Realized P&L
+$73
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
67.0%
Resolved
41
Trades
281
lifetime
Volume
$2.19K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$110
6 positions
First seen
2026-08-20
last 10-28 16:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
49% 61% +$8
Politics
26% 33% -$12
Tech
10% 100% +$4
Sports
8% 100% +$1
Crypto
8% 33% +$72
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +32 $29 92¢ $30 +$0 10-08 05:03
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +32 $25 82¢ $26 +$1 10-07 15:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +32 $25 78¢ $25 +$0 10-28 14:52
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +16 $12 96¢ $15 +$3 10-18 10:24
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $11 68¢ $11 +$0 10-28 16:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +8 $5 35¢ $3 -$2 10-10 18:02