Humble-Precipitation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

10 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$42

$42 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-13 05:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

64% 50% $-1

Crypto

24% 100% +$0

Politics

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will "Potential - sombr" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	No	+8	$8	100¢	$8	+$0	05-11 05:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	+6	$6	99¢	$6	+$0	05-13 05:27
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	+3	$3	100¢	$3	+$0	05-13 05:28
Will the total number of TSA passengers for May 11 - May 17 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?	No	+3	$3	56¢	$2	$-1	05-11 05:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 05:28:25	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5e4b8c…
05-13 05:27:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf38ee7…
05-13 05:26:19	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2440a5…
05-11 05:12:47	Will the total number of TSA passengers for May 11 - May 17 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xb246e7…
05-11 05:12:17	Will "Potential - sombr" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99b08e…
05-10 07:16:43	Will ALO be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x905b07…
05-10 07:13:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x69b30e…
05-10 07:12:17	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa58dd6…
05-08 05:29:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3321cc…
05-07 05:14:04	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9e6b70…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Potential - sombr" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-11 05:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	1	$7	7	+7	No	+$0	05-10 07:13
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-13 05:27
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-13 05:26
Will ALO be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?	1	$4	4	+4	No	+$0	05-10 07:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?	1	$3	3	+3	Yes	+$0	05-08 05:29
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-13 05:28
Will the total number of TSA passengers for May 11 - May 17 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-11 05:12
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-07 05:14
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	No	$-1	05-10 07:12