Wee-Shipyard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.9%

Resolved

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$472

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-07 06:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

59% 52% -$5

Other

41% 24% +$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	8	$72	39	39	+0	open	—	05-19 11:04
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	5	$39	18	23	-5	No	+$2	02-01 05:51
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	+$4	05-24 05:34
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$25	30	30	+0	Yes	+$20	01-25 16:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	3	$19	23	0	+23	Yes	+$4	05-18 02:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$19	12	12	+0	No	+$3	04-23 12:22
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$18	18	7	+11	No	+$4	04-20 05:52
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	1	$17	25	0	+25	No	-$17	05-25 18:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$15	10	10	+0	No	-$1	04-23 18:12
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$13	9	9	+0	No	+$1	02-03 11:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	3	$11	10	10	+0	No	-$2	05-20 13:18
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$11	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	05-23 00:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	3	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	04-23 12:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$10	7	7	+0	No	$0	05-10 17:40
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$9	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 07:24
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	02-01 05:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	$0	05-10 17:40
us x iran meeting by february 28 2026 791	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	02-23 13:57
will trump talk to vladimir putin in february	3	$8	10	0	+10	No	+$2	02-25 18:14
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	2	$8	7	7	+0	No	-$1	05-23 00:48
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	05-21 04:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	3	$7	15	12	+3	No	-$1	04-23 18:14
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	-$1	05-23 00:48
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$6	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 10:11
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$1	02-19 05:36
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	04-12 19:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	3	$6	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-13 02:48
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	01-11 16:47
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$5	7	0	+7	No	+$2	02-19 05:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	3	$5	15	15	+0	No	-$1	06-07 06:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 06:17:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x5eb337…
06-01 10:55:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x755971…
06-01 10:53:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x909250…
05-25 18:50:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	Yes	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x5a4e3b…
05-24 05:34:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x55fa18…
05-23 00:48:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x90fe9b…
05-23 00:48:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x28b2aa…
05-23 00:47:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0xedc238…
05-21 04:20:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xfec81d…
05-21 04:16:29	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x855994…
05-20 14:46:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4f3b0c…
05-20 13:18:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x9374d6…
05-20 13:17:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xdc3cf5…
05-20 07:08:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x6e23cd…
05-20 07:03:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x62aa5d…
05-20 07:00:16	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xec0a3b…
05-19 11:04:50	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x5b552a…
05-18 02:45:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xbf3a49…
05-18 02:44:33	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0xa7ca53…
05-18 02:37:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x5267ff…
05-18 02:36:53	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x52e3bb…
05-12 07:02:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x3b1f49…
05-11 06:02:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x81fb3b…
05-11 06:01:22	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x7be8bf…
05-10 17:41:42	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x3a2ec6…
05-10 17:40:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x69949d…
05-10 17:40:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xd74d1f…
05-09 16:53:43	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd097cc…
05-09 16:52:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x954a97…
05-09 16:52:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x97c504…
05-09 16:52:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x1d18a0…
05-09 16:51:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x553b1c…
05-07 07:55:34	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$27	0x813f75…
05-07 07:53:33	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0xb7bafc…
04-29 12:19:36	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc5f4f7…
04-23 18:14:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0xb9f5ae…
04-23 18:12:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x7cd65b…
04-23 18:10:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x4515d0…
04-23 12:45:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa10148…
04-23 12:41:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x164886…
04-23 12:39:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0xcad50e…
04-23 12:27:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf707c2…
04-23 12:23:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x14f8ed…
04-23 12:22:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	87¢	$11	0x65d065…
04-20 05:52:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x29bb33…
04-20 05:52:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x53c861…
04-20 05:48:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x63ea3d…
04-20 05:48:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x80ca62…
04-18 09:47:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc39ebe…
04-18 09:47:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x5289fc…
04-14 16:15:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x968565…
04-14 16:15:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe40b85…
04-14 16:14:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xda6830…
04-14 16:14:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xeb135a…
04-13 02:48:35	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x2b668a…
04-12 19:44:09	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xa5d3c6…
04-12 19:43:13	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x5a8609…
04-07 10:16:59	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0xdde37c…
04-07 10:15:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x5ac998…
04-07 10:11:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x8f08c8…
04-07 10:11:17	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x76167a…
04-07 10:10:51	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xf6f399…
04-07 10:09:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe26b51…
03-28 16:36:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbaf233…
03-28 16:36:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x9fcb82…
03-28 16:36:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x65f914…
03-28 16:35:43	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3b9fff…
03-28 16:33:51	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xb4ef59…
03-26 11:46:09	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x7eef24…
03-26 11:45:47	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x53f8ef…
03-23 18:06:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x69ec1a…
03-21 11:33:59	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7e340d…
03-21 11:33:39	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x28cf67…
03-20 14:09:53	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x800dd2…
03-19 17:21:57	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7d610a…
03-10 14:38:53	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x128067…
03-10 14:36:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfc34b4…
03-06 11:19:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x2be096…
03-03 16:39:13	will the us tariff rate on china be between 15 and 25 on march 31	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x1778e0…
03-03 08:27:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x6cf07c…
02-28 07:24:59	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x88d267…
02-28 07:22:57	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd6a9d4…
02-25 18:14:32	will trump talk to vladimir putin in february	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xae9b0b…
02-24 14:48:42	will trump talk to vladimir putin in february	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x92a816…
02-23 13:59:40	will trump talk to vladimir putin in february	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x3d7573…
02-23 13:57:14	us x iran meeting by february 28 2026 791	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xd9e40d…
02-22 16:04:14	will the us tariff rate on china be between 15 and 25 on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xcd02fe…
02-19 05:36:52	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xbf7a14…
02-19 05:36:32	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x7b2479…
02-15 07:25:15	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x69d302…
02-09 19:57:21	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x16b4af…
02-03 11:19:14	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x1319e7…
02-03 11:19:00	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x3bfe9f…
02-03 11:13:16	will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xc07d44…
02-01 10:30:16	spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf2bbef…
02-01 08:24:22	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xc28d6c…
02-01 08:18:58	will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xbd8e57…
02-01 08:17:36	will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x79306a…
02-01 08:14:20	will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	No	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xf19d2d…
02-01 07:10:30	will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4bb18c…