Obvious-Caffeine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$486

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-02 23:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 100% +$0

Other

33% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on april 24	2	$29	29	+29	open	—	04-22 12:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?	1	$26	26	+26	open	—	05-19 13:50
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?	1	$26	26	+26	open	—	06-01 15:11
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 11-17?	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	05-17 07:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 22:20
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	1	$23	23	+23	open	—	01-25 20:30
highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 29c	1	$23	23	+23	open	—	04-19 11:06
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	04-20 06:09
Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	1	$19	19	+19	open	—	05-28 15:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	1	$19	19	+19	open	—	05-25 18:14
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	04-26 01:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	1	$17	17	+17	open	—	05-22 12:48
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?	1	$17	17	+17	open	—	05-17 12:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on June 5?	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	06-02 23:31
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 12?	1	$15	15	+15	Yes	+$0	05-12 09:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	1	$14	14	+14	open	—	05-27 05:04
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	01-06 21:16
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	05-30 10:15
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 20-26?	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	04-24 17:57
bitcoin above 82k on april 23	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	04-23 04:58
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	01-15 02:47
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	04-27 11:02
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	04-26 10:39
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	04-27 12:07
bitcoin above 70k on april 21	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	04-20 23:21
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	04-28 23:16
will karen khachanov win the 2026 australian open	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	01-11 11:38
bitcoin above 84k on april 23	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	04-22 19:09
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	1	$7	8	+8	open	—	04-19 22:32
will tommy paul win the 2026 australian open	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-22 00:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 23:31:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3c278a…
06-01 15:11:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 2?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x991edc…
05-30 10:15:31	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4a11a1…
05-28 15:27:04	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb6f9b3…
05-27 05:04:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3ba499…
05-25 18:14:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd473f8…
05-22 12:48:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0ce060…
05-19 13:50:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5dcaa3…
05-17 12:02:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa9673a…
05-17 07:07:18	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 11-17?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2781dc…
05-12 09:05:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5fd8f2…
05-09 22:20:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x648ca7…
04-28 23:16:28	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xab6eb6…
04-27 12:07:58	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb679b…
04-27 11:02:30	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x71e287…
04-26 10:39:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xddb819…
04-26 01:31:32	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf3e3c4…
04-24 17:57:18	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3c34ea…
04-24 15:38:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x659c19…
04-23 04:58:00	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xef7ab2…
04-22 19:09:36	bitcoin above 84k on april 23	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8113d8…
04-22 12:53:16	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc568d1…
04-22 04:32:14	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x16dcd7…
04-20 23:21:16	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x15a889…
04-20 13:33:16	bitcoin above 72k on april 20	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e29a1…
04-20 06:09:10	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9790d8…
04-19 22:32:30	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x56da1b…
04-19 11:06:18	highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 29c	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3c4c34…
01-25 20:30:38	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd491ff…
01-22 00:32:08	will tommy paul win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x5c2474…
01-15 02:47:34	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x55242f…
01-11 11:38:26	will karen khachanov win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4006a7…
01-06 21:16:29	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7f1586…