Pleasing-Disagreement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 07-04 01:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 100% +$0

Politics

27% — —

Other

22% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$279	140	140	+0	open	—	03-29 07:51
will solana dip to 55 on april 3	1	$142	142	0	+142	open	—	04-03 05:25
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	1	$133	134	0	+134	open	—	04-26 05:14
ethereum above 2300 on april 9	1	$132	132	0	+132	open	—	04-09 13:51
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$125	126	0	+126	open	—	03-15 11:16
will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on april 20	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	04-18 15:50
ethereum above 1700 on april 16	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	04-14 16:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	03-29 07:53
will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	04-11 12:04
will bitcoin reach 74k june 8 14 2026	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	06-12 12:39
will solana reach 110 june 1 7 2026	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	06-04 07:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	05-13 03:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	04-23 10:04
will ethereum reach 2600 february 23 march 1	1	$98	98	0	+98	open	—	02-25 07:17
will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	1	$96	96	0	+96	open	—	06-27 13:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$95	95	0	+95	open	—	05-29 07:10
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 23?	1	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	05-21 14:52
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 23corhigher	1	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	04-05 03:51
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on May 7?	1	$80	80	0	+80	No	+$0	05-04 04:17
xrp above 0pt5 on july 7 2026	1	$68	68	0	+68	open	—	07-04 01:16
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	1	$42	76	0	+76	open	—	07-04 01:14
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 22c	1	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	04-05 03:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-04 04:14
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	03-03 02:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	05-21 14:49
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-29 07:52
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 26c	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-24 16:56
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 14corbelow	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-13 14:17
will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in february 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	02-25 07:17
highest temperature in munich on april 17 2026 12corbelow	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	04-16 07:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 01:16:05	xrp above 0pt5 on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xb605b4…
07-04 01:14:34	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	Yes	BUY	76	55¢	$42	0xd9b50c…
06-27 13:36:25	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x6864f5…
06-12 12:39:48	will bitcoin reach 74k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x1f5241…
06-04 07:54:28	will solana reach 110 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xfaa331…
06-04 07:53:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x70413d…
05-29 07:10:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xc371d1…
05-21 14:52:05	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 23?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x3e3dfa…
05-21 14:49:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x69067a…
05-13 03:51:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf9d784…
05-04 04:17:54	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on May 7?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xfb4c25…
05-04 04:14:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x035574…
04-26 05:14:58	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0x11f04b…
04-24 16:56:42	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 26c	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc634c4…
04-23 10:04:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf6151d…
04-20 11:57:52	highest temperature in chicago on april 21 2026 54forhigher	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4c6ebf…
04-18 15:50:32	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on april 20	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x6ebb7b…
04-16 07:58:48	highest temperature in munich on april 17 2026 12corbelow	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x759449…
04-14 16:25:35	ethereum above 1700 on april 16	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x2cd20f…
04-13 14:17:17	highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 14corbelow	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa6dfa0…
04-11 12:04:25	will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xdc7dd0…
04-09 13:51:39	ethereum above 2300 on april 9	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x999152…
04-05 03:51:11	highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	90	99¢	$90	0xcbc0b4…
04-05 03:50:51	highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xff78ab…
04-05 03:50:23	highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 22c	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xef81f0…
04-03 05:25:09	will solana dip to 55 on april 3	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x6db3fb…
03-29 07:53:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xeaf636…
03-29 07:52:40	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa9a503…
03-29 07:51:40	will seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in march	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xdd3921…
03-29 07:51:08	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0xe1285f…
03-18 09:07:29	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x36ca49…
03-15 11:16:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x8fc9c9…
03-15 11:16:19	highest temperature in seoul on march 16 2026 7c	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf5849a…
03-15 11:13:23	btc updown 5m 1773573000	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x9a6900…
03-15 11:09:25	btc updown 5m 1773572700	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb47eae…
03-03 02:17:51	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xca17b9…
02-25 07:17:42	will ethereum reach 2600 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x1be344…
02-25 07:17:18	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in february 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9b8fcb…
02-25 07:16:56	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in february 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdf5069…