Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 11?
No won
Total volume
$8,243
$91,796 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-12 02:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $165 | $165 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $36 | $8.0K | $8.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $420 | $420 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $4 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| Median | 11 | $1 | $6.7K | $6.7K |
| Below median | 4 | $3 | $3 | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $28 | — | +$28 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Menacing-Banjo 0x44c3…800d | No | +2,068 | $2,064 | $2,064 | 1 | 05-12 02:42 |
| Late-Buckwheat 0x99ab…1da9 | No | +1,077 | $1,075 | $1,075 | 1 | 05-12 01:58 |
| Full-Generator 0xe3d6…ba1b | No | +1,077 | $1,075 | $1,075 | 1 | 05-12 02:23 |
| Complete-Seagull 0x6d39…f42b | No | +1,071 | $1,069 | $1,069 | 1 | 05-12 02:13 |
| Flat-Circuit 0x5c62…2dda | No | +1,003 | $999 | $999 | 2 | 05-11 23:31 |
| Clueless-Pie 0xda6b…a403 | Yes | +865 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-11 16:00 |
| Whispered-Customer 0xda64…2bcf | No | +503 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-11 23:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ceb…7b4e | Yes | +472 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-11 23:42 |
| Respectful-Evaluation 0x71c0…6d5b | No | +362 | $361 | $361 | 1 | 05-11 23:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xbdab…6c73 | No | +302 | $298 | $298 | 1 | 05-11 08:49 |
| Self-Reliant-Suppression 0xd40b…d5e4 | No | +276 | $275 | $275 | 1 | 05-11 23:42 |
| Diligent-Zither 0x615e…5295 | Yes | +273 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 21:41 |
| Black-And-White-Cloud 0xa639…a48f | No | +271 | $270 | $270 | 1 | 05-11 23:47 |
| Well-Lit-Drawer 0x5716…bbf6 | No | +150 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-12 00:58 |
| Sardonic-Lotion-Curve 0x30ea…3178 | Yes | +120 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 12:08 |
| Rural-Invoice 0x69bc…5fc6 | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:26 |
| Bony-Flag 0x8eeb…a4d1 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-12 02:43 |
| Kooky-Polarisation 0xd9ea…4b6e | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 23:30 |
| Ultimate-Asset 0x6c3b…757e | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 08:42 |
| Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 16:28 |
| Metallic-Guide 0x4058…35b5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 13:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 02:43:14 | Bony-Flag 0x8eeb…a4d1 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x72b9e1… |
| 05-12 02:42:48 | Menacing-Banjo 0x44c3…800d | No | BUY | 2,068 | 100¢ | $2,064 | 0x6d4a21… |
| 05-12 02:23:03 | Full-Generator 0xe3d6…ba1b | No | BUY | 1,077 | 100¢ | $1,075 | 0xa8a2c5… |
| 05-12 02:13:55 | Complete-Seagull 0x6d39…f42b | No | BUY | 1,071 | 100¢ | $1,069 | 0xf053b1… |
| 05-12 01:58:49 | Late-Buckwheat 0x99ab…1da9 | No | BUY | 1,077 | 100¢ | $1,075 | 0x89194b… |
| 05-12 00:58:10 | Well-Lit-Drawer 0x5716…bbf6 | No | BUY | 150 | 100¢ | $150 | 0x91e95d… |
| 05-12 00:13:05 | Dishonest-Vitro 0x0d9e…f53a | Yes | SELL | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x15f37c… |
| 05-11 23:47:32 | Respectful-Evaluation 0x71c0…6d5b | No | BUY | 362 | 100¢ | $361 | 0x46e92c… |
| 05-11 23:47:21 | Black-And-White-Cloud 0xa639…a48f | No | BUY | 271 | 100¢ | $270 | 0xb2e83b… |
| 05-11 23:42:22 | (anonymous) 0x1ceb…7b4e | Yes | BUY | 250 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x55c301… |
| 05-11 23:42:22 | Self-Reliant-Suppression 0xd40b…d5e4 | No | BUY | 276 | 100¢ | $275 | 0x8cd26e… |
| 05-11 23:39:10 | Whispered-Customer 0xda64…2bcf | No | BUY | 503 | 100¢ | $500 | 0xbc5e84… |
| 05-11 23:31:49 | (anonymous) 0x1ceb…7b4e | Yes | BUY | 222 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x2c3d5e… |
| 05-11 23:31:47 | Flat-Circuit 0x5c62…2dda | No | BUY | 501 | 100¢ | $499 | 0x2ccb9d… |
| 05-11 23:30:37 | Kooky-Polarisation 0xd9ea…4b6e | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x33a894… |
| 05-11 23:28:03 | Flat-Circuit 0x5c62…2dda | No | BUY | 502 | 100¢ | $500 | 0x4a297c… |
| 05-11 21:41:35 | Diligent-Zither 0x615e…5295 | Yes | BUY | 273 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x8bc503… |
| 05-11 16:31:38 | (anonymous) 0xca08…c267 | No | SELL | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x4125cb… |
| 05-11 16:28:03 | Warmhearted-Profit 0x813e…d482 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xe8a750… |
| 05-11 16:00:31 | Clueless-Pie 0xda6b…a403 | Yes | BUY | 865 | 3¢ | $25 | 0xf30be2… |
| 05-11 14:21:02 | Academic-Panel 0xa031…0f9c | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x5c470e… |
| 05-11 13:12:54 | Metallic-Guide 0x4058…35b5 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x685158… |
| 05-11 12:08:56 | Sardonic-Lotion-Curve 0x30ea…3178 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x9d8f1e… |
| 05-11 10:52:12 | (anonymous) 0x12ba…087c | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xb0782a… |
| 05-11 10:26:40 | Rural-Invoice 0x69bc…5fc6 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xfd388d… |
| 05-11 10:12:19 | (anonymous) 0x12ba…087c | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc750b3… |
| 05-11 08:49:59 | (anonymous) 0xbdab…6c73 | No | BUY | 302 | 99¢ | $298 | 0x467602… |
| 05-11 08:42:21 | Ultimate-Asset 0x6c3b…757e | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xdb3ea7… |