Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
896
lifetime
Volume
$4.24K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$6
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 07-06 10:21
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
57%
Other
20%
Politics
13%
Sports
8%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 183 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 15:01
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 07:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 07:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1 $-1 74¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 15:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 07:02
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -2 $-1 41¢ $-1 +$0 05-31 07:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -2 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-28 15:00