Dramatic-Inverse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$998

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 10-26 13:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% -$830

Crypto

49% 79% -$168

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$435	10,809	251	+10,558	No	-$209	06-02 13:31
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$200	2,059	0	+2,059	No	-$200	10-26 13:07
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$200	1,069	0	+1,069	No	-$200	10-26 13:18
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$148	1,433	0	+1,433	No	-$148	10-26 13:20
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$100	683	0	+683	No	-$100	10-26 13:30
Will Kylian Mbappé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$100	753	0	+753	No	-$100	10-26 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$100	111	0	+111	Up	+$11	05-04 16:21
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$50	2,809	0	+2,809	No	-$50	10-26 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$40	42	0	+42	Down	+$2	05-03 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$40	41	0	+41	Down	+$1	05-04 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$37	51	0	+51	Down	+$14	05-04 16:13
Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$32	525	0	+525	No	-$32	10-26 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$25	29	0	+29	Up	+$4	05-03 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$22	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	05-04 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$20	32	0	+32	Down	+$12	05-04 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$20	23	0	+23	Down	+$3	05-03 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	05-04 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Down	+$5	05-04 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	-$10	05-04 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-04 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	-$5	05-03 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 13:34:08	Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	525	6¢	$32	0x8c00b8…
10-26 13:30:57	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	753	13¢	$100	0x9f3a07…
10-26 13:30:45	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	683	15¢	$100	0xceb01c…
10-26 13:25:23	Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,809	2¢	$50	0x79a463…
10-26 13:20:15	Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,433	10¢	$148	0xda29ae…
10-26 13:18:24	Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,069	19¢	$200	0x11848d…
10-26 13:07:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,059	10¢	$200	0x58b8e3…
06-02 13:31:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,558	1¢	$106	0x1872d0…
06-01 16:45:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	251	45¢	$113	0x6563be…
05-31 05:09:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	251	86¢	$216	0x1020df…
05-04 16:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x58c4a8…
05-04 16:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	51	73¢	$37	0x38b356…
05-04 16:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xf6ed32…
05-04 15:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x7f6d59…
05-04 13:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x01cd10…
05-04 13:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xb7a873…
05-04 13:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0xcd13ce…
05-04 13:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x54cf97…
05-04 12:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x183d0f…
05-04 12:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x46013a…
05-04 12:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb4c0ea…
05-03 11:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x3e440c…
05-03 11:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x95157b…
05-03 11:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x448dc5…
05-03 11:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xed05cd…
05-03 11:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc2b41e…