Skeletal-Casement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$26.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$656

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 05-20 09:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-1

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp above 1pt7 on march 5	1	$2.2K	2,190	0	+2,190	open	—	03-05 02:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 4	1	$2.2K	2,185	0	+2,185	open	—	03-04 01:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	1	$2.2K	2,179	0	+2,179	open	—	03-03 07:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	1	$2.2K	2,174	0	+2,174	open	—	03-02 01:24
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on march 1	1	$2.2K	2,168	0	+2,168	open	—	03-01 07:34
ethereum above 2200 on february 28	1	$2.2K	2,163	0	+2,163	open	—	02-28 01:24
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	1	$2.1K	2,156	0	+2,156	open	—	02-27 01:28
ethereum above 2200 on february 25	1	$2.1K	2,144	0	+2,144	open	—	02-25 00:49
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 24	1	$2.1K	2,137	0	+2,137	open	—	02-24 11:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?	1	$1.8K	1,841	0	+1,841	No	+$4	05-12 22:49
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	1	$1.8K	1,836	0	+1,836	No	+$4	05-12 11:52
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 11?	1	$1.8K	1,834	0	+1,834	No	+$4	05-12 02:27
Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10?	1	$1.8K	1,828	0	+1,828	No	+$4	05-11 01:50
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	03-30 08:03
bitcoin above 60k on february 19	2	$16	2,284	0	+2,284	open	—	02-19 00:12
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	05-20 09:00
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 10:01
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-24 13:55
bitcoin above 60k on february 20	2	$10	2,318	0	+2,318	open	—	02-20 00:11
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	1	$8	1,134	0	+1,134	open	—	02-11 01:14
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on february 20	2	$5	1,166	0	+1,166	open	—	02-20 00:13
Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-14 03:07
will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on march 14	1	$4	2,188	0	+2,188	open	—	03-14 01:59
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	1	$4	2,110	0	+2,110	No	$-4	05-06 02:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6?	1	$4	2,078	0	+2,078	No	$-4	05-07 02:24
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?	1	$4	2,073	0	+2,073	open	—	05-03 01:47
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	1	$4	1,840	0	+1,840	No	$-4	05-14 01:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 8?	1	$4	1,803	0	+1,803	No	$-4	05-09 01:54
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on february 5	1	$2	1,092	0	+1,092	open	—	02-05 03:17
xrp above 1pt9 on february 14	1	$2	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	02-14 13:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 09:00:22	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xfa9a20…
05-14 01:44:59	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,840	0¢	$4	0x889806…
05-12 22:49:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	1,841	100¢	$1,837	0x343d45…
05-12 11:52:39	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	No	BUY	1,836	100¢	$1,832	0x26c50f…
05-12 02:27:48	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	1,834	100¢	$1,830	0xd936c4…
05-11 01:50:27	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10?	No	BUY	1,828	100¢	$1,824	0xa8bddd…
05-09 01:54:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,803	0¢	$4	0x5ed2bb…
05-07 02:24:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2,078	0¢	$4	0x93e8e0…
05-06 02:24:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2,110	0¢	$4	0x283865…
05-03 01:47:58	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	2,073	0¢	$4	0x833acf…
04-14 03:07:07	Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce568c…
03-30 08:03:00	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x52207b…
03-14 01:59:33	will the price of xrp be less than 0pt90 on march 14	Yes	BUY	2,188	0¢	$4	0x0269ef…
03-05 02:00:27	xrp above 1pt7 on march 5	No	BUY	2,190	100¢	$2,185	0x13e4e7…
03-04 01:53:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 4	No	BUY	2,185	100¢	$2,178	0x54cfeb…
03-03 07:27:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	No	BUY	2,179	100¢	$2,174	0xe710bb…
03-02 01:24:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	No	BUY	2,174	100¢	$2,168	0x0282e5…
03-01 07:34:55	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on march 1	No	BUY	2,168	100¢	$2,163	0x9a30f4…
02-28 01:24:07	ethereum above 2200 on february 28	No	BUY	2,163	100¢	$2,157	0x8c94fe…
02-27 01:28:24	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on february 27	No	BUY	2,156	100¢	$2,147	0xccceb5…
02-25 00:49:44	ethereum above 2200 on february 25	No	BUY	2,144	100¢	$2,137	0xe0b650…
02-24 11:59:22	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 24	No	BUY	2,137	100¢	$2,131	0xe8c8ca…
02-20 00:13:16	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on february 20	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xb06842…
02-20 00:13:16	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on february 20	Yes	BUY	1,106	0¢	$4	0x162417…
02-20 00:11:34	bitcoin above 60k on february 20	No	BUY	1,147	0¢	$3	0xd46156…
02-20 00:08:34	bitcoin above 60k on february 20	No	BUY	1,171	1¢	$7	0xab0d07…
02-19 00:12:48	bitcoin above 60k on february 19	No	BUY	1,140	1¢	$8	0x906a47…
02-19 00:11:20	bitcoin above 60k on february 19	No	BUY	1,144	1¢	$8	0xd72256…
02-14 13:52:45	xrp above 1pt9 on february 14	Yes	BUY	1,068	0¢	$2	0xade548…
02-11 01:14:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 11	Yes	BUY	1,134	1¢	$8	0x6435cb…
02-05 03:17:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on february 5	Yes	BUY	1,092	0¢	$2	0x4a33f4…
02-02 12:06:58	will msft close below 390 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x51ffee…
02-01 07:59:00	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on february 1	Yes	BUY	1,060	0¢	$1	0x574865…
01-31 11:01:32	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x64211c…
01-29 11:49:38	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x57a83e…
01-28 09:57:03	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x954bb5…
01-27 10:01:59	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x53d8e9…
01-26 10:53:45	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcebb2e…
01-24 13:55:16	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeb7f8e…
01-23 13:15:38	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x84932c…
01-23 05:26:28	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 23	Yes	BUY	1,054	0¢	$1	0xff63dd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hungry-Wave 0x4a18…7e84	34	$26.8K	40	05-20 09:00
Polished-Winter 0x2a48…9ba8	33	$26.9K	36	05-20 09:00
Quaint-Spree 0x3c96…0746	33	$25.0K	41	05-20 09:00
Trustworthy-Sprout 0xa5ac…05aa	30	$25.0K	40	05-20 09:00
(anonymous) 0x0443…b7c3	30	$12.1K	34	05-20 09:00
Shocking-Blueberry 0x0cca…2e13	29	$24.9K	32	05-20 09:00
Elegant-Friendship 0x5ed8…cd1c	27	$22.8K	38	05-20 09:00
Silver-Culture 0xc906…afcd	26	$22.8K	61	05-20 06:24