05-05 03:20:22	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x283517…
05-05 03:14:02	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xdd5672…
05-05 03:13:38	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xdbcb9f…
05-05 03:08:10	Will Anok Yai be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb8d6b2…
05-05 03:08:00	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xfa328b…
05-05 03:07:46	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xcfb896…
05-05 03:07:02	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x58092a…
05-05 03:06:36	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x81dbe9…
05-05 03:03:56	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xf08d85…
05-05 03:01:08	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xe0c36c…
05-05 02:57:40	Will Anok Yai be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x583d0f…
05-05 02:57:30	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x8380f4…
05-04 05:50:36	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x102db4…
02-24 03:18:44	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 420 439	No	BUY	428	100¢	$428	0x265165…
02-24 03:01:48	will the 2026 state of the union address last 100 minutes or longer	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x452497…
02-24 03:01:28	spx opens up or down on february 24 2026	Down	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0xb0dc7c…
02-24 02:53:24	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0xc627e9…
02-24 02:45:44	will mrbeasts next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xcc5202…
02-24 02:44:50	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	No	SELL	32	38¢	$12	0xc4de10…
02-24 02:44:06	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xe8516a…
02-24 02:43:54	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	No	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xc423b1…
02-24 02:43:50	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	No	BUY	46	75¢	$34	0xbaf803…
02-24 02:42:54	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	No	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xc3888a…
02-24 02:42:54	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x30235f…
02-24 02:41:48	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xe7bb3a…
02-24 02:41:40	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc4ceca…
02-24 02:41:26	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	No	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x5b8dfe…
02-24 02:41:26	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	44	66¢	$29	0x002ef8…
02-24 02:41:10	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	No	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x793f19…
02-24 02:40:02	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x9dc94c…
02-24 02:39:46	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xb772e3…
02-24 02:38:58	spx opens up or down on february 24 2026	Down	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x987d1b…
02-24 02:36:50	will mrbeasts next video get between 34 and 36 million views on day 3	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x8216eb…
02-24 02:35:46	will mrbeasts next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3	No	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0x0a006d…
02-24 02:35:12	will the 2026 state of the union address last 100 minutes or longer	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x84326c…
02-24 02:34:40	will mrbeasts next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3	No	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x37e24d…
02-24 02:34:28	will mrbeasts next video get between 34 and 36 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xb3f074…
02-24 02:33:48	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0xe7b982…
02-24 02:33:46	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x13de8e…
01-24 03:49:22	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 140 159	No	BUY	440	100¢	$440	0x44f0b8…
01-17 09:00:42	es2 leo spo 2026 01 17 leo	No	BUY	74	71¢	$52	0x33fee5…
01-17 08:59:28	es2 leo spo 2026 01 17 leo	No	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0xae048f…
01-17 08:58:24	es2 leo spo 2026 01 17 leo	No	BUY	295	70¢	$206	0xe3f7f3…
01-17 08:56:52	es2 leo spo 2026 01 17 leo	No	BUY	38	70¢	$27	0x4a9aa3…