Growing-Lunchroom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

Trades

615

lifetime

Volume

$9.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 05-08 10:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% 100% +$10

Politics

20% 0% $-53

Crypto

19% — —

Sports

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nancy guthrie kidnapper arrested by february 28	13	$591	373	373	+0	open	—	02-14 04:50
Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?	4	$576	293	293	+0	open	—	04-26 00:17
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	2	$457	230	230	+0	open	—	02-12 02:01
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 13	8	$412	227	227	+0	open	—	02-14 02:13
greg bovino firedresigns by march 31	7	$341	474	474	+0	open	—	03-16 17:39
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on april 1	4	$306	206	167	+39	open	—	04-01 08:39
will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	2	$241	130	130	+0	open	—	02-13 17:04
will karol g perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	8	$213	310	310	+0	open	—	02-09 01:49
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$208	190	190	+0	open	—	03-29 20:04
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	5	$200	677	677	+0	open	—	03-20 15:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	04-21 23:24
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	5	$170	110	110	-0	open	—	02-10 15:28
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	2	$166	100	100	+0	open	—	03-08 21:15
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	6	$162	94	94	+0	open	—	05-02 01:50
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	2	$153	100	100	+0	open	—	03-21 13:13
James Comey arrested by May 15?	2	$146	87	87	+0	open	—	04-28 22:14
will uae strike iran by march 31	3	$145	120	120	+0	open	—	03-08 13:15
will seguro win portugals abroad votes	7	$140	166	166	+0	open	—	02-08 21:38
will there be at least 800 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	4	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	02-13 16:06
morgan mcsweeney out as starmer chief of staff by february 28	4	$139	90	90	+0	open	—	02-08 14:13
will the liberal democratic party win 310 or more seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	3	$139	77	77	+0	open	—	02-08 14:48
will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	6	$134	962	962	+0	open	—	03-24 22:03
will lady gaga perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	5	$128	70	70	+0	open	—	02-09 01:03
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 31	2	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	03-31 02:54
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	16	$105	484	0	+484	open	—	05-08 10:05
btc updown 5m 1771204500	4	$102	189	2	+187	open	—	02-16 01:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	9	$101	211	320	-109	open	—	04-07 21:53
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 8	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	02-09 04:07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$97	57	57	+0	open	—	03-08 21:07
north korea missile test by march 31 472	2	$93	51	51	+0	open	—	03-14 04:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 10:05:24	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	73	17¢	$12	0x1d76f0…
05-06 23:41:18	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0x72036d…
05-06 23:20:29	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0xaf9831…
05-06 23:19:36	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	35	10¢	$3	0x42ff89…
05-06 23:17:50	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0xc46524…
05-06 23:15:54	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	75	14¢	$10	0x6ce859…
05-06 23:08:23	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xa62ba8…
05-06 23:05:50	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xa8c8a7…
05-06 23:04:58	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xd5bf33…
05-06 23:04:51	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x0a74cd…
05-06 23:04:46	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x49b7d0…
05-06 23:04:37	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x3281d5…
05-06 23:04:33	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x79818d…
05-06 23:04:32	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x998a74…
05-06 23:04:26	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x406e83…
05-06 23:04:02	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x493c3c…
05-04 19:07:58	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xe60e50…
05-04 02:18:40	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0x08c86c…
05-04 02:18:10	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0x31b4e4…
05-04 02:17:58	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe9a209…
05-03 02:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xfe9943…
05-03 02:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	145	17¢	$25	0xe938b8…
05-03 02:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xf5aa88…
05-02 01:50:14	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	SELL	94	95¢	$89	0xe1e553…
05-02 01:49:16	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	SELL	52	90¢	$47	0xeb4ce2…
05-02 01:19:24	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x9d1ad3…
05-02 01:19:08	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	44	81¢	$36	0x88a9a5…
05-02 01:12:18	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xe9d7e4…
05-01 20:31:08	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xfdb6d7…
05-01 20:31:00	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x51beae…
05-01 20:17:30	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x625e23…
05-01 20:17:22	Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0xe15147…
05-01 20:10:38	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x9f2c27…
05-01 19:22:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x50c2bf…
05-01 17:23:18	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x7371a6…
04-30 22:57:40	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	Yes	SELL	72	4¢	$3	0x885012…
04-30 22:34:54	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	Yes	SELL	46	49¢	$23	0x5ccb01…
04-30 22:25:18	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	Yes	BUY	118	33¢	$39	0x52bd8e…
04-30 22:04:12	Google reports Gemini monthly active users above 800M in Q1?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xdabf70…
04-30 15:08:34	Google reports Gemini monthly active users above 800M in Q1?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x4075d2…
04-30 15:06:18	Google reports Gemini monthly active users above 800M in Q1?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa2adec…
04-29 04:30:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x90f726…
04-29 00:57:46	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	No	SELL	41	93¢	$38	0x599070…
04-29 00:25:20	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	No	BUY	41	68¢	$28	0xc5c434…
04-28 23:13:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x183898…
04-28 22:14:22	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	SELL	87	88¢	$77	0xa86afd…
04-28 21:01:30	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	BUY	87	80¢	$70	0x40efc3…
04-28 19:06:48	another critical cloudflare incident by may 31 2026	Yes	SELL	26	65¢	$17	0xbcdeb4…
04-28 18:48:16	another critical cloudflare incident by may 31 2026	Yes	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0xac4065…
04-26 00:17:58	Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?	Yes	SELL	293	100¢	$292	0xb46f45…
04-25 23:53:34	Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xcf9bfa…
04-25 23:53:32	Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?	Yes	BUY	263	97¢	$254	0xeacc18…
04-25 23:53:32	Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x8c2e30…
04-21 23:24:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x708cb7…
04-21 20:22:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	SELL	47	80¢	$38	0x92d3cd…
04-21 19:58:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xfff4fb…
04-21 19:49:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x123226…
04-21 19:47:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	55	78¢	$43	0x43c31d…
04-19 19:23:42	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	SELL	57	65¢	$37	0x6cd782…
04-18 15:11:36	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x063231…
04-18 15:10:34	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe72c68…
04-18 15:10:24	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0xf8d4a9…
04-14 17:14:06	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x291920…
04-14 16:51:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xdc4fbe…
04-14 03:03:59	Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xc5c344…
04-14 03:03:09	Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0x8eee4b…
04-13 23:58:15	Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	70¢	$5	0x6c0b07…
04-13 23:27:11	Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xf2a124…
04-13 23:17:23	Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xab41a0…
04-13 23:03:41	Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x9c0b87…
04-13 21:21:37	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xea88f7…
04-13 21:08:21	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0xf5298f…
04-07 22:41:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	79	36¢	$28	0x0e1492…
04-07 22:13:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	79	16¢	$13	0xe07622…
04-07 21:53:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	80	31¢	$25	0xfaa2c0…
04-07 20:49:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xf6fac2…
04-07 20:49:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x54952b…
04-07 20:49:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x601fb6…
04-07 20:49:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x556a59…
04-07 20:49:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x5ca880…
04-07 20:36:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	240	20¢	$48	0xeedf59…
04-07 20:07:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	120	11¢	$13	0x0c3285…
04-07 20:07:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xfd7297…
04-03 11:48:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x676699…
04-03 11:45:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x4b8c30…
04-01 13:57:29	btc updown 5m 1775051700	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4eed3b…
04-01 13:47:47	will trump say oil or gas 3 times during address to the nation	No	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x8902ae…
04-01 08:39:35	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on april 1	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x44cd45…
04-01 06:20:31	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on april 1	No	SELL	161	96¢	$154	0xcecd6e…
04-01 05:30:05	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on april 1	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x8e37df…
04-01 01:36:17	will trump say job 10 times during executive order signing today	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9fa715…
04-01 00:02:47	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on april 1	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xb4a3d3…
03-31 21:56:25	will trump say iran 4 times during executive order signing today	Yes	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0xc09d30…
03-31 21:53:51	will trump say iran 4 times during executive order signing today	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x233ee0…
03-31 20:16:07	will trump say job 10 times during executive order signing today	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x143b23…
03-31 02:54:15	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 31	No	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0xa9d9c1…
03-30 23:49:17	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 31	No	BUY	56	92¢	$51	0xa08c40…
03-29 21:02:04	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 29 2026 526	No	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x65fa83…
03-29 20:52:04	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 29 2026 526	No	SELL	21	40¢	$8	0x1c84f3…
03-29 20:43:06	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 29 2026 526	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xb2f347…