Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
10
lifetime
Volume
$91
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$87
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-11 15:28
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
76%
Politics
14%
Other
10%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? Yes -103 $-69 67¢ $-69 $-0 05-11 15:17
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week? Yes +12 $5 39¢ $5 $-0 05-11 15:27
Will Trump say "North Korea" this week? Yes +9 $4 51¢ $5 +$1 05-11 15:27
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? No +6 $3 55¢ $3 +$0 05-11 15:22
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026? No +7 $3 20¢ $1 $-2 05-11 15:28
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes +7 $3 14¢ $1 $-2 05-11 15:28
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-0 05-11 15:23
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in May? Yes +16 $1 $1 $-0 05-11 15:23
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May? Yes +2 $1 44¢ $1 $-0 05-11 15:23
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in May? Yes +54 $1 $1 $-0 05-11 15:24