Realistic-Maiden — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$9.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-22 09:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 100% +$1

Politics

28% — —

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 58k on february 28	2	$227	114	114	+0	open	—	02-28 13:54
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	3	$221	126	117	+10	open	—	03-03 12:03
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$216	109	109	+0	open	—	02-24 04:39
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$212	107	107	+0	open	—	02-23 04:23
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	2	$208	106	106	+0	open	—	02-22 01:11
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$204	103	103	+0	open	—	02-21 05:44
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	2	$199	101	101	+0	open	—	02-20 04:00
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	2	$196	99	99	+0	open	—	02-18 01:49
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	2	$195	98	98	+0	open	—	02-17 01:04
bitcoin above 78k on april 13	2	$147	74	74	+0	open	—	04-13 12:40
bitcoin above 62k on april 8	2	$142	71	71	+0	open	—	04-08 14:18
bitcoin above 60k on april 6	2	$140	70	70	+0	open	—	04-06 09:13
bitcoin above 62k on april 4	2	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	04-04 15:39
bitcoin above 62k on april 1	2	$136	69	69	+0	open	—	04-01 14:19
bitcoin above 74k on march 31	2	$135	68	68	+0	open	—	03-31 13:15
bitcoin above 78k on march 27	2	$131	66	66	+0	open	—	03-27 01:28
bitcoin above 78k on march 26	2	$130	66	65	+0	open	—	03-26 01:42
bitcoin above 78k on march 25	2	$129	65	65	+0	open	—	03-25 01:12
bitcoin above 78k on march 20	2	$125	63	63	+0	open	—	03-20 02:53
bitcoin above 80k on march 19	2	$123	62	62	+0	open	—	03-19 02:59
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$122	62	62	+0	open	—	03-18 01:40
will bitcoin reach 78k march 9 15	2	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	03-15 12:20
bitcoin above 66k on march 14	2	$118	59	59	+0	open	—	03-14 13:37
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	2	$116	59	59	+0	open	—	03-13 07:21
will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on march 2	1	$115	115	0	+115	open	—	03-02 01:37
bitcoin above 76k on march 12	2	$115	58	58	+0	open	—	03-12 04:37
bitcoin above 76k on march 11	2	$114	58	58	+0	open	—	03-11 05:46
bitcoin above 72k on march 1	1	$114	115	0	+115	open	—	03-01 02:13
bitcoin above 72k on february 27	1	$112	113	0	+113	open	—	02-27 05:47
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$112	0	112	-112	open	—	02-27 05:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 09:24:04	bitcoin above 62k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0x164937…
06-17 01:52:56	bitcoin above 60k on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	82	99¢	$82	0x1359bc…
06-16 13:49:28	bitcoin above 68k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	82	99¢	$82	0xe2133f…
06-14 11:52:28	bitcoin above 66k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x59ebbf…
06-13 06:16:22	bitcoin above 66k on june 13 2026	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x9dbc7d…
06-11 14:48:40	bitcoin above 68k on june 12 2026	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x823527…
06-10 01:03:49	bitcoin above 56k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x47b654…
06-08 01:17:28	bitcoin above 56k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x500179…
06-01 14:46:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xb2d15f…
05-31 12:06:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x74246b…
05-29 13:38:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xed08ac…
05-27 14:06:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x4ce6be…
05-25 15:17:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x6f83ce…
05-23 15:36:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xb38bb3…
05-21 12:50:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x412849…
05-18 05:40:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x6c2f2c…
05-16 03:00:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x6730b1…
05-14 01:25:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x576807…
05-13 02:30:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x431f69…
05-10 15:30:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xd443fc…
05-07 15:19:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xdb7c38…
05-05 09:43:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x497ecb…
05-03 14:23:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xa1f6e4…
05-01 13:37:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xbb1dfe…
04-27 14:57:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x0032f1…
04-26 01:45:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x8033d2…
04-22 14:45:34	bitcoin above 72k on april 23	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xf622db…
04-19 12:42:42	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x5c7509…
04-17 14:17:54	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	75	100¢	$74	0x971168…
04-15 02:09:44	bitcoin above 68k on april 16	Yes	BUY	74	99¢	$74	0x2a7637…
04-13 12:40:29	bitcoin above 66k on april 14	Yes	BUY	74	99¢	$74	0x1407eb…
04-13 12:40:05	bitcoin above 78k on april 13	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x3af9f5…
04-12 03:30:03	bitcoin above 78k on april 13	No	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0xfc5017…
04-09 07:07:17	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	73	99¢	$73	0xa1a76d…
04-08 14:19:35	bitcoin above 70k on april 8	Yes	BUY	73	98¢	$71	0xbcd7d1…
04-08 14:18:45	bitcoin above 62k on april 8	Yes	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x28b2db…
04-07 14:57:23	bitcoin above 62k on april 8	Yes	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xd5aea3…
04-06 09:13:49	bitcoin above 66k on april 6	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x86fc14…
04-06 09:13:09	bitcoin above 60k on april 6	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xa24a99…
04-04 15:40:11	bitcoin above 60k on april 6	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x8cde47…
04-04 15:39:11	bitcoin above 62k on april 4	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xd2cc2c…
04-03 06:12:01	bitcoin above 62k on april 4	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0xb12a63…
04-01 14:21:03	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xc40c17…
04-01 14:19:03	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0xdfa3da…
03-31 13:16:13	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x0d86f5…
03-31 13:15:21	bitcoin above 74k on march 31	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xb72bb4…
03-30 06:36:40	bitcoin above 74k on march 31	No	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0xeba562…
03-29 05:15:28	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	67	99¢	$67	0xc62f71…
03-27 01:29:53	bitcoin above 62k on march 28	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x76fd62…
03-27 01:28:29	bitcoin above 78k on march 27	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x9df554…
03-26 01:43:55	bitcoin above 78k on march 27	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x777dfe…
03-26 01:42:05	bitcoin above 78k on march 26	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x72dfc2…
03-25 01:13:27	bitcoin above 78k on march 26	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0xcdc105…
03-25 01:12:53	bitcoin above 78k on march 25	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xaae423…
03-24 01:32:29	bitcoin above 78k on march 25	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xd1565a…
03-22 11:32:21	bitcoin above 76k on march 23	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x20aab9…
03-21 05:38:35	bitcoin above 74k on march 21	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x2795bf…
03-20 02:54:37	bitcoin above 74k on march 20	No	BUY	63	99¢	$63	0xbc0d8c…
03-20 02:53:25	bitcoin above 78k on march 20	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xabe4af…
03-19 02:59:59	bitcoin above 78k on march 20	No	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x5cf30a…
03-19 02:59:23	bitcoin above 80k on march 19	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x85823d…
03-18 01:41:17	bitcoin above 80k on march 19	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0x6b8875…
03-18 01:40:51	bitcoin above 70k on march 18	Yes	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0xb1a9f6…
03-17 01:14:37	bitcoin above 70k on march 18	Yes	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x4d6464…
03-16 08:06:15	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x882b76…
03-15 12:20:35	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 9 15	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x93a7c2…
03-15 12:20:19	will bitcoin reach 78k march 9 15	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x6423aa…
03-14 13:38:07	will bitcoin reach 78k march 9 15	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xcad8de…
03-14 13:37:09	bitcoin above 66k on march 14	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x7e18a0…
03-13 07:22:49	bitcoin above 66k on march 14	Yes	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x95921e…
03-13 07:21:35	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$58	0x3f9de9…
03-12 04:38:47	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x80e6b5…
03-12 04:37:55	bitcoin above 76k on march 12	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0x53ba53…
03-11 05:46:39	bitcoin above 76k on march 12	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x2cd5f8…
03-11 05:46:13	bitcoin above 76k on march 11	No	SELL	58	100¢	$57	0x1600ec…
03-10 05:39:45	bitcoin above 76k on march 11	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x79c7c7…
03-09 12:12:25	bitcoin above 64k on march 9	Yes	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x5930fa…
03-09 12:11:25	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x805438…
03-07 16:43:05	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x05b94a…
03-05 08:02:17	highest temperature in wellington on march 6 2026 16c	No	BUY	56	100¢	$55	0xa75b30…
03-04 01:14:05	bitcoin above 62k on march 4	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xf44443…
03-04 01:13:49	highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 12corbelow	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x3d1683…
03-03 12:03:05	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xef35af…
03-03 12:02:53	bitcoin above 62k on march 3	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x72cd5d…
03-03 11:23:13	bitcoin above 62k on march 3	Yes	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0xa3a178…
03-03 11:20:07	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	No	SELL	117	90¢	$105	0x5a2da9…
03-03 01:10:45	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	No	BUY	117	99¢	$115	0x0e9a25…
03-02 01:37:13	will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on march 2	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x667c81…
03-01 02:13:43	bitcoin above 72k on march 1	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x64e299…
02-28 13:54:41	bitcoin above 58k on february 28	Yes	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x063251…
02-28 09:32:45	bitcoin above 58k on february 28	Yes	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0x609080…
02-27 05:47:36	bitcoin above 72k on february 27	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0xe9d569…
02-27 05:44:16	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0xd63c3e…
02-25 13:55:38	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x431e9b…
02-24 05:57:30	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 400 419	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x085c05…
02-24 04:39:04	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x6164ab…
02-23 04:23:42	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	109	98¢	$107	0x2eae8e…
02-23 04:23:24	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x44ee07…
02-22 01:11:56	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0x5b8060…
02-22 01:11:40	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0x0863f9…