Warped-Babushka — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$407

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$224

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 08-13 06:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

81% 0% $-422

Politics

15% — —

Crypto

3% 100% +$15

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	3	$768	399	399	+0	open	—	08-13 07:05
will marco rubio attend nato summit	2	$763	410	410	+0	open	—	06-07 05:47
will russia capture dovha balka by june 30	2	$763	419	419	+0	open	—	06-06 08:02
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	2	$699	384	384	+0	open	—	05-29 05:56
Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?	3	$691	382	382	+0	open	—	06-03 08:14
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	2	$688	378	378	+0	open	—	06-02 06:12
will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	2	$651	352	352	+0	open	—	06-30 05:35
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	2	$635	332	332	+0	open	—	05-30 06:58
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	2	$586	312	312	+0	open	—	08-13 09:30
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)	1	$386	424	0	+424	open	—	05-30 07:04
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5	1	$381	401	0	+401	open	—	06-07 06:04
Spread: Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5)	1	$359	370	0	+370	Matsumoto Yamaga FC	$-359	05-06 08:24
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	1	$348	383	0	+383	open	—	05-29 05:58
Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)	1	$348	363	0	+363	Chongqing Tonglianglong FC	+$15	05-05 06:19
Spread: Albania (-2.5)	1	$344	362	0	+362	open	—	06-03 08:17
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	1	$343	381	0	+381	open	—	06-02 06:50
lol koia ucam1 2026 06 04 game1 both teams slay baron	1	$335	368	0	+368	open	—	06-04 05:43
Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)	1	$323	344	0	+344	open	—	05-31 05:15
crint arg mex 2026 03 11	1	$203	290	0	+290	open	—	03-11 06:48
wttmen an lebrun 2026 03 12	2	$183	630	0	+630	open	—	03-12 11:40
dota2 l1ga nemiga 2026 03 16	1	$172	220	0	+220	open	—	03-16 06:00
mlb min tor 2026 03 13	1	$104	170	0	+170	open	—	03-13 07:21
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	3	$32	692	692	+0	open	—	05-07 05:32
Spread: ZED FC (-1.5)	2	$25	606	0	+606	Haras El Hodood SC	$-25	05-07 06:44
Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	2	$21	787	0	+787	RB Leipzig	$-21	05-09 07:46
Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	2	$9	734	0	+734	FCSB	$-9	05-11 09:57
Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)	2	$9	734	0	+734	Aston Villa FC	$-9	05-10 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 09:30:36	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	SELL	312	94¢	$293	0xace3c6…
08-13 07:13:01	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	BUY	312	94¢	$293	0x0d8ba6…
08-13 07:05:52	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0x89e777…
08-13 07:05:51	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	SELL	352	96¢	$339	0x5ec9c5…
08-13 06:12:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	BUY	399	96¢	$384	0x63fa63…
06-30 05:35:44	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	352	94¢	$330	0x41cf9e…
06-30 02:49:47	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	352	91¢	$321	0xdf0fd5…
06-07 06:04:30	Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	401	95¢	$381	0x57e48b…
06-07 05:47:33	will marco rubio attend nato summit	Yes	SELL	410	93¢	$381	0x2013a8…
06-07 02:19:52	will marco rubio attend nato summit	Yes	BUY	410	93¢	$381	0x335d1b…
06-06 08:02:27	will russia capture dovha balka by june 30	No	SELL	419	91¢	$381	0xb8a8f6…
06-06 06:26:27	will russia capture dovha balka by june 30	No	BUY	419	91¢	$381	0x4b9ad5…
06-04 05:43:42	lol koia ucam1 2026 06 04 game1 both teams slay baron	No	BUY	368	91¢	$335	0x8b1a61…
06-03 08:17:13	Spread: Albania (-2.5)	Israel	BUY	362	95¢	$344	0x22c659…
06-03 08:14:08	Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?	No	SELL	347	90¢	$312	0x0a0bf2…
06-03 08:14:06	Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?	No	SELL	35	90¢	$32	0xf82e9a…
06-03 06:44:21	Will Russia enter Svitle by June 30?	No	BUY	382	91¢	$348	0x1adefc…
06-02 06:50:17	Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	No	BUY	381	90¢	$343	0x75c5a6…
06-02 06:12:38	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	SELL	378	91¢	$344	0x084163…
06-02 04:39:06	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	No	BUY	378	91¢	$344	0x2c9bb5…
05-31 05:15:14	Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)	CD Castellón	BUY	344	94¢	$323	0x244548…
05-30 07:04:40	Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC	BUY	424	91¢	$386	0x977eb2…
05-30 06:58:24	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	No	SELL	332	96¢	$319	0xd1e247…
05-30 05:27:22	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	No	BUY	332	95¢	$315	0xb25f57…
05-29 05:58:58	Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	No	BUY	383	91¢	$348	0x5744b1…
05-29 05:56:52	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	384	91¢	$349	0x1db037…
05-29 03:37:19	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	384	91¢	$349	0x555e60…
05-11 09:57:13	Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	AFC Unirea Slobozia	BUY	367	1¢	$4	0x18cbd8…
05-11 09:56:59	Spread: AFC Unirea Slobozia (-1.5)	AFC Unirea Slobozia	BUY	367	1¢	$4	0x8986c6…
05-10 08:04:21	Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)	Burnley FC	BUY	362	1¢	$4	0x05e6bf…
05-10 08:04:18	Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)	Burnley FC	BUY	372	1¢	$4	0xce1771…
05-09 07:46:55	Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	FC St. Pauli 1910	BUY	356	3¢	$10	0x298ab5…
05-09 07:46:54	Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	FC St. Pauli 1910	BUY	431	3¢	$12	0x6a7135…
05-07 06:44:05	Spread: ZED FC (-1.5)	ZED FC	BUY	335	4¢	$14	0xa527a9…
05-07 06:44:05	Spread: ZED FC (-1.5)	ZED FC	BUY	271	4¢	$11	0x7a7535…
05-07 05:32:48	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	692	2¢	$15	0xf570ca…
05-07 02:29:39	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	363	2¢	$9	0x433161…
05-07 02:29:34	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	329	2¢	$8	0x4fce98…
05-06 08:24:36	Spread: Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5)	FC Gifu	BUY	370	97¢	$359	0x9e9616…
05-05 06:19:18	Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)	Chongqing Tonglianglong FC	BUY	363	96¢	$348	0xa7879f…
03-16 06:00:15	dota2 l1ga nemiga 2026 03 16	L1ga Team	BUY	220	78¢	$172	0x91a97a…
03-13 07:21:35	mlb min tor 2026 03 13	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	170	61¢	$104	0xd464bd…
03-12 11:40:39	wttmen an lebrun 2026 03 12	An	BUY	320	29¢	$93	0x8ba499…
03-12 11:40:39	wttmen an lebrun 2026 03 12	An	BUY	310	29¢	$90	0x0283f1…
03-11 06:48:39	crint arg mex 2026 03 11	Argentina	BUY	290	70¢	$203	0x5838d4…