Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$98

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

Trades

105

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$138

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 05-11 01:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

69% 50% +$98

Politics

25% — —

Sports

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	7	$1.8K	1,105	1,105	+0	open	—	05-04 11:36
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	16	$1.2K	982	491	+491	open	—	04-22 08:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	12	$1.2K	716	716	+0	Yes	+$154	05-11 01:50
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$1.2K	705	705	+0	open	—	04-13 05:24
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$896	479	479	+0	open	—	04-08 16:31
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$870	511	511	+0	open	—	02-12 00:15
nothing ever happens khamenei	3	$810	530	530	+0	open	—	02-08 18:54
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	5	$806	661	661	+0	open	—	01-30 22:25
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$711	526	526	+0	open	—	04-03 18:30
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	4	$626	516	388	+128	open	—	04-24 15:29
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	5	$618	377	377	+0	open	—	01-30 18:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	9	$610	731	0	+731	open	—	04-24 21:06
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	7	$540	283	283	+0	open	—	04-20 07:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$506	291	291	+0	open	—	04-24 07:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	2	$498	275	273	+2	open	—	04-29 02:27
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$479	560	560	+0	open	—	02-14 15:43
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	3	$293	672	672	+0	No	$-56	04-16 08:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	2	$267	356	0	+356	open	—	04-29 03:27
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	4	$221	121	121	+0	open	—	01-23 08:18
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$99	55	55	+0	open	—	01-17 05:05
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$99	72	72	+0	open	—	01-23 08:20
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	1	$50	711	0	+711	open	—	02-06 09:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	3	$49	129	129	+0	open	—	04-19 19:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$46	74	0	+74	open	—	04-29 19:27
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	02-14 15:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 01:50:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	682	96¢	$651	0x2fc8a6…
05-11 01:50:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x8e9781…
05-11 01:48:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	31	95¢	$30	0xd96d71…
05-09 14:32:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xa66e24…
05-09 09:04:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	21	74¢	$16	0xd72bf8…
05-09 08:37:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xe65d9b…
05-09 07:45:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb56884…
05-09 06:58:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x3e306a…
05-09 06:57:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xba7d13…
05-09 02:09:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x50ab3b…
05-09 02:01:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd1b7cf…
05-09 01:09:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	584	74¢	$432	0x09916d…
05-04 11:36:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,105	84¢	$925	0xb507b4…
05-01 16:13:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	118	68¢	$80	0x0b4612…
05-01 16:00:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x4f13ea…
05-01 13:59:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf06ce7…
05-01 13:12:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x85cff3…
05-01 12:24:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	319	77¢	$246	0xbb037b…
05-01 06:00:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	650	84¢	$546	0x5310b8…
04-29 19:27:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x470a9f…
04-29 19:27:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	71	63¢	$45	0x37229c…
04-29 03:27:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x0ffea6…
04-29 03:27:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	BUY	350	75¢	$262	0x20500e…
04-29 02:27:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	273	99¢	$270	0x85acbe…
04-24 21:06:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	46	83¢	$38	0x24fd78…
04-24 20:50:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x89e8c5…
04-24 20:47:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	293	83¢	$244	0xd2cbbd…
04-24 20:07:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$5	0x6ccc00…
04-24 20:07:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x57871e…
04-24 20:06:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0xc41c84…
04-24 20:06:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	43	84¢	$36	0x0b8ed0…
04-24 20:05:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	86	84¢	$72	0x9e711b…
04-24 19:52:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	230	84¢	$194	0xf754b6…
04-24 15:29:20	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe71d06…
04-24 13:56:06	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	127	72¢	$91	0x450e80…
04-24 07:57:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	291	94¢	$274	0x41e64c…
04-22 18:42:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	291	80¢	$233	0x62332f…
04-22 08:25:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	275	83¢	$228	0x15997d…
04-22 08:23:54	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	491	94¢	$462	0x4dcc4b…
04-20 14:29:32	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x592e9d…
04-20 14:21:10	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	89	85¢	$76	0xbb2dfe…
04-20 14:21:10	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x342f27…
04-20 14:08:14	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	42	85¢	$35	0x0b223d…
04-20 13:43:38	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	88	85¢	$75	0xfafac1…
04-20 10:19:08	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xfb81df…
04-20 10:18:18	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xeb098c…
04-20 07:35:48	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	191	97¢	$184	0x1304be…
04-20 07:19:30	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x52cfab…
04-20 07:19:28	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x2ff424…
04-20 07:05:30	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc9179a…
04-19 23:37:54	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x649635…
04-19 22:51:02	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x9d9163…
04-19 22:11:20	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x1df3bb…
04-19 21:57:24	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0xe7b4d8…
04-19 20:46:04	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x20a121…
04-19 19:48:08	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	62	20¢	$12	0x1b794c…
04-19 19:47:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	66	20¢	$13	0x20d6c4…
04-19 16:02:40	Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	283	94¢	$266	0xeebfbc…
04-19 16:02:20	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	SELL	388	68¢	$266	0xd057a0…
04-18 20:54:54	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xb33ba3…
04-18 20:41:18	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	17	79¢	$14	0xe4bd60…
04-16 08:29:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	224	7¢	$16	0xef4f89…
04-16 08:28:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	129	18¢	$23	0x8aae17…
04-14 18:30:38	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	388	69¢	$268	0x530c21…
04-14 06:00:59	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	234	81¢	$189	0x07e355…
04-13 16:04:15	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	140	74¢	$104	0xc67115…
04-13 16:03:59	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	448	23¢	$103	0x430dba…
04-13 06:41:03	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	238	73¢	$174	0x08754e…
04-13 06:25:33	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	672	26¢	$174	0x1768a3…
04-13 05:24:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	705	99¢	$697	0x5f8f4e…
04-08 16:31:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	705	66¢	$465	0x1566a9…
04-08 16:31:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	SELL	479	97¢	$465	0x0b2ce3…
04-03 21:31:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	479	90¢	$431	0x6d4323…
04-03 18:30:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	263	82¢	$216	0xebaea8…
04-03 18:22:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	263	82¢	$216	0x05e9d0…
04-01 23:17:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	139	50¢	$70	0x0278c5…
04-01 22:30:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	133	53¢	$70	0x288fb3…
04-01 16:50:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	254	55¢	$140	0x93beb5…
02-14 15:44:57	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x6ee255…
02-14 15:43:59	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	560	2¢	$9	0x29369c…
02-12 00:16:47	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	560	84¢	$470	0x89c752…
02-12 00:15:27	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	511	92¢	$470	0xd4c9b3…
02-09 02:55:47	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	511	78¢	$400	0xbb3ab2…
02-08 18:54:41	nothing ever happens khamenei	Yes	SELL	470	85¢	$400	0x4395c5…
02-06 09:18:33	us strikes iran by february 8 2026	Yes	BUY	711	7¢	$50	0xe2f44a…
02-06 08:43:51	nothing ever happens khamenei	Yes	SELL	60	83¢	$50	0x329550…
01-31 17:58:02	nothing ever happens khamenei	Yes	BUY	530	68¢	$360	0xc257e5…
01-30 22:25:10	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	397	64¢	$254	0x24b0ec…
01-30 22:21:20	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	166	64¢	$106	0x56c250…
01-30 21:06:38	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	563	63¢	$355	0xf88be1…
01-30 18:54:02	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	SELL	377	94¢	$355	0xd9367a…
01-23 08:20:58	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	64	77¢	$49	0x30d27f…
01-23 08:20:26	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	SELL	72	69¢	$49	0x77f10e…
01-23 08:19:18	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	153	77¢	$118	0x5fbce8…
01-23 08:18:54	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	No	SELL	121	98¢	$118	0xe41daf…
01-18 05:58:08	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	72	69¢	$49	0xd0d498…
01-17 05:17:48	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0xfd005b…
01-17 05:13:20	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	No	BUY	47	87¢	$41	0x1001b4…
01-17 05:05:44	us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x15e087…
01-16 10:03:26	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	No	BUY	58	82¢	$48	0x2da867…