Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.1%

Resolved

Trades

418

lifetime

Volume

$4.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 04-22 12:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

36% 0% $-2

Other

35% 100% +$0

Crypto

24% 100% +$0

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	31	$332	1,144	1,092	+52	open	—	03-02 01:40
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	18	$292	1,113	2,364	-1,251	open	—	03-01 08:59
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	13	$187	972	972	+0	open	—	03-01 16:06
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	14	$185	205	205	+0	open	—	02-27 11:30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	17	$158	416	401	+15	open	—	03-04 01:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	12	$131	216	216	+0	open	—	02-27 11:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$131	67	67	+0	open	—	02-24 13:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	10	$119	123	123	+0	Yes	$-1	03-11 15:46
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	8	$112	57	57	+0	open	—	03-01 15:51
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	5	$112	272	272	+0	open	—	03-03 06:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$106	163	163	+0	open	—	03-03 02:42
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	7	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	03-01 19:21
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	7	$82	43	43	-0	open	—	02-24 13:50
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	5	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	02-28 04:12
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	9	$79	54	53	+0	open	—	03-31 23:57
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	4	$71	38	38	+0	open	—	02-25 17:31
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$69	38	38	+0	open	—	03-03 23:52
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	6	$68	96	96	+0	open	—	03-02 08:26
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 300 319	4	$68	34	34	+0	open	—	02-23 20:55
will the us invade iran by march 31	4	$66	157	157	+0	open	—	03-03 14:34
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	7	$65	95	95	+0	open	—	02-24 16:35
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	8	$65	33	32	+0	open	—	03-31 09:20
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$63	41	41	+0	open	—	02-22 13:41
will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	02-28 07:16
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	10	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	03-31 07:36
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	2	$57	34	34	+0	open	—	03-04 14:10
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	4	$57	579	579	+0	open	—	02-24 10:20
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	7	$55	32	31	+1	No	+$0	02-24 12:36
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	4	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	02-24 12:48
will solana reach 120 in march 2026	2	$52	29	29	+0	open	—	03-03 20:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-22 12:29:02	Space FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x58a75f…
04-21 06:32:20	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x45154c…
04-19 10:41:30	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x503fa4…
04-19 05:29:58	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xbed06c…
04-16 13:07:58	Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x34de0b…
04-16 07:11:58	Sentio FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd3c523…
04-15 22:04:12	Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x954c41…
04-14 22:17:50	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xeeb129…
04-13 07:01:21	Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xfd82db…
04-11 10:43:41	Sentio FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x0648b2…
04-10 13:39:51	Space FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xb9ab1d…
04-09 08:01:35	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x75b922…
04-09 07:53:17	Sentio FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x957124…
04-09 06:54:25	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xefbb17…
04-09 04:16:37	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x6ffc94…
04-09 03:29:07	Sentio FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x602a33…
04-07 23:48:45	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x90dde5…
04-07 23:38:19	Sentio FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4d377a…
04-07 15:33:01	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x16ed51…
04-02 13:50:27	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0xb2b87b…
04-02 11:38:27	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	No	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x6b297f…
04-02 07:45:07	USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0xab3107…
04-01 13:57:49	USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x98f9ad…
03-31 23:57:47	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	42	86¢	$36	0x000635…
03-31 18:51:31	Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x21de0e…
03-31 15:59:55	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x776ed2…
03-31 09:26:43	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd0020f…
03-31 09:20:03	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xfdbb08…
03-31 09:18:45	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xd6a61a…
03-31 09:16:55	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x251f8f…
03-31 08:45:09	Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xdfbc60…
03-31 07:36:39	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf23023…
03-31 07:36:13	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x648f78…
03-31 07:21:43	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf32c7…
03-31 07:02:03	Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xd895c7…
03-31 06:57:15	Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x59f79f…
03-31 05:45:03	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x5478fc…
03-31 05:33:01	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa0063f…
03-31 05:32:59	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x38d93c…
03-31 05:26:31	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xcbf6f2…
03-31 04:45:53	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x7b08ad…
03-31 04:25:45	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x21fd91…
03-31 03:35:03	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8d7c72…
03-31 00:30:43	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3582eb…
03-30 15:30:59	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x895670…
03-30 13:43:27	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x032984…
03-30 06:42:38	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcbca80…
03-30 06:41:46	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6b601e…
03-30 06:40:32	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaa3513…
03-30 06:39:30	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf4972d…
03-30 06:38:24	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0a830e…
03-30 06:37:44	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0d82ce…
03-30 06:36:48	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x169c92…
03-30 06:36:02	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x60090a…
03-30 06:35:16	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbf37a3…
03-30 06:34:16	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x257527…
03-30 06:33:42	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x901b88…
03-30 06:33:00	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc0208f…
03-30 06:32:10	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9beeed…
03-30 06:31:06	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x297e03…
03-30 06:30:26	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1e72a0…
03-30 06:30:00	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x15348d…
03-30 06:29:30	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xebf3e1…
03-30 06:29:18	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc314fa…
03-30 06:28:38	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa4b043…
03-30 06:28:28	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x72ed98…
03-30 06:28:00	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x211770…
03-30 06:27:58	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa5e452…
03-30 06:27:20	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb1f5c9…
03-30 06:27:20	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6d3858…
03-30 06:26:46	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0303e6…
03-30 06:26:42	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7f756a…
03-30 06:26:04	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8c1536…
03-30 06:25:42	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbcae20…
03-30 06:25:08	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc51fcb…
03-30 06:24:44	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x125d67…
03-30 06:24:36	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x900e2b…
03-30 06:24:30	USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfbbbba…
03-30 06:12:34	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe28253…
03-30 05:49:54	Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x174d45…
03-30 05:07:32	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5bc18a…
03-30 05:07:26	USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13b32e…
03-30 04:38:08	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9f5f66…
03-30 04:25:16	Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x57cb82…
03-30 04:00:30	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x455fca…
03-30 04:00:14	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x110ebe…
03-30 02:34:06	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b6009…
03-29 15:42:42	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xf8906d…
03-29 15:07:14	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xf65c6b…
03-29 14:54:06	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0xc09431…
03-29 14:51:00	Over $200M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf66af4…
03-29 14:32:46	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0xc07583…
03-29 14:16:04	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x6b11fa…
03-29 13:52:30	Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x53a4e9…
03-29 13:40:00	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x523b8d…
03-29 13:38:46	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xa8d505…
03-29 13:31:40	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xb820b6…
03-29 13:30:16	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xb4a8c7…
03-29 11:11:08	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8913b4…
03-29 09:25:00	Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xfe4134…