Agonizing-Pressure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$305

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 05-22 13:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

67% 100% +$30

Crypto

25% 31% $-325

Politics

7% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-10

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2.7K	1,581	1,581	+0	open	—	04-23 17:18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$1.9K	1,173	1,173	+0	open	—	04-18 16:03
btc updown 5m 1776974700	3	$1.5K	1,625	0	+1,625	open	—	04-23 20:09
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	3	$354	838	838	+0	open	—	03-09 20:36
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	2	$313	633	633	+0	open	—	05-05 16:26
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	4	$302	1,630	1,576	+54	open	—	03-09 02:03
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	2	$227	127	127	+0	G2 Esports	+$27	05-08 18:43
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	10	$195	9,536	0	+9,536	open	—	05-22 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$160	341	0	+341	Up	$-160	05-08 20:00
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$141	100	100	+0	open	—	05-05 16:43
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	1	$136	206	0	+206	open	—	03-09 20:47
Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	2	$103	2,124	2,124	+0	No	+$3	05-05 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$80	148	0	+148	Up	$-80	05-08 19:55
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$66	3,310	0	+3,310	open	—	02-26 16:25
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$60	1,478	0	+1,478	open	—	04-27 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$55	74	74	+0	Down	+$15	05-08 19:24
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	1	$54	123	0	+123	open	—	03-10 23:51
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$50	601	0	+601	open	—	04-24 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$44	251	43	+208	Up	$-16	05-08 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$41	53	53	+0	Up	+$21	05-08 19:19
uef bih ita 2026 03 31 ita	1	$40	308	0	+308	open	—	03-31 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$40	89	0	+89	Up	$-40	05-08 19:50
uef bih ita 2026 03 31 bih	1	$40	214	0	+214	open	—	03-31 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$40	189	0	+189	Down	$-40	05-08 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$33	29	29	+0	Down	+$13	05-08 19:28
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	3	$33	266	522	-256	open	—	05-19 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	3	$31	105	0	+105	Up	$-31	05-08 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$30	0	37	-37	Down	$-7	05-08 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$20	64	0	+64	Up	+$44	05-08 18:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 13:33:10	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x325db1…
05-19 20:55:07	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	522	1¢	$3	0x9b18c1…
05-19 00:38:52	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xf9b8bf…
05-18 10:32:48	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,053	2¢	$20	0x8049eb…
05-18 00:21:35	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0x6c06ca…
05-18 00:21:09	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	625	2¢	$10	0x6ede5a…
05-17 19:19:07	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0xbb7fea…
05-17 19:14:33	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0xbf8a05…
05-17 12:35:41	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x61e496…
05-17 12:34:10	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	417	2¢	$10	0x2226bf…
05-17 12:33:06	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	417	2¢	$10	0x408fd0…
05-15 23:24:49	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	222	4¢	$10	0xd99ac9…
05-13 15:25:15	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xc58d83…
05-08 20:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	167	48¢	$80	0xf294c8…
05-08 20:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	174	46¢	$80	0x94a9b2…
05-08 19:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	148	54¢	$80	0x0e3f16…
05-08 19:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x5821b0…
05-08 19:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x680ddd…
05-08 19:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x21c27a…
05-08 19:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x7a8f08…
05-08 19:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	29	79¢	$23	0x7db209…
05-08 19:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x5af9e7…
05-08 19:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	45	47¢	$21	0x6d9709…
05-08 19:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x609d0d…
05-08 19:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	29	50¢	$14	0xfd4fd3…
05-08 19:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x74437a…
05-08 19:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	53	59¢	$31	0x21f682…
05-08 19:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xfdfa2b…
05-08 19:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	37	82¢	$30	0x2076ae…
05-08 19:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1c9d43…
05-08 19:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xb88eb5…
05-08 19:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xf0d830…
05-08 19:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xa53bfa…
05-08 19:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x5eb908…
05-08 19:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xe15c14…
05-08 19:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x72405f…
05-08 18:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	43	32¢	$14	0xf75bb6…
05-08 18:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x3fbe3e…
05-08 18:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	173	11¢	$20	0x5a2e69…
05-08 18:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x3c578e…
05-08 18:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb789fe…
05-08 18:43:25	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	G2 Esports	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x5c47eb…
05-08 14:32:07	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	G2 Esports	BUY	127	78¢	$100	0xd1166e…
05-08 02:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x979d06…
05-08 02:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xbb5b6f…
05-07 00:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x04b4cc…
05-07 00:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6c7478…
05-07 00:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb5f0e2…
05-07 00:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xd825ad…
05-07 00:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x8f7da0…
05-06 20:39:24	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0x76e132…
05-05 16:43:54	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x1dc59f…
05-05 16:41:24	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x881198…
05-05 16:27:02	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,124	2¢	$53	0xeb954f…
05-05 16:26:48	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	633	34¢	$213	0x16b032…
05-04 21:09:22	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	633	16¢	$100	0xd5dae5…
05-04 21:06:24	Gemini 3.2 released by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,124	2¢	$50	0xe1ddb6…
04-27 18:28:46	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	937	1¢	$10	0xce249c…
04-25 23:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x3fb278…
04-25 21:16:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	542	9¢	$50	0x3717d2…
04-25 01:09:16	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	716	3¢	$20	0xc7dccc…
04-24 00:08:48	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	601	8¢	$50	0x87de57…
04-23 20:09:54	btc updown 5m 1776974700	Up	BUY	1,464	97¢	$1,420	0x5757cf…
04-23 20:09:06	btc updown 5m 1776974700	Up	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0xfe92b5…
04-23 20:07:22	btc updown 5m 1776974700	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2b1297…
04-23 17:18:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,581	97¢	$1,530	0x64c1f4…
04-18 16:03:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,581	73¢	$1,154	0xbfeece…
04-18 16:03:20	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	1,173	98¢	$1,154	0xd32b71…
04-07 14:22:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	1,173	66¢	$774	0xd798f1…
03-31 20:32:19	uef bih ita 2026 03 31 bih	Yes	BUY	214	19¢	$40	0x7e1352…
03-31 20:31:33	uef bih ita 2026 03 31 ita	Yes	BUY	308	13¢	$40	0x95fc9c…
03-10 23:51:49	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	123	44¢	$54	0x27497e…
03-09 20:47:47	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	BUY	206	66¢	$136	0xce1f03…
03-09 20:36:49	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	838	16¢	$136	0xc03863…
03-09 02:03:25	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0xfd07c0…
03-09 02:02:47	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	1,576	3¢	$52	0x47fbf0…
03-09 01:20:03	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	1,155	13¢	$148	0xe1d7b3…
03-09 01:11:59	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	422	12¢	$50	0x811e89…
03-09 01:08:33	btc updown 5m 1773018300	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x6587bb…
03-09 01:07:03	btc updown 5m 1773018300	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x8d080a…
03-07 18:49:29	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	90	20¢	$18	0xd069a3…
03-04 14:52:55	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	748	27¢	$200	0x7c5a61…
02-26 16:25:58	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,310	2¢	$66	0x3cb2b5…