Polished-Winter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$26.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$672

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 05-20 09:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-1

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp above 1pt7 on march 5	1	$2.2K	2,187	0	+2,187	open	—	03-05 01:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 4	1	$2.2K	2,183	0	+2,183	open	—	03-04 01:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	1	$2.2K	2,176	0	+2,176	open	—	03-03 07:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	1	$2.2K	2,172	0	+2,172	open	—	03-02 01:26
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on march 1	1	$2.2K	2,165	0	+2,165	open	—	03-01 07:44
ethereum above 2200 on february 28	1	$2.2K	2,161	0	+2,161	open	—	02-28 01:22
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	1	$2.1K	2,154	0	+2,154	open	—	02-27 01:27
ethereum above 2200 on february 25	1	$2.1K	2,141	0	+2,141	open	—	02-25 00:48
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 24	1	$2.1K	2,135	0	+2,135	open	—	02-24 12:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?	1	$1.8K	1,840	0	+1,840	No	+$4	05-12 22:50
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	1	$1.8K	1,836	0	+1,836	No	+$4	05-12 11:53
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 11?	1	$1.8K	1,833	0	+1,833	No	+$4	05-12 02:29
Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10?	1	$1.8K	1,826	0	+1,826	No	+$4	05-11 02:12
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-30 08:03
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	05-20 09:00
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 10:02
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-24 13:55
bitcoin above 60k on february 19	1	$8	1,146	0	+1,146	open	—	02-19 00:14
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	1	$8	1,134	0	+1,134	open	—	02-11 01:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 20	2	$7	2,296	0	+2,296	open	—	02-20 00:16
Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-14 03:07
will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on march 14	1	$4	2,174	0	+2,174	open	—	03-14 02:01
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	1	$4	2,089	0	+2,089	No	$-4	05-06 02:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6?	1	$4	2,083	0	+2,083	No	$-4	05-07 02:23
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?	1	$4	2,080	0	+2,080	open	—	05-03 01:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 8?	1	$4	1,839	0	+1,839	No	$-4	05-09 01:51
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	1	$4	1,838	0	+1,838	No	$-4	05-14 01:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on february 19	1	$3	1,139	0	+1,139	open	—	02-19 00:16
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on february 5	2	$2	1,102	0	+1,102	open	—	02-05 03:16
xrp above 1pt9 on february 14	1	$2	1,084	0	+1,084	open	—	02-14 13:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 09:00:21	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0xe460e9…
05-14 01:44:05	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,838	0¢	$4	0x3f80f2…
05-12 22:50:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	1,840	100¢	$1,836	0x8123e5…
05-12 11:53:29	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	No	BUY	1,836	100¢	$1,832	0x8d8d2d…
05-12 02:29:54	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	1,833	100¢	$1,829	0xfa562a…
05-11 02:12:25	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10?	No	BUY	1,826	100¢	$1,822	0x3bbfdb…
05-09 01:51:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,839	0¢	$4	0x7e4d96…
05-07 02:23:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2,083	0¢	$4	0xe8e5ef…
05-06 02:23:14	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2,089	0¢	$4	0x99390d…
05-03 01:47:12	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	2,080	0¢	$4	0x11b352…
04-14 03:07:07	Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x218edc…
03-30 08:03:00	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x72472f…
03-14 02:01:27	will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on march 14	Yes	BUY	2,174	0¢	$4	0xd7c0b7…
03-05 01:59:19	xrp above 1pt7 on march 5	No	BUY	2,187	100¢	$2,182	0x3c576f…
03-04 01:45:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 4	No	BUY	2,183	100¢	$2,176	0x93f11f…
03-03 07:26:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	No	BUY	2,176	100¢	$2,171	0x21d35b…
03-02 01:26:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	No	BUY	2,172	100¢	$2,165	0xa74c8f…
03-01 07:44:15	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on march 1	No	BUY	2,165	100¢	$2,161	0xc06e82…
02-28 01:22:59	ethereum above 2200 on february 28	No	BUY	2,161	100¢	$2,154	0xc84f68…
02-27 01:27:02	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	No	BUY	2,154	100¢	$2,145	0x636239…
02-25 00:48:08	ethereum above 2200 on february 25	No	BUY	2,141	100¢	$2,135	0xa6c1cf…
02-24 12:00:44	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 24	No	BUY	2,135	100¢	$2,128	0x047c57…
02-20 00:16:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 20	Yes	BUY	1,147	0¢	$3	0x8ebf3e…
02-20 00:15:34	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 20	Yes	BUY	1,150	0¢	$3	0x2bb8fa…
02-19 00:16:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on february 19	Yes	BUY	1,139	0¢	$3	0x40b0f0…
02-19 00:14:14	bitcoin above 60k on february 19	No	BUY	1,146	1¢	$8	0x1f114d…
02-14 13:51:33	xrp above 1pt9 on february 14	Yes	BUY	1,084	0¢	$2	0x25a50a…
02-11 01:12:59	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1,134	1¢	$8	0xdb0ab5…
02-05 03:16:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on february 5	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x100f44…
02-05 03:16:01	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on february 5	Yes	BUY	1,091	0¢	$2	0x733278…
02-02 12:07:02	will msft close below 390 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4f9a2a…
02-01 07:55:48	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on february 1	Yes	BUY	1,060	0¢	$1	0x1e5983…
01-31 11:01:30	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x73b66d…
01-29 11:49:38	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6eb6c0…
01-28 09:57:05	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfcf163…
01-27 10:02:01	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x546589…
01-26 10:57:29	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2b4bd6…
01-24 13:55:16	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeb7f8e…
01-23 13:15:36	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe23f57…
01-23 05:23:50	will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 23	Yes	BUY	1,054	0¢	$1	0xf28e5b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Skeletal-Casement 0xb1e6…6c43	33	$26.9K	36	05-20 09:00
Hungry-Wave 0x4a18…7e84	32	$26.7K	37	05-20 09:00
Quaint-Spree 0x3c96…0746	31	$25.0K	36	05-20 09:00
Shocking-Blueberry 0x0cca…2e13	31	$24.9K	36	05-20 09:00
Trustworthy-Sprout 0xa5ac…05aa	30	$24.9K	39	05-20 09:00
(anonymous) 0x0443…b7c3	28	$12.1K	31	05-20 09:00
Elegant-Friendship 0x5ed8…cd1c	26	$22.8K	36	05-20 09:00
Silver-Culture 0xc906…afcd	26	$22.8K	60	05-20 06:24