Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$204

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-10 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

65% — —

Other

27% 0% $-9

Sports

9% 100% +$213

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$238	139	139	+0	open	—	04-11 06:36
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$110	137	0	+137	open	—	03-23 18:36
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$80	129	0	+129	open	—	03-08 17:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$73	2,173	0	+2,173	open	—	04-10 05:06
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	2	$60	51	51	+0	open	—	04-12 20:31
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$50	263	0	+263	Sean Strickland	+$213	05-09 05:54
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$50	98	0	+98	open	—	06-10 15:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$41	561	0	+561	open	—	04-08 15:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$40	223	0	+223	open	—	04-11 06:38
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$40	279	0	+279	open	—	03-24 20:51
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$35	133	0	+133	open	—	04-12 12:51
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$20	64	0	+64	open	—	03-31 03:46
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	1	$20	34	0	+34	open	—	04-11 06:57
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$20	143	0	+143	open	—	03-31 03:45
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	1	$20	74	0	+74	open	—	04-10 01:00
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	2	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	03-23 18:38
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	03-18 20:48
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	1	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	04-10 05:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$12	159	0	+159	open	—	03-31 03:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	1	$10	131	0	+131	open	—	04-09 20:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	04-10 00:39
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	04-11 06:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	03-31 18:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	03-31 18:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$10	67	0	+67	open	—	04-11 06:41
will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	1	$10	77	0	+77	open	—	03-02 19:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$10	48	0	+48	open	—	03-31 18:35
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	03-05 23:28
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-11 06:50
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	04-10 00:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 15:25:13	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x890d26…
05-09 05:54:59	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x10eeba…
04-12 20:31:31	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	SELL	51	78¢	$40	0x0e0f23…
04-12 12:52:19	will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x07729c…
04-12 12:51:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xb95192…
04-11 16:03:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x2decdb…
04-11 06:57:21	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x983661…
04-11 06:57:03	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x6fa414…
04-11 06:56:07	Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xacee70…
04-11 06:53:59	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	2¢	$3	0xe84a2e…
04-11 06:50:37	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x5abded…
04-11 06:47:21	khamenei of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 40 44	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xfe0e89…
04-11 06:41:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x891dd4…
04-11 06:38:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xaee75f…
04-11 06:36:13	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	SELL	139	100¢	$138	0x9bdc03…
04-10 05:13:15	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xa66d65…
04-10 05:06:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x82fe83…
04-10 01:00:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xea6d2b…
04-10 00:56:21	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x7e9335…
04-10 00:39:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x655597…
04-10 00:38:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xa5c338…
04-09 21:15:31	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x76e49a…
04-09 20:34:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xe046ef…
04-09 20:34:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	131	8¢	$10	0x53e09b…
04-08 15:26:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xa29846…
04-08 15:26:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x2f52ee…
04-07 23:13:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	345	6¢	$20	0x27a29f…
04-03 22:38:41	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	273	1¢	$3	0xa7fff8…
04-03 22:35:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2e934f…
04-03 22:34:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xf238dc…
04-03 22:32:25	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x989562…
04-03 22:32:17	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xaf2432…
04-03 22:32:13	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x90a490…
04-03 22:32:07	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf2c411…
04-03 22:32:03	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x792ed3…
04-03 22:31:57	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xe4d81e…
04-03 22:31:53	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xd13b37…
04-03 22:31:49	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x2c9274…
04-03 22:31:47	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	136	1¢	$1	0x8c4e9c…
04-03 22:28:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x225adf…
04-03 22:25:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0x097dad…
04-03 22:24:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0xe9c48d…
04-03 22:24:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	390	1¢	$3	0xaea57b…
04-03 22:24:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0x85d70f…
03-31 18:37:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf733fe…
03-31 18:35:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x324338…
03-31 18:35:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x80dc48…
03-31 18:34:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xb6781d…
03-31 18:33:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xd11dd1…
03-31 04:57:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x102f8d…
03-31 03:46:43	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x28451a…
03-31 03:46:31	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	109	2¢	$2	0x845351…
03-31 03:45:45	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x08d034…
03-30 22:06:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	375	8¢	$30	0xb26b4d…
03-24 20:51:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x944d6d…
03-24 20:51:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xc9b582…
03-24 20:51:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x6ebfad…
03-23 18:40:51	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x21a789…
03-23 18:40:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x0f7e9c…
03-23 18:38:15	Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Ceasefire	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x3da2c7…
03-23 18:36:17	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0xa00eb4…
03-23 17:21:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xa7dc17…
03-18 20:51:29	Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Ceasefire	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb7bb84…
03-18 20:50:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x7b831a…
03-18 20:48:37	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xbbe4d7…
03-18 20:48:19	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x5473e6…
03-18 20:48:15	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1801f0…
03-08 17:26:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x41b9d9…
03-05 23:28:39	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xe58aa9…
03-05 16:53:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xec8870…
03-03 21:27:09	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x169e3f…
03-02 19:51:47	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xab0d78…
03-02 19:51:37	will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	No	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xf7d736…