Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13.4K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved

Trades

446

lifetime

Volume

$168.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$378

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 08-05 21:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

65% 47% $-14,669

Other

34% 56% +$1,244

Tech

1% 100% +$18

Crypto

0% 25% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	44	$23.3K	11,503	12,289	-786	No	+$476	03-01 06:26
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	91	$19.5K	19,844	0	+19,844	No	+$314	02-01 06:40
Trump out as President by April 30?	29	$19.1K	9,660	9,660	+0	No	+$164	04-25 07:08
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	9	$17.6K	11,189	11,189	+0	No	$-4,206	02-01 06:34
netanyahu out by march 31 854	21	$16.7K	8,500	8,500	+0	No	+$238	04-04 01:25
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	17	$15.2K	7,185	8,251	-1,066	No	+$171	03-18 18:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	22	$11.8K	11,947	12,050	-103	Yes	$-11,712	03-01 01:38
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$11.3K	11,274	252	+11,022	Yes	+$210	02-05 08:42
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	13	$6.5K	6,824	1	+6,823	Yes	+$326	02-16 20:49
trump out as president by march 31	7	$5.2K	3,353	2,000	+1,353	No	+$43	03-05 04:26
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$5.1K	2,700	2,700	+0	Yes	+$90	02-28 03:42
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	5	$3.5K	1,500	2,300	-800	No	+$304	03-01 06:26
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	3	$2.2K	1,138	1,138	+0	No	+$38	06-27 03:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2.1K	1,085	1,085	+0	No	+$22	06-18 05:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	7	$2.1K	1,053	1,053	+0	No	+$17	05-27 15:40
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	3	$2.0K	1,008	1,008	+0	No	+$13	04-30 00:25
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	11	$2.0K	800	1,200	-400	No	+$18	02-27 14:58
will the department of homeland security receive full year funding by february 28 2026	6	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$90	02-27 15:00
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	6	$533	347	200	+147	Yes	+$12	02-04 15:18
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	3	$157	167	0	+167	open	—	08-05 21:51
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	4	$137	2,508	2,450	+59	No	$-20	01-26 09:13
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	3	$115	61	61	+0	Yes	$-1	01-28 12:11
will ppso win the most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	6	$73	66	10	+56	Yes	+$2	01-30 16:27
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	56	$62	119	119	+0	Yes	$-7	01-30 16:29
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$31	13	19	-5	Yes	$-0	01-25 17:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$2	05-21 02:17
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	7	$22	107	107	+0	Yes	$-0	01-30 15:53
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$18	67	67	+0	Yes	$-0	01-30 15:53
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$16	8	8	+0	Yes	$-0	01-28 00:07
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	04-16 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 21:51:35	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	103	95¢	$98	0xeaffd8…
06-27 03:07:41	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	346	100¢	$345	0xcbec37…
06-27 02:15:32	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	792	100¢	$790	0xb81476…
06-18 16:39:49	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,138	96¢	$1,097	0x4b2eb2…
06-18 05:24:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1,085	100¢	$1,082	0x674beb…
06-10 06:02:55	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	52	92¢	$48	0x9c93ae…
05-31 18:12:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1,085	98¢	$1,060	0x151147…
05-29 02:21:11	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xbe9c7d…
05-27 15:40:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x948bc8…
05-27 15:39:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfbafbc…
05-27 15:37:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x458b4f…
05-27 15:36:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	761	100¢	$760	0x5528d9…
05-27 15:36:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x26d9ab…
05-27 15:36:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0x1db099…
05-21 02:17:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$29	0xed3ae3…
05-09 10:07:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1,053	98¢	$1,034	0xa9afac…
04-30 00:25:42	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,008	100¢	$1,006	0xcfcc18…
04-25 13:10:44	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$985	0x932a61…
04-25 07:08:08	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	9,660	100¢	$9,631	0x19e9af…
04-24 02:51:14	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x12bca2…
04-16 06:59:44	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xdb1551…
04-05 11:36:01	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	1,927	98¢	$1,889	0xf6d4af…
04-05 11:32:47	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7ea2b4…
04-05 11:32:29	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb442f5…
04-05 11:29:01	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	196	98¢	$192	0x4042ea…
04-05 11:28:37	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xc9319c…
04-05 11:26:47	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x82f4b2…
04-05 11:20:43	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xec43fd…
04-05 11:14:37	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1cec21…
04-05 11:08:37	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbaa541…
04-05 11:02:33	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x466061…
04-05 10:57:17	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5,000	98¢	$4,900	0x3b19b9…
04-05 10:57:13	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7ec90d…
04-05 10:56:31	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb3892c…
04-05 10:50:29	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa42096…
04-05 10:48:07	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x024c25…
04-05 10:44:27	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb14e36…
04-05 10:44:25	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0b882b…
04-05 10:40:09	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	995	98¢	$975	0x077f3a…
04-05 10:39:19	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x54e918…
04-05 10:38:25	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x902cb0…
04-05 09:37:57	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa42bdb…
04-05 09:37:47	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x38e8a2…
04-05 09:35:53	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	119	98¢	$116	0xee1b2b…
04-05 09:29:33	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xacc40c…
04-05 09:21:01	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	179	98¢	$175	0x893199…
04-05 09:20:51	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	482	98¢	$472	0xe9c261…
04-05 09:19:49	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc8c121…
04-05 09:17:27	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6a3d9e…
04-04 01:25:21	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	8,500	100¢	$8,492	0xa4541c…
03-19 01:59:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	6,130	97¢	$5,953	0x4a5c5a…
03-19 01:59:33	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	157	97¢	$152	0xe5767e…
03-19 01:58:47	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	175	97¢	$170	0xeb9160…
03-19 01:58:33	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	211	97¢	$205	0x53ccc5…
03-19 01:58:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	981	97¢	$952	0x4d58f3…
03-19 01:58:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xddf598…
03-19 01:58:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0xadce97…
03-19 01:58:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xa589d4…
03-19 01:58:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x992886…
03-19 01:58:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x880cf6…
03-19 01:58:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x7f6788…
03-19 01:58:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x75787b…
03-19 01:58:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x6979f0…
03-19 01:58:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x569eb7…
03-19 01:58:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x279dbc…
03-19 01:58:11	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x14c7bd…
03-19 01:57:23	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xc7db38…
03-19 01:57:23	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0xa7fd53…
03-19 01:57:23	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x80a65f…
03-19 01:57:23	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x152d9e…
03-18 18:11:55	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	SELL	8,251	100¢	$8,243	0x41bcbd…
03-10 07:15:43	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xefc09c…
03-05 04:26:13	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	1,353	98¢	$1,327	0xeddcc6…
03-01 07:13:33	will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	4,210	98¢	$4,109	0x34cd9d…
03-01 06:26:39	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x802e6f…
03-01 06:26:33	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	5,919	100¢	$5,914	0x9b6667…
03-01 06:26:09	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	SELL	2,292	100¢	$2,290	0xaa962c…
03-01 02:47:51	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xdb21fa…
03-01 01:38:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	12,050	0¢	$60	0x23cb5c…
03-01 01:29:03	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	260	100¢	$260	0xbd1ebe…
03-01 01:22:31	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	975	100¢	$974	0xe7b256…
02-28 04:20:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	84	99¢	$82	0xc0a41b…
02-28 04:19:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	643	99¢	$634	0x415eff…
02-28 04:18:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,143	99¢	$1,127	0x7d985c…
02-28 04:17:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x529a8d…
02-28 04:08:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	370	99¢	$365	0x46b185…
02-28 04:00:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	164	99¢	$162	0x59574a…
02-28 03:59:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	666	99¢	$657	0x2ec0a1…
02-28 03:46:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x54b304…
02-28 03:42:29	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2,700	97¢	$2,619	0x7b897f…
02-28 03:40:37	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	507	98¢	$498	0xb637d9…
02-28 03:33:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	297	99¢	$293	0x51cc30…
02-28 03:33:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x874d87…
02-28 03:33:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	617	99¢	$608	0x8bf1c4…
02-28 03:33:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	516	99¢	$509	0x5bb597…
02-28 03:30:19	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	1,493	98¢	$1,466	0x863c0e…
02-27 15:58:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	3,555	98¢	$3,502	0x210600…
02-27 15:57:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	154	98¢	$152	0x3cebc1…
02-27 15:56:33	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	3,668	100¢	$3,654	0x4c8584…
02-27 15:33:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x1ece27…