Shabby-Caution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$19.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$414

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-25 05:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% $-4

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?	1	$1.8K	1,835	0	+1,835	No	+$4	05-10 01:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 8?	1	$1.8K	1,825	0	+1,825	No	+$4	05-09 01:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	1	$1.8K	1,823	0	+1,823	No	+$4	05-08 02:19
xrp above 1pt8 on february 13	1	$1.1K	1,143	0	+1,143	open	—	02-13 01:12
xrp above 0pt9 on february 12	1	$1.1K	1,135	0	+1,135	open	—	02-12 01:57
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	1	$1.1K	1,134	0	+1,134	open	—	02-11 01:10
ethereum above 1700 on february 10	1	$1.1K	1,126	0	+1,126	open	—	02-10 02:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 9	1	$1.1K	1,119	0	+1,119	open	—	02-09 02:09
will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 8	1	$1.1K	1,115	0	+1,115	open	—	02-08 02:13
will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on february 7	1	$1.1K	1,105	0	+1,105	open	—	02-07 03:40
will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 6	1	$1.1K	1,098	0	+1,098	open	—	02-06 03:36
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on february 5	1	$1.1K	1,091	0	+1,091	open	—	02-05 03:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	1	$1.1K	1,089	0	+1,089	open	—	02-04 03:49
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	1	$1.1K	1,079	0	+1,079	open	—	02-03 07:38
will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on february 2	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	02-02 02:41
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on february 1	1	$1.1K	1,062	0	+1,062	open	—	02-01 08:04
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-30 07:38
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 10:41
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-24 19:47
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	1	$9	2,143	0	+2,143	open	—	02-27 01:29
will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 15	1	$8	1,122	0	+1,122	open	—	02-15 01:16
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	06-25 05:40
will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 7	6	$6	6,352	0	+6,352	open	—	01-07 07:07
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-20 08:25
nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-20 02:42
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$5	1,140	0	+1,140	open	—	02-18 00:43
ethereum above 1600 on march 12	1	$4	2,149	0	+2,149	open	—	03-12 02:01
Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-14 02:33
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 7	1	$4	2,106	0	+2,106	open	—	03-07 01:54
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on May 4?	1	$4	2,080	0	+2,080	No	$-4	05-05 01:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 05:40:19	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb8deb7…
06-20 02:42:25	nflx above 180 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0ecede…
06-12 09:05:57	amzn above 275 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x13e184…
05-20 08:25:47	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf7d7ee…
05-14 22:33:40	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,821	0¢	$4	0x027f8f…
05-12 23:19:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,837	0¢	$4	0xb69eb8…
05-12 02:27:48	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,834	0¢	$4	0xd936c4…
05-11 01:50:27	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,828	0¢	$4	0xa8bddd…
05-10 01:53:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	1,835	100¢	$1,831	0xa12cd5…
05-09 01:45:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,825	100¢	$1,821	0xfda612…
05-08 02:19:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	1,823	100¢	$1,819	0x06809c…
05-05 01:38:20	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2,080	0¢	$4	0xd15823…
05-02 01:24:52	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	2,064	0¢	$4	0x95054e…
04-14 02:33:11	Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x661a4e…
03-30 07:38:48	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x867aad…
03-12 02:01:27	ethereum above 1600 on march 12	No	BUY	2,149	0¢	$4	0xf01a2f…
03-07 01:54:25	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 7	Yes	BUY	2,106	0¢	$4	0x9cb67f…
02-27 01:29:40	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	Yes	BUY	2,143	0¢	$9	0x3af806…
02-18 00:43:03	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	No	BUY	1,140	0¢	$5	0x06950e…
02-15 01:16:31	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 15	Yes	BUY	1,122	1¢	$8	0x9a27f7…
02-13 01:12:55	xrp above 1pt8 on february 13	No	BUY	1,143	100¢	$1,139	0xbaf5b9…
02-12 01:57:01	xrp above 0pt9 on february 12	Yes	BUY	1,135	100¢	$1,131	0x493ac3…
02-11 01:10:41	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	No	BUY	1,134	99¢	$1,126	0xce2d56…
02-10 02:20:45	ethereum above 1700 on february 10	Yes	BUY	1,126	99¢	$1,119	0x260fba…
02-09 02:09:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 9	No	BUY	1,119	100¢	$1,115	0xeced25…
02-08 02:13:53	will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 8	No	BUY	1,115	99¢	$1,106	0x1d64da…
02-07 03:40:13	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on february 7	No	BUY	1,105	99¢	$1,097	0x11473f…
02-06 03:36:47	will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 6	No	BUY	1,098	99¢	$1,091	0xb37fda…
02-05 03:14:33	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on february 5	No	BUY	1,091	100¢	$1,089	0x9cfda1…
02-04 03:49:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	No	BUY	1,089	99¢	$1,079	0x802276…
02-03 07:38:14	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	No	BUY	1,079	99¢	$1,067	0x2bf50c…
02-02 02:41:38	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on february 2	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,067	0x551a7d…
02-01 08:04:42	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on february 1	No	BUY	1,062	100¢	$1,060	0x6cf11b…
01-31 09:26:46	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4480f5…
01-29 11:15:28	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5a8d70…
01-28 10:49:07	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d6136…
01-28 02:51:53	ethereum above 2700 on january 28	No	BUY	1,071	0¢	$1	0x84bf44…
01-27 10:41:31	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe60b7b…
01-26 11:11:35	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6077c5…
01-24 19:47:06	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe92ef2…
01-23 12:02:48	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x36e483…
01-23 06:05:50	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 23	Yes	BUY	1,061	0¢	$1	0xaea475…
01-07 07:07:59	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 7	Yes	BUY	1,057	0¢	$1	0x3273ea…
01-07 07:06:45	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 7	Yes	BUY	1,057	0¢	$1	0x0cbc9b…
01-07 07:05:33	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 7	Yes	BUY	1,058	0¢	$1	0x348176…
01-07 07:04:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 7	Yes	BUY	1,057	0¢	$1	0x5c9838…
01-07 07:02:25	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 7	Yes	BUY	1,058	0¢	$1	0xe3164f…
01-07 07:00:35	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 7	Yes	BUY	1,065	0¢	$1	0x732aa0…