Familiar-Fugato — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$215

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-23 03:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

62% 100% +$0

Politics

32% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	3	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 02:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-23 03:47
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 02:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 03:47
Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$14	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 11:01
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$13	16	0	+16	open	—	05-14 11:01
Games Total: O/U 2.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	05-06 18:11
Set 1 Winner: Carabelli vs Shevchenko	1	$10	10	0	+10	Shevchenko	+$0	05-06 12:24
dota2 ts8 aur1 2026 05 21 game1 both teams destroy barracks	1	$10	56	0	+56	open	—	05-21 18:23
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 10:52
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Cash" on Thursday?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-21 23:45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 14?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 11:01
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 11:01
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-16 00:08
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-14 11:01
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-14 11:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-18 00:00
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-14 11:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 16?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-16 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-16 00:08
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-14 11:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-16 00:08
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-14 05:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-18 00:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 03:47:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x463fc4…
05-23 03:47:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xadd836…
05-22 22:01:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x94a83e…
05-22 21:55:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xfcfc50…
05-21 23:45:01	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Cash" on Thursday?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0e3851…
05-21 18:23:08	dota2 ts8 aur1 2026 05 21 game1 both teams destroy barracks	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x6b0309…
05-18 00:00:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x73d622…
05-18 00:00:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x5e6fbb…
05-16 00:08:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd54fd2…
05-16 00:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcf2556…
05-16 00:08:32	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x521838…
05-16 00:04:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x60dc08…
05-14 11:01:49	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xf3b045…
05-14 11:01:49	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xde896f…
05-14 11:01:49	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xb2c9e5…
05-14 11:01:49	Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6f02f8…
05-14 11:01:47	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x622b7f…
05-14 11:01:47	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x570950…
05-14 11:01:38	Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x163c8e…
05-14 11:01:36	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xc8b52a…
05-14 10:52:55	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x78e2e2…
05-14 05:52:54	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfd0b10…
05-14 05:52:54	Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x973faa…
05-14 05:52:54	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x2ba456…
05-14 05:19:38	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xa7ec02…
05-14 05:19:38	Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x6e8555…
05-14 05:19:36	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xfc227c…
05-14 05:19:36	Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0xc55979…
05-14 02:39:06	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3b0468…
05-14 02:38:53	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb4c2a4…
05-11 16:44:00	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x435ff0…
05-06 18:11:19	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf918bf…
05-06 12:24:44	Set 1 Winner: Carabelli vs Shevchenko	Shevchenko	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x315c13…
05-06 09:34:02	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x92b62c…
05-06 09:32:02	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2feec5…