Fake-Complex — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$256

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-09 07:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

39% — —

Sports

34% 50% +$3

Other

25% 100% +$1

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.3K	1,667	1,667	+0	open	—	04-23 12:41
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.3K	1,646	1,646	+0	open	—	04-27 12:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$3.2K	1,606	1,606	+0	open	—	04-30 01:12
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$1.6K	1,613	0	+1,613	open	—	04-27 12:32
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$1.5K	1,513	0	+1,513	open	—	04-30 01:13
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	2	$203	109	109	+0	open	—	04-10 01:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$162	184	0	+184	open	—	05-28 01:21
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	1	$127	0	129	-129	open	—	05-28 01:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$120	143	0	+143	open	—	06-09 07:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$120	126	0	+126	open	—	06-09 07:26
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	06-02 07:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	04-30 01:13
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$62	66	0	+66	open	—	01-12 05:39
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$54	38	38	+0	open	—	04-30 00:35
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	04-08 02:29
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$44	27	27	+0	open	—	04-08 02:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	1	$35	38	0	+38	open	—	04-30 00:42
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	2	$33	38	38	+0	open	—	04-27 12:31
nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy connor mcdavid winner	1	$32	35	0	+35	open	—	04-10 01:49
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	2	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	05-15 02:20
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	1	$28	34	0	+34	open	—	01-06 05:49
will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in january	1	$26	28	0	+28	open	—	01-22 05:40
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$24	19	19	+0	open	—	05-15 02:19
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$24	26	0	+26	open	—	04-27 12:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	1	$24	27	0	+27	open	—	05-15 02:23
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	1	$23	26	0	+26	open	—	05-15 02:21
us x iran meeting by february 21 2026	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	02-19 02:50
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$23	0	23	-23	open	—	02-09 03:24
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-02 02:26
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	03-10 08:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 07:31:58	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x225b7f…
06-09 07:26:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	126	95¢	$120	0x8b1a9a…
06-09 07:25:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	143	84¢	$120	0xd36179…
06-09 07:25:40	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0x114c0b…
06-02 07:39:38	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x4394c6…
05-28 01:21:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	184	88¢	$162	0x9c5b4f…
05-28 01:20:51	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	99¢	$127	0xe20ca9…
05-15 02:23:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0xc16465…
05-15 02:21:42	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?	No	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0x597bd9…
05-15 02:20:00	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0xf531c0…
05-15 02:19:50	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0xde6ff2…
05-10 02:03:51	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x62e6d0…
05-03 04:28:08	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x91a438…
05-03 04:27:34	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	16	71¢	$11	0xdf581c…
04-30 01:13:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x687ae1…
04-30 01:13:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	1,513	99¢	$1,502	0x9d778a…
04-30 01:12:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,606	99¢	$1,598	0x991940…
04-30 00:42:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x7f9c92…
04-30 00:36:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,606	100¢	$1,600	0xaffe38…
04-30 00:35:54	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x43de25…
04-27 12:33:42	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	94¢	$24	0x61e28f…
04-27 12:32:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	38	42¢	$16	0x1133a6…
04-27 12:32:44	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,613	100¢	$1,605	0xff4d08…
04-27 12:32:18	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,646	100¢	$1,641	0xfde6de…
04-27 12:32:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0x3ba94e…
04-27 12:31:50	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0x422068…
04-23 12:43:34	Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xb9dcab…
04-23 12:43:02	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,646	100¢	$1,641	0xd54bd8…
04-23 12:41:52	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,667	100¢	$1,661	0x0c6af1…
04-21 01:40:22	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0xd32ddf…
04-21 01:40:06	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,667	100¢	$1,659	0xa497ec…
04-18 06:22:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x18696f…
04-10 01:49:35	will tisza win at least 90 seats	Yes	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x777039…
04-10 01:49:17	nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy connor mcdavid winner	Yes	BUY	35	90¢	$32	0x0f9621…
04-10 01:48:27	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	109	94¢	$102	0x5dbdb2…
04-08 02:30:09	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	109	93¢	$101	0x1c43b2…
04-08 02:29:59	military action against iran ends by april 30 2026 239	Yes	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x871271…
04-08 02:29:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	27	60¢	$17	0x45d2d9…
04-08 02:29:25	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0xfe7772…
04-02 08:06:33	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x813875…
04-02 08:06:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x13d815…
03-26 02:19:23	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x78a768…
03-10 08:13:49	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	19	91¢	$18	0xc66d0e…
03-10 08:13:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xad70df…
03-05 01:56:53	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x66a449…
03-02 02:26:25	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	BUY	22	97¢	$22	0xaf396f…
03-02 02:26:05	highest temperature in seoul on march 2 2026 6c	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf09e3e…
02-19 02:50:38	us x iran meeting by february 21 2026	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0xa5ba3b…
02-19 02:49:52	will the united states win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x2b8079…
02-19 02:49:26	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x846640…
02-09 03:26:49	will the oklahoma city thunder finish as the 1 seed in the 20252026 nba western conference	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x18112e…
02-09 03:24:41	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xbab976…
02-03 11:59:14	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x0228c9…
01-22 05:40:28	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in january	Yes	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0xd30c6b…
01-12 05:39:50	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xd79e44…
01-06 05:49:11	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	Yes	BUY	34	82¢	$28	0x7c0b88…
01-03 06:47:01	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0xf3eb99…