Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
694
lifetime
Volume
$1.14K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$14
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 06-08 06:06
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
56%
Crypto
21%
Sports
20%
Politics
3%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 183 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -2 $-0 100¢ $-2 $-1 05-31 07:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 84¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 07:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 07:03
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 15:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -1 $-1 82¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 15:01
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No -1 $-1 93¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 07:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 07:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1 $-1 70¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 15:01
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -2 $-1 52¢ $-1 +$0 05-31 07:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1 $-1 85¢ $-1 +$0 05-31 07:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-1 32¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 07:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -2 $-1 26¢ $-1 +$1 05-28 15:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes -2 $-1 32¢ $-1 +$1 05-28 15:01
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? Yes -4 $-1 $-0 +$0 05-31 07:05