Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
888
lifetime
Volume
$4.19K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$7
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 07-01 11:15
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
58%
Other
19%
Politics
14%
Sports
8%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 183 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1 $-1 84¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 15:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 15:01
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 07:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 07:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 07:03
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -2 $-1 46¢ $-1 +$0 05-31 07:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -2 $-1 28¢ $-1 +$1 05-28 15:00